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Karl Rove and His Super PAC Press On

November 11, 2012 at 7:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Despite a terrible showing on Election Day, Karl Rove believes that American Crossroads and its more secretive issue-advocacy arm, Crossroads GPS — which allows donors to remain anonymous — are here to stay, the Washington Post reports.

“Rove is pondering new missions for Crossroads to address weaknesses laid bare by the GOP’s back-to-back failures to win the White House and the fact that the party fell short when expected to win back the Senate.”

“Where until now it battled only in general elections and against Democrats, Crossroads is considering whether to start picking sides in Republican primaries. The idea would be to boost the candidate it deems most electable and avoid nominating the kind of flawed and extreme ones who cost the party what should otherwise have been easy Senate wins in Florida, Missouri and Indiana.”

Campaign Innovation from the Incumbents

November 11, 2012 at 6:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sasha Issenberg: “It is no coincidence that in both 2004 and 2012 the engines of radical innovation were the campaigns of incumbent presidents. We tend to underappreciate how radically different a presidential re-election is from any other enterprise in American political life. It is the rare chance for candidates to disrupt the cycle of short-term, election-year priorities and invest in their own research agendas instead of being forced to follow a consultant-driven marketplace.”

Huntsman for Secretary of State?

November 10, 2012 at 6:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

White House officials suggest Jon Huntsman (R), the former Utah governor, Obama’s ambassador to China and Republican presidential candidate, might be a candidate for Secretary of State, the AP reports.

“Huntsman is still widely respected by the administration even if he’d hoped to unseat Obama. Choosing Huntsman would allow the president to claim bipartisanship while putting an Asia expert in the job at a time when the U.S. is focusing more attention on the world’s most populous continent.”

KSL-TV: “The speculation caught many political observers off guard. Some told us
that taking another job in the Obama administration might make it hard,
if not impossible, for him to run as a Republican again for the White
House.”


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Bonus Quote of the Day

November 10, 2012 at 5:56 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I would like to see whether I can get untired.”

— Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, in an interview with Gail Collins, on what she’ll do next year.

GOP Collapses in California

November 10, 2012 at 5:21 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

California has entered “a period of Democratic political control so far-reaching that the dwindling number of Republicans in the Legislature are in danger of becoming mere spectators at the statehouse,” the AP reports.

“Democrats hold the governorship and every other statewide office. They gained even more ground in Tuesday’s elections, picking up at least three congressional seats while votes continue to be counted in two other tight races… The party also secured a supermajority in one, and possibly both, chambers in the Legislature.”

Said GOP strategist Steve Schmidt: “Republican leaders should look at California and shudder. The two-party system has collapsed.”

Democrats Fear Kerry Would be Replaced by Brown

November 10, 2012 at 4:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) bid to become Secretary of State may be in jeopardy, ironically, because of Kerry himself, BuzzFeed reports.

When Kerry ran for president in 2004, state Democrats “changed the law to for replacing retiring members, stripping then Gov. Mitt Romney of his ability to appoint a new members and putting in a place a special election process. Kerry obviously never needