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Piecemeal Approach to Test Party Unity

October 2, 2013 at 6:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

House Republicans are likely to try again “to pass three piecemeal spending bills that would reopen parts of the government, as both parties try to force the other to crack under mounting public pressure to end the two-day-old shutdown,” the New York Times reports.

“The Republicans suffered embarrassing losses on Tuesday night when the three bills — to finance veterans’ programs, national parks and museums, and federally financed services in Washington — failed to get the two-thirds majorities required to pass under fast-track procedures.”

“Aides to the Republican leadership said the bills would be introduced on Wednesday under ordinary rules that require only simple majorities, and they should easily pass. But Democrats are likely to be granted procedural votes of their own, which would be an opportunity to test how many Republicans would defy their leadership and vote to reopen the entire government without crippling President Obama’s health care law — the standoff that shut down the government at 12:01 a.m. on Tuesday.”

Shutdown May Be Tied to Debt Ceiling Hike

October 1, 2013 at 9:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A harsh reality began setting into Capitol Hill on Tuesday: The U.S. government may not reopen until the two parties reach a deal to raise the national debt ceiling, Politico reports.

“Indeed, if the standoff continues to creep toward the Oct. 17 deadline to raise the $16.7 trillion national debt ceiling, the two issues will become intertwined — and potentially intractable. House Republican leaders and top Senate Democrats privately began discussing this increasingly likely possibility Tuesday, but the two sides have yet to engage in any direct negotiations in the acrimonious budget dispute.”

How Surges of Migration Transformed American Politics

October 1, 2013 at 9:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In the mail: Shaping Our Nation: How Surges of Migration Transformed America and Its Politics by Michael Barone.


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Democrats Reject Piecemeal Funding Strategy

October 1, 2013 at 8:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Roll Call: “House Republicans tried to soften the blow — in reality and politically — of a government shutdown Tuesday with bills that would provide funding for veterans, for national parks and for the District of Columbia. But Democrats said no.”

“Republicans tried to pass the three bills under suspension of the rules, in which a two-thirds majority is required. But Democrats, who characterized them as face-saving measures after forcing a government shutdown, refused.”

House GOP Digging In For Long Showdown

October 1, 2013 at 7:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Robert Costa: “The same question keeps popping up: Why doesn’t Speaker John Boehner just pass a ‘clean’ continuing resolution to fund the government? It’s a ubiquitous query at the Capitol, and it was asked many times this afternoon as House Republicans left their closed-door conference meeting. But most Republicans, when pressed by reporters, rolled their eyes. They know what Boehner knows: A clean CR has never been an option…”

“Instead, the leadership is digging in for an extended impasse with Senate Democrats. Based on my latest conversations with insiders, their plan isn’t to eventually whip Republicans toward a clean CR and back down after a few days of messaging the shutdown, as some have believed; it’s to keep fighting, and, in the process, preserve the House GOP’s fragile unity — and maybe, if they’re lucky, win a concession from Senate majority leader Harry Reid.”

Washington Post: “At the moment, neither side is feeling a clear imperative to end the shutdown.”

It’s All in a Name, Continued

October 1, 2013 at 6:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jimmy Kimmel asks people whether they prefer “Obamacare” or the “Affordable Care Act.”

Unskewing Obama’s Sexuality

October 1, 2013 at 5:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dean Chambers, the man who helped “unskew” polls during the 2012 presidential campaign to show Mitt Romney was actually leading, now says President Obama is gay.

“I think Sullivan is right, but not for the right reason. I do believe that Barack Obama is in fact our first gay president. But I believe this for entirely different reasons. I believe the man actually is gay.”

Don’t Expect the Government Shutdown to End Soon

October 1, 2013 at 4:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “That was the message Tuesday from Senate Republican leaders and Democratic aides who said there is a growing likelihood that non-essential parts of the federal government remain shuttered for more than two weeks until lawmakers agree on how to increase the debt ceiling.”

“Two top Senate Democratic aides also said they thought the two issues would end up dovetailing together, saying that from their perspective the next move was up to House Republicans. Democrats are unlikely to negotiate with Republicans over a short-term government funding bill, so the delay will continue until House Republicans agree to take up a Senate-passed six-week funding bill.”

GOP pollster David Winston to Greg Sargent: “A long term shutdown is not a tenable solution in the eyes of Americans… All the parties involved had better realize there are repercussions here. The biggest concern people should have is the level of uncertainty this injects as voters think about who they are going to choose in 2014. People should be concerned about what that will look like.”

