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Big Majority Say Iraq War Not Worth the Cost

June 25, 2014 at 7:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Annenberg survey found “a plurality of Americans – 49% — say Washington does not have any responsibility to assist the Iraqi government fend off the insurgent groups seeking its overthrow, a split from the you-break-it, you-own-it rule coined in the runup to the 2003 Iraq war — even though it is not actually the retailer’s policy.”

“While 44% of those polled said the U.S. does have a responsibility to help in Iraq, 71% said the 11-year conflict was not worth it, a figure 12 percentage points higher than in December 2012, a year after President Obama announced the final American combat troops had left Iraq.”

Quote of the Day

June 25, 2014 at 7:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think there will be another attack. And next time, I think it’s likely to be far deadlier than the last one.”

— Former Vice President Dick Cheney, quoted by The Hill.

Cochran Rebounds in Mississippi to Win Runoff

June 25, 2014 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS) “has won the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate for the seventh time, squeaking past challenger Chris McDaniel (R) in a runoff Tuesday,” the Jackson Clarion Ledger reports.

“But McDaniel didn’t concede Tuesday night and in a speech to supporters referenced ‘dozens of irregularities’ in voting Tuesday and indicated he would challenge the results over Democrats voting in the Republican primary.”

Nate Cohn: “The Cochran campaign’s efforts to appeal to Democratic-leaning black voters appeared to succeed. The increase in turnout was largest in heavily black counties, particularly in the Mississippi Delta. Over all, turnout rose by 43% in the counties where black voters make up more than 65% of eligible voters.”

National Journal: “Over 347,000 voters cast ballots in the runoff, a higher total than in the primary — marking the first time in 30 years that has happened in any Senate race.”

Rick Hasen: What’s next for McDaniel?

Is Hillary Clinton Out of Touch?

June 25, 2014 at 6:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jill Lawrence: “The answer is obvious. Of course she’s out of touch. She’s one of the most powerful and important people in America. The real miracle was that she managed to appear ‘in touch’ in 2007 and 2008.”

Beauprez Wins GOP Nod in Colorado

June 25, 2014 at 6:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Faced with the choice of a far-right candidate or a more moderate mainstream pick, Colorado Republicans chose the latter Tuesday, selecting former Congressman Bob Beauprez as the party’s gubernatorial nominee,” the Denver Post reports.

“The dairy farmer-turned-banker-turned-buffalo rancher got into the GOP contest late as Republicans worried they didn’t have a viable candidate to defeat Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper in November. Now the party believes it has a fighting chance of unseating an incumbent whose popularity has teeter-tottered much of the past year.”

Rangel Appears to Win Primary

June 25, 2014 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Charles Rangel (R-NY), “seeking a 23rd term, held a slim lead in a fierce battle early Wednesday with State Senator Adriano Espaillat (D) in their primary election contest, a rematch that was largely fought along ethnic and generational lines,” the New York Times reports.

New York Post: “And woe to those who had ditched Charlie. Earlier Tuesday, a confident Rangel said that the political and labor leaders who abandoned him during the race ‘made one hell of a mistake’ — ­implying that he might not be willing to forgive and forget.”

Brown Wins Democratic Nomination Easily in Maryland

June 25, 2014 at 5:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Anthony Brown (D) claimed victory in the Democratic nomination for governor in Maryland after early returns suggested a landslide win, the Baltimore Sun reports.

In the Republican race, Larry Hogan (R) accepted the GOP nomination.

“The primary victories set the stage for a spirited general election contest to succeed term-limited Gov. Martin O’Malley, who praised Brown as ‘a true American success story.'”

Lankford Avoids Senate Runoff in Oklahoma

June 24, 2014 at 9:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. James Lankford (R-OK) avoided a Republican primary runoff for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat, while Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK) easily won the GOP nomination Tuesday in his bid to keep the state’s other seat for a fourth term, the Oklahoman reports.

“This year’s election is the first time in modern history that both of Oklahoma’s U.S. Senate seats are on the ballot at the same time. Besides the full six-year term for Inhofe’s post, the state’s other Senate seat became open when U.S. Sen. Tom Coburn announced in January that he was foregoing his final two years in office after a recurrence of cancer.”

Clawson Will Replace Radel

June 24, 2014 at 8:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Curt Clawson (R) won the special election to replace former Rep. Trey Radel (R-FL) in Florida’s 19th District — “an outcome long expected in this heavily Republican district on the state’s Gulf Coast,” Roll Call reports.

Boehner Planning Lawsuit Over Executive Actions

June 24, 2014 at 5:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) said he could “have an announcement within days on whether the House will file a lawsuit against President Obama, challenging the executive actions that have become the keystone of the administration,” Roll Call reports.

“The lawsuit could set up a significant test of constitutional checks and balances, with the legislative branch suing the executive branch for ignoring its mandates, and the judiciary branch deciding the outcome.”

Letters Detailing Presidential Affair Go Public

June 24, 2014 at 4:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Library of Congress will open the letters detailing a 100-year-old presidential affair next month, Politico reports.

“The letters detail the relationship between President Warren G. Harding and his mistress, Carrie Fulton Phillips, from 1910 to 1920. Their affair began in 1905, continued through Harding’s term as a U.S. senator and ended before his inauguration in 1921, although the two remained on good terms. Harding was married for the duration of the affair.”

Deal Could Flip New York Senate to Democrats

June 24, 2014 at 4:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An offer is on the table to reunite the mainline Senate Democrats and the Independent Democratic Conference as the new State Senate majority,” City & State reports.

“If the deal is accepted by all of the parties involved it would instantly bring about a profound sea change in New York politics, potentially deposing the Senate Republicans from power next session and moving the state farther to the left. It would also open up the possibility for a slew of progressive legislation to pass that has been stymied up to date as a result of opposition from the State Senate Republicans.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

June 24, 2014 at 3:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“She’d probably get shot at the state line.”

— Arkansas Republican party official Johnny Rhoda, quoted by U.S. News, on Hillary Clinton’s future political prospects in her adopted home state.

Staffer Quits After Porn Star Photo

June 24, 2014 at 2:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The chief of staff to Rep. Steve Stivers (R-OH) “has resigned after a former porn actress posted an explicit photo of the aide online,” Politico reports.

Top Arizona School Official Wants Spanish Banned

June 24, 2014 at 11:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Pressure on the state’s top school official to resign continued to mount Monday as more anonymous blog posts from John Huppenthal (R) emerged. Using an online alias, the superintendent of public instruction posted several comments on a conservative-leaning website calling for no Spanish language in the state,” KTVK reports.

Wrote Huppenthal: “We all need to stomp out balkanization. No Spanish radio stations, no Spanish billboards, no Spanish TV stations, no Spanish newspapers. This is America, speak English.”

Top 10 Things a Presidential Candidate Should Never Say

June 24, 2014 at 10:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Letterman riffs off Hillary Clinton’s insistence that her family is not “well off.”

[Read more…]

Participation Gives Tea Party Its Muscle

June 24, 2014 at 10:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Allison Kopicki: “Only 21% of Americans now say they support the Tea Party movement… But public support isn’t what gives the Tea Party its influence.”

“Interest in the 2014 election runs high among Tea Party supporters… 81% of voters who support the Tea Party say they will definitely vote in the 2014 election, compared with 67% of voters who don’t support the Tea Party.”

“Among Tea Party voters who identify as Republican and independents who lean Republican, 41% said they had been paying ‘a lot’ of attention to the 2014 election, compared with 25% of non-Tea Party Republican-leaning voters. And these Republican Tea Party voters are 15 points more likely to say they are very or somewhat enthusiastic about voting in this November’s elections for Congress than non-Tea Party Republican voters.”

If Cochran Loses It’s Not Because of Money

June 24, 2014 at 9:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “While McDaniel is the odds-on favorite to win tonight’s GOP Senate runoff in Mississippi, it’s worth pointing out that Cochran has crushed him in fundraising and spending. It’s not even close. Here are the statistics per NBC’s Natalie Cucchiara: As of June 4, Cochran had $407,574 in cash on hand, while McDaniel had $60,157. In contributions from June 4-23, Cochran raked in nearly $1.25 million vs. $181,000 for McDaniel. So if Cochran does indeed lose, it won’t be due to money. McDaniel’s campaign has been almost entirely bankrolled by outside groups.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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