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Boehner Did Manage to Keep His Job

October 17, 2013 at 10:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 1 Comment

Paul Kane:
“House Speaker John A. Boehner lost the shutdown showdown in
ignominious fashion, winning not a single concession of any value from
Democrats and exposing his majority as powerless to advance conservative
causes. The one thing the Ohio Republican did seem to manage to do was
hold onto his job. The always embattled speaker let his recalcitrant
conservatives effectively run the show for the past month, and even as
they lost badly, he won grudging respect from some who sought to take
his gavel away earlier this year.”

First Read: “Strikingly, House Republicans told us that the shutdown debate only
strengthened House Speaker John Boehner’s hand with his GOP conference.”

Doomed for Another Shutdown?

October 17, 2013 at 10:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Benjy Sarlin: “Interviews with lawmakers, pundits, and activists across a wide ideological in the final hours of a shutdown Wednesday paint a pessimistic picture of what Congress has learned from the 16-day ordeal. While some argue that Republicans are dropping too sharply in the polls to take such a hard line on budget negotiations again, most believe that the fundamental dynamics haven’t shifted – meaning more shutdowns and possible defaults could be waiting in the wings. The next standoff could come as soon as January, when the new spending agreement ends or in February, when the new debt ceiling level is reached.”

Wonk Wire: We haven’t seen the last of budget brinksmanship.

Obama Won, Now What?

October 17, 2013 at 10:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ron Fournier: “Faced now with the choice between partisan politics and a risky high ground, the president has an opportunity to leverage this ‘victory’ for a long-term budget deal that raises taxes and tames entitlements. Obama won. Now can he lead? Does he have the guts to anger liberal backers with a budget deal on Social Security and Medicare? Is he willing to engage sincerely with Republicans? Does he want a legacy beyond winning two elections and enacting a health care law that, judging by its horrendous launch, may never live up to its promise? If the answer to those questions is ‘yes,’ Obama has hidden his intentions well.”


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Shutdown Caused Real Economic Damage

October 17, 2013 at 9:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Even with the shutdown of the United States government and the threat of a default coming to an end, the cost of Congress’s gridlock has already run well into the billions, economists estimate. And the total will continue to grow even after the shutdown ends, partly because of uncertainty about whether lawmakers might reach another deadlock early next year.”

“A complete accounting will take months once the government reopens and the Treasury resumes adding to the country’s debt. But economists said that the intransigence of House Republicans would take a bite out of fourth-quarter growth, which will affect employment, business earnings and borrowing costs. The ripple from Washington will be felt around the globe.”

GOP Lawmaker Pledges Another Showdown

October 17, 2013 at 9:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. John Fleming (R-LA) told the New York Times he was opposed to the deal to reopen the federal government and raise the debt ceiling. He also suggest he’s ready for another showdown.

Said Fleming: “I’ll vote against it. But that will get us into Round 2. See, we’re going to start this all over again.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

October 17, 2013 at 9:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Anytime you fight for something you really believe in and something you think is important, then the fight is going to be worth it.”

— Rep. Mick Mulvaney (R-SC), interviewed on CNN, on the 16 day government shutdown.

No Apology from Republicans

October 17, 2013 at 9:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “Unless we missed it, we didn’t hear a single apology from members of Congress, especially from the side that precipitated the shutdown. The president apologized once last week for all this.”

GOP Presidential Hopefuls Reject Deal

October 17, 2013 at 8:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Hill notes that nearly every potential 2016 Republican presidential candidate serving in Congress opposed the deal to fund the government and raise the debt limit.

Crisis is the New Normal

October 17, 2013 at 8:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Joshua Green: “While the shutdown might look like the spectacular self-immolation of a band of bitter enders, it’s better understood as the natural consequence of a decades-long shift in the American political landscape…Congress has become so intensely divided that there isn’t much room left at the edges of the ideological continuum. Far from being an aberration, crises are more like the new normal…It’s not hard to envision a future that looks an awful lot like the present, with Republicans just strong enough to maintain control of the House, but shut out of the Senate and White House, and Democrats unable to regain the unified control of Washington they enjoyed during Obama’s first two years. This is a formula for plenty of drama and few accomplishments.”