GOP Divisions are Out in the Open

October 1, 2013 at 4:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Dickerson: “If Republicans want to stand fast against overwhelming public opinion, unity during the shutdown is critical. They should be singing from the same song sheet, something that goes a little like this: ‘We acted to keep government open while trying to protect Americans from being forced into a system they don’t trust and which has had such problems the president has exempted big business but not regular people.’ But there is no unity in the Republican chorus. That was clear even before the shutdown began, as Republican senators spoke openly about the folly of the GOP’s approach. That’s why John McCain, who was one such senator, was tweeting out polling figures that undermine the House Republican cause.”

However, a GOP leadership aide tells First Read: “Our conference has never been more united. They have been in the fight, and now they want to win it.”

Lonegan Poll Claims Close Race

October 1, 2013 at 4:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Internal polling conducted by New Jersey senatorial candidate Steve Lonegan (R) and obtained by National Review shows Cory Booker’s (D) lead in the U.S. Senate race slipping to just six points, 48% to 42%.

On Wonk Wire

October 1, 2013 at 4:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

There’s some great stuff over on Wonk Wire today:

  • Why Congress gets paid during a shutdown
  • Democrats should wait for a better shutdown deal
  • Some early Obamacare hiccups
  • Romneycare’s lessons for Obamacare’s rollout
  • Will Obama raise the debt ceiling on his own?
  • How is your county faring under sequestration?
  • NSA mapping social networks

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

October 1, 2013 at 4:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We have to determine whether or not moderate Republicans are an extinct species. We keep hearing a small group of Tea Party extremists is running the show in the House. Well, where are the moderate voices?”

— Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), quoted by Greg Sargent.

Republicans Snatch Defeat from Jaws of Victory

October 1, 2013 at 3:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Chris Cillizza: “Tuesday should have been a banner day for Congressional Republicans, the day in which sequestration cuts to the federal government were locked in for another few months — a move that would have proved just how committed the GOP was to cutting federal spending and shrinking the debt.”

“Instead, the government is shuttered. Polling shows Republicans are in line to take the lion’s share of the blame. The party is fighting amongst itself about when and whether to make a deal. Party strategists are (semi) openly fretting about the political danger their side is courting with the shutdown.”

Said former Rep. Tom Davis (R-VA): “When is a win not a win? When it belongs to the GOP. These are constant self-inflicted wounds. We don’t need to learn how to be a good loser. We need to learn to be a good winner.”

GOP Lawmaker Admits Defeat in Showdown

October 1, 2013 at 3:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Dennis Ross (R-FL) admitted to National Journal the budget showdown isn’t a winner for the Republican party and that Obamacare would be implemented despite GOP efforts.

Said Ross: “Ultimately that’s going to happen, in my opinion. We have voted 41 times to defund it or get rid of it. If my people back home say: Oh my gosh you voted to fund Obamacare, so be it. We’ve lost this battle. We need to move on to the next one.”

Rand Paul Owes Ted Cruz

October 1, 2013 at 3:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook:
“Next time Rand Paul sees his fellow Republican Senate freshman Ted
Cruz, he should give the Texan a big wet kiss… Cruz has redefined
extremism in the Republican Party to such an extent that Rand Paul
doesn’t come across as such a dangerous fringe candidate anymore.”

Fox News Poaches George Will

October 1, 2013 at 3:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

After more than 30 years as a commentator for ABC News, George Will is heading to Fox News, according to the Hollywood Reporter.

“The cable news network announced Tuesday that it has hired the conservative voice and author as its latest contributor, where he will offer analysis and commentary across daytime and primetime programming — including Special Report With Bret Baier and Fox News Sunday.”

Flashback Quote of the Day

October 1, 2013 at 3:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We
want to make our position abundantly clear: we will not support efforts
to pass a CR that contains any unnecessary spending or legislative
provisions unrelated to maintaining government operations.  We
respectfully request that you fashion a CR true to the purpose of
temporarily continuing the activities of government at the absolute
minimum level necessary until we finish our work on the fiscal year 2011
spending bills.”

— House Appropriations Committee Republicans, in a letter to Chairman David Obey (D-WI) on September 14, 2010.

How to End the Government Shutdown

October 1, 2013 at 2:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wonk Wire summarizes the options.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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