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Gingrich Pulls Away in Florida

November 30, 2011 at 8:32 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Insider Advantage poll in Florida shows Newt Gingrich way ahead of the Republican presidential field with 41%, followed by Mitt Romney at 17%, Herman Cain at 13%, Rick Perry at 7%, Ron Paul at 4%, Michele Bachmann at 3% and
Rick Santorum at 1%.

Caveat: Insider Advantage founder Matt Towery ran Gingrich’s political operation in the 1990s.

Will Huntsman Run as an Independent?

November 30, 2011 at 8:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In a Boston Globe interview, Jon Hunstman wouldn’t rule out the idea of running for president as an independent.

Asked if it was a possibility, Huntsman said, “I don’t think so.”

Told that anything but a flat denial could perpetuate speculation about the possibility, Huntsman again wouldn’t rule it out.

The Fix: “Now, none of this is to say he will do it or is actually thinking about it. But he was given two chances to rule it out completely, and he didn’t.”

Gingrich, Romney Maintain High Favorability

November 30, 2011 at 8:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney are maintaining broad popularity in the Republican Party, both far outstripping their GOP rivals.

Gingrich’s favorability is at 60% while Romney’s is at 56%. The difference between Gingrich and Romney in favorability is not statistically significant — but slightly more Republicans see Gingrich “strongly” favorably, 22%, than do Romney, 15%.


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Lawmakers Still Stuffing Bills with Earmarks

November 30, 2011 at 7:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Lawmakers “attempted to pack hundreds of special spending provisions into at least 10 bills in the summer and fall, less than a year after congressional leaders declared a moratorium on earmarks,” the Washington Post reports.

“The moratorium, announced last November in the House and in February in the Senate, is a verbal commitment by the Republican leadership to prohibit lawmakers from directing federal funds to handpicked projects and groups in their districts. Lawmakers have tried to get around the moratorium by promising to allow other groups to compete for the funds. But the legislative language is so narrowly tailored that critics consider the practice to be earmarking by another name.”

Worst Campaign Ever?

November 30, 2011 at 7:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico notes Herman Cain is in the midst of “reassessing” whether to continue his 2012 bid, “but its legacy is already settled: His campaign will go down as one of the most hapless and bumbling operations in modern presidential politics, setting a new standard for how to turn damaging press coverage into something far worse.”

“The botched responses to allegations of marital infidelity, sexual impropriety and his own gaffes — not to mention the puzzling strategic decisions — have, in the eyes of many veteran strategists, reached record levels of ineptitude. It’s an operation that has repeatedly contradicted its own candidate, leveled baseless charges, and put Cain in difficult political spots with little apparent forethought.”

Quote of the Day

November 30, 2011 at 7:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I was the only guy in the room who didn’t know I was dead.”

— Newt Gingrich, in an interview for the just-released e-book, The Right Fights Back by Mike Allen and Evan Thomas, on his unlikely comeback.

Romney on the Hot Seat

November 30, 2011 at 6:33 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In a must-see Fox News interview with Bret Baier last night, Mitt Romney showed why he doesn’t do too many interviews.

Miami Herald: “At times during the interview, Romney was icily peevish. He laughed mirthlessly, or denied video evidence showed him shifting his positions or suggested he was espousing clear positions — which nevertheless required clarification. When pushed, he told Baier at one point that people should read his book.”

“Just what everyone wants: A candidate whose positions require homework, if not a concordance.”

First Read: “If you want to understand why Mitt Romney is the favorite to win the
GOP presidential race but is not the front-runner, just watch the
interview.”

[Read more…]

Gingrich Sold Access, Not Just Ideas

November 30, 2011 at 5:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Newt Gingrich is adamant that he is not a lobbyist, but rather a visionary who traffics in ideas, not influence. But in the eight years since he started his health care consultancy, he has made millions of dollars while helping companies promote their services and gain access to state and federal officials.”

“Mr. Gingrich and his aides have repeatedly emphasized that he is not a registered lobbyist, an important distinction in their effort to position him as an outsider who will transform the ways of Washington. They say that he has never taken a position for money and that corporations have signed on with him because of the strength of his ideas… Yet if Mr. Gingrich has managed to steer clear of legal tripwires, a review of his activities shows how he put his influence to work on behalf of clients with a considerable stake in government policy. Even if he does not appear to have been negotiating legislative language, he and his staff did many of the same things that registered lobbyists do.”

Obama Approval Sinks Below Carter

November 29, 2011 at 9:08 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Whispers: “President Obama’s slow ride down Gallup’s daily presidential job approval index has finally passed below Jimmy Carter, earning Obama the worst job approval rating of any president at this stage of his term in modern political history.”

Of course, there is little significance to approval numbers and re-election this far out, so the comparison is interesting but meaningless.

Perry Denies Campaign Shake Up

November 29, 2011 at 8:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

When asked about reports that campaign manager Rob Johnson and senior adviser Dave Carney had been demoted, Rick Perry called the rumors “just scuttlebutt,” according to NBC News.