Democrats Hope to Avoid Another Crisis in 90 Days

October 17, 2013 at 8:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

National Journal: “Two main assumptions underpin those Democratic hopes. The first is that Republicans, wounded politically in the current shutdown bout, will not want to rehash another government-shutdown battle in only 90 days. The second is that GOP hawks will come to the table to discuss unwinding the automatic cuts in place due to sequestration because the defense sector will take a bigger share of cutbacks in 2014 than it did in 2013.”

“Both assumptions could prove false. Democrats have consistently overestimated the current, tea-party-infused Republican Party’s willingness to negotiate away sequestration because of defense spending. And plenty of House Republicans, even amid plummeting poll numbers, did not sound ready to give up the fight.”

McConnell Enemies Blast Pork in Budget Deal

October 17, 2013 at 7:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell’s Republican enemies “seized on a provision included in the final deal they said was a betrayal of conservative causes,” the Lexington Herald Leader reports.

“The deal contained a $2.8 billion authorization for the Olmstead lock and dam project in Western Kentucky that at first glance appeared to many as McConnell sneaking pork into the last-minute bill. While McConnell was the target, Republican Sen. Lamar Alexander said he asked for its inclusion.”

Quote of the Day

October 17, 2013 at 7:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’m not prepared to suggest that this has been a complete loss.”

— Rep. Cynthia Lummis (R-WY), quoted by the New York Times, on the 16 day government shutdown.

A String of Defeats for House Republicans

October 17, 2013 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “In the two and half years since they took control of the House, Republicans have gone from early legislative victories that cut government spending to a string of defeats that have grown worse over time. The latest ended with a bill that was expected to pass early Thursday and that would leave the country almost exactly where it had been before, only billions of dollars poorer and as a puzzlement to the world.”

“Two years of failed strategies to handcuff the Democratic minority have left Mr. Boehner as mostly a bystander while the most conservative members of his conference — who propelled him to power nearly three years ago — took the tiller of the House in their hands. Their goal: to dismantle what they consider to be an overreaching government, one vote at a time.”

Deal Averts Catastrophe But Leaves Uncertainty

October 17, 2013 at 7:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The deal reached by Congress to end the government shutdown and raise the debt ceiling “averts a financial catastrophe but leaves the weakened U.S. economy facing new threats,” the Washington Post reports.

“But while the bipartisan deal ends a period of disruption that has slowed the economy — the shutdown removed more than $20 billion in direct government spending and related economic activity — it creates new perils, setting up other economy-shaking deadlines in just a few months.”

“It also does almost nothing for the country’s existing economic challenges, including automatic spending cuts that are worsening the problem of high unemployment and a long-term debt challenge posed by mounting costs in health-care and retirement programs.”

Christie Still Headed for a Landslide

October 17, 2013 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds Gov. Chris Christie (R) buring challenger Barbara Buono (D) by 29 points among likely voters, 62% to 33%.

House Passes Bill to End Standoff

October 16, 2013 at 10:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Congressional Republicans “conceded defeat in their bitter budget fight with President Obama over the new health care law, agreeing to end a disruptive 16-day government shutdown and extend federal borrowing power to avert a financial default with potentially worldwide economic repercussions,” the New York Times reports.

“With the Treasury Department warning that it could run out of money to pay national obligations within a day, the Senate voted overwhelmingly Wednesday evening, 81 to 18, to approve a proposal hammered out by the chamber’s Republican and Democratic leaders after the House on Tuesday was unable to move forward with any resolution. The House followed suit a few hours later, voting 285 to 144, to approve the Senate plan, which would finance the government through Jan. 15 and raise the debt limit through Feb. 7.”

Booker Wins Senate Race

October 16, 2013 at 9:44 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cory Booker (D) defeated Steve Lonegan (R) to become New Jersey’s newest U.S. senator, according to projections by the Associated Press.

Roll Call: “The rise to the Senate is the latest move for a politician whose ambitions are believed to reach even higher. He has already been mentioned as a potential vice presidential running mate in 2016.”

Senate Passes Deal to Break Impasse

October 16, 2013 at 8:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The U.S. Senate passes a bipartisan solution to the weekslong budget crisis, voting 81-18 to raise the nation’s borrowing limit and fully reopen the federal government, the Wall Street Journal reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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