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Democrats Hold Voter Registration Edge in Key States

October 10, 2012 at 8:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Bloomberg analysis finds that Democrats hold the registration advantage over Republicans in four of six battleground states that will play a key role in the presidential election.

“Democrats have the edge over Republicans in Florida, Iowa, Nevada and North Carolina. In Colorado and New Hampshire, Republicans outnumber Democrats, according to the analysis of state data. Three other battlegrounds — Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin — don’t report registration statistics by party.”

Romney Changes Abortion Stance Again

October 10, 2012 at 8:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney told the Des Moines Register that he has no plans to push for legislation limiting abortion, an abrupt switch for a candidate who has said he would appoint Supreme Court justices who would overturn Roe v. Wade.

Said Romney: “There’s no legislation with regards to abortion that I’m familiar with that would become part of my agenda.”

Spokeswoman Andrea Saul later walked back the comment telling the National Review that Romney “would of course support legislation aimed at providing greater protections for life.”

Mark Halperin: “If the Obama campaign has cracked the code on how to make Mitt Romney pay a political price for his late rush to the center on tone and emphasis, we haven’t seen them execute their full plan yet. That might be the central tactical question in the presidential contest right now.”

Sarah Palin Writing a Fitness Book

October 10, 2012 at 8:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sarah Palin sends an email to People magazine:

“Our family is writing a book on fitness and self-discipline focusing on where we get our energy and balance as we still eat our beloved homemade comfort foods!”


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Quote of the Day

October 10, 2012 at 8:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“That’s my party: Irrational overconfidence followed by irrational despair.”

Democratic consultant Jim Jordan, quoted by Politico, on the growing angst among Democrats as Mitt Romney surges in the polls.

Tagg Takes Charge

October 10, 2012 at 8:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

BuzzFeed: “In the blur of well-heeled good looks and generic charisma that defines the public perception of the Romney brood, it’s easy for outside observers to differentiate among them, and to miss the increasingly active role being seized by the candidate’s eldest son. But over the past two months, Tagg has emerged not only as his father’s most motivated surrogate, but also as his most trusted ally and key political adviser.”

Why Romney Pays More for TV Ads

October 10, 2012 at 8:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico looks at the unusual TV-buying strategy by the Romney campaign.

“Unlike other presidential campaigns, which typically outsource their ad reservations and placement to specialized firms with large teams that know how to make the most of the complicated FCC payment procedures, Romney does all his TV buying in-house through a lean operation headed by a single chief buyer.”

“The campaign rarely buys cable ad time, focusing overwhelmingly on broadcast television. Romney places his commercials on a week-to-week basis, rather than booking time well in advance, and typically pays more so that his ads don’t get preempted and to spare his campaign the hassle of haggling over time as prices rise.”

First Read: “If Obama ends up winning the presidential contest, it could very well
come down to this: Team Obama has a tactical advantage over Team Romney,
and that’s especially true when it comes to advertising strategy.”

Welch Questions Jobs Report Again

October 10, 2012 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jack Welch: “Imagine a country where challenging the ruling authorities — questioning, say, a piece of data released by central headquarters — would result in mobs of administration sympathizers claiming you should feel “embarrassed” and labeling you a fool, or worse. Soviet Russia perhaps? Communist China? Nope, that would be the United States right now, when a person (like me, for instance) suggests that a certain government datum (like the September unemployment rate of 7.8%) doesn’t make sense. Unfortunately for those who would like me to pipe down, the 7.8% unemployment figure released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) last week is downright implausible. And that’s why I made a stink about it.”

Back to Ohio

October 10, 2012 at 6:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Two presidential campaigns dealing with sudden reversals of fortune descended on this must-have state Tuesday, one hoping to sustain a new momentum, the other hoping to regain its footing. In both rhetoric and demeanor, President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney came to Ohio acutely aware of the altered terrain. Romney, buoyed by new polls that show him pulling ahead of the president, has shed the languid pace that characterized his travels as recently as last weekend. He appears renewed, even ebullient, and so do his crowds…”

“The race comes down to a few crucial battleground states, none more important than Ohio. And Romney has struggled here.”