Said Perry: “News to me, I’ve talked to both of them within as a matter of fact the last 24 hours. So if they have, news to me. So I would suggest to you that’s just scuttlebutt, highly technical Aggie term for ‘not correct.'”

Gingrich Learns From Others’ Failures

November 29, 2011 at 5:12 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As Newt Gingrich looks to sustain his rise to the top of the Republican presidential field, the Atlantic Wire
looks at some of the lessons Gingrich learned from watching other
candidates’ who briefly enjoyed the status of front runner only to crash
and burn.

Lessons from Michele Bachmann: “Don’t be
anti-science: Gingrich knows he can’t say he agrees with the majority of
scientists who say global warming is real and win the Republican
nomination. But he’s smart enough not to flat-out say it isn’t
real… Don’t forget about the church crowd: Just because we’ve spent
the last few years talking about the Tea Party and it’s lack of interest
in social issues doesn’t mean the culture war went away. Gingrich has
been working hard to win over evangelicals.”

Lessons
from Rick Perry: “Don’t be bad at debates: Obviously. Gingrich is
already trash talking President Obama’s debate skills. Don’t be too
mean: The top word associated with Perry in an Ohio focus group was ‘bully.’ Gingrich has worked hard to avoid criticizing his fellow
Republicans on stage during debates.”

Lessons from
Herman Cain: “Deal with the woman situation: In fairness, Gingrich
probably didn’t learn this from Cain, but from his old foe Bill Clinton.
Gingrich got out in front of his woman problem a long time ago… Know
things about foreign policy.”

Perry Wants Your Support if You’re 21 or Older

November 29, 2011 at 3:47 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Perry apparently doesn’t know the legal voting age is 18, NBC News reports.

Speaking to college students in New Hampshire, he said, “Those of you that will be 21 by November the 12th, I ask for your support and your vote. Those of you who won’t be, just work hard.”

Of course, the age mistake wasn’t the only one he made: the general election is on November 6, 2012, not November 12.

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

November 29, 2011 at 3:21 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I don’t read newspapers in the State of Ohio.”

— Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R), explaining that it doesn’t give him “an uplifting experience.”

[Read more…]

Tea Party Loses Favor

November 29, 2011 at 3:07 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Pew Research poll finds that since the 2010 midterm elections, the Tea Party “has not only lost support nationwide, but also in the congressional districts represented by members of the House Tea Party Caucus.”

Key findings: “More Americans say they disagree (27%) than agree (20%) with the Tea Party movement. A year ago, in the wake of the sweeping GOP gains in the midterm elections, the balance of opinion was just the opposite: 27% agreed and 22% disagreed with the Tea Party.”

“Throughout the 2010 election cycle, agreement with the Tea Party far outweighed disagreement in the 60 House districts represented by members of the Congressional Tea Party Caucus. But as is the case nationwide, support has decreased significantly over the past year; now about as many people living in Tea Party districts disagree (23%) as agree (25%) with the Tea Party.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 29, 2011 at 2:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We want a virgin to do a hooker’s job.”

— Arizona state Sen. Lori Klein (R), quoted by CBS News, on the sexual harassment allegations against Herman Cain.

She added that she has known Cain for 12 years and he’s “never been anything but a gentleman — and I am not an unattractive woman.”

Romney’s Fading Popularity

November 29, 2011 at 12:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tom Jensen: “You want to know the biggest reason Mitt Romney hasn’t surged at any point in the Republican Presidential race this year? It’s because the more GOP primary voters across the country have been exposed to him, the less they’ve liked him. There are 13 places PPP has polled the Republican race in October or November where it also did a poll sometime between January and March. In those places Romney’s net favorability has dropped by an average of 15 points over the course of the year.”

The Least Influential Person Alive

November 29, 2011 at 12:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

GQ gives the honor to former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R).

“Every election season produces a number of hilariously pointless candidates who have no chance of winning. Some of them have value as novelty items. Look! It’s Alan Keyes, the token black Republican! And over there! It’s David Duke! He’s a racist! These are the fun, fringy candidates. The Sharpton Sector, if you will. Then there are folks like Pawlenty, who fail to register even as novelties. T-Paw (as he calls himself) spent much of 2011 as a six-foot-tall paperweight, an aggressively forgettable fellow perfectly suited to the role of debate filler. The $1 million he spent to lose the Iowa straw poll might as well have been burned in front of a group of orphans.”

Cain Mulls Dropping Bid

November 29, 2011 at 12:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Herman Cain told senior members of his campaign “that he is reassessing whether or not to remain in the Republican presidential race on a conference call this morning,” the Washington Post reports.

“Cain’s rethinking of his candidacy comes less than 24 hours after an Atlanta woman named Ginger White alleged that she and the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO had carried on a 13-year extramarital affair. Cain denied the allegation but a statement from his lawyer simply stated that personal matters were not relevant to the candidate’s presidential campaign.”

Interestingly, National Review has a transcript of the phone call.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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