Amy Walter: “To win the Buckeye State, Romney needs to do more than close the polling gap or win the early voting race. The Republican nominee has got to re-make his image which has taken a pounding by relentless attacks by Democrats. Can he show Ohioans that he shares their middle class values? Or have Ohioans already formed a solid opinion of him that can’t be changed in the last four weeks?”

Presidential Race Contested in Fewer States

October 10, 2012 at 3:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The AP reports the presidential battleground map “is as compact as it’s been in decades, with just nine states seeing the bulk of candidate visits, campaign ads and get-out-the-vote efforts in the hunt for the 270 Electoral College votes needed for victory. That means just a fraction of Americans will determine the outcome of the race for the White House.”

Pollster Says Obama Can’t Win FL, NC and VA

October 9, 2012 at 9:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Pollster David Paleologos of Suffolk University told Bill O’Reilly that his organization will not be doing any further polls in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia because he believes President Obama has no chance to win those states.

[Read more…]

Bonus Quote of the Day

October 9, 2012 at 9:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We weren’t geniuses last week and we’re not stupid this week. It’s going to be a tight race. We’ve always said that.”

— An unnamed Obama adviser, in an interview with Mark Halperin, while adding that “we have more routes to win than he does.”

Is Romney’s Bounce Already Fading?

October 9, 2012 at 9:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “Over the next few days, more surveys will weigh-in on the size of
Romney’s post-debate bounce. But it’s important to keep an eye on
whether the polls are measuring the peak of Romney’s bounce, which looks
like it was around 4 points before the polls with Sunday interviews
pointed toward a smaller one, or whether they’re measuring the weekend
and later, when there are signs that Romney’s bounce began to fade.
Resolving the size of Romney’s bounce and whether it lasted are two
important, but separate questions. We’ll need to be careful to track
both.”

Obama Will Hold Final Fundraiser

October 9, 2012 at 9:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “will attend his last fundraiser of the 2012 campaign Thursday and then shift into top gear following his disastrous recent debate performance that vaporized his polling lead over challenger Mitt Romney,” The Hill reports.

Sources say the president “will spend the rest of the campaign at swing-state rallies or preparing for the next two debates instead of attending more private fundraisers.”

Quote of the Day

October 9, 2012 at 4:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“You have to scratch your head when the president spends the last week talking about saving Big Bird. I actually think we need to have a president who talks about saving the American people and saving good jobs.”

— Mitt Romney, quoted by Politico.

Latest Swing State Polls

October 9, 2012 at 4:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Obama 47%, Romney 41% (WMUR)

North Carolina: Romney 50%, Obama 41% (Gravis)

Ohio: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (American Research Group)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (CNN/ORC)

Pennsylvania: Obama 43%, Romney 40% (Siena)

Australian PM Launches Blistering Attack

October 9, 2012 at 3:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Australian prime minister Julia Gillard “played her best hand with a brilliant attack on the Conservative opposition leader, Tony Abbott, accusing him of being sexist and a misogynist,” the Telegraph reports.

Gillard was defending parliamentary Speaker Peter Slipper who resigned “just hours after he survived a motion to sack him for lurid text messages he sent to a former staffer.”

The video is extraordinary.

“Defending the indefensible is a pretty tough job and could still cost her dear. But what she did have was an impressive set of insults to launch at the high and mighty Abbott – which has completely and cleverly shifted the focus of the entire news story ever since.”

[Read more…]

Cuomo Hires High Profile Spokesperson

October 9, 2012 at 3:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) has hired Allison Gollust, former head spokesperson at NBC Universal, as his new communications director, Azi Paybarah reports.

“Gollust may be a more out-front presence than her predecessor, particularly once Cuomo lifts his self-imposed virtual ban on non-New York media in the run-up to 2016. She is replacing Richard Bamberger, a personal-publicity-shy former television producer who is departing for a job in the private sector.”

Congressman Announces His Mother Will Vote for Him

October 9, 2012 at 1:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Sean Duffy (R-WI) touts a major endorsement in a new ad — his own mother. Carol Duffy explains that she’s “a lifelong Democrat” and her Republican son “really had to earn” her vote.

[Read more…]

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Poke the Bear: “Poke the bear” refers to the act of deliberately challenging or provoking a powerful individual, group, or nation, often with the risk of eliciting an ….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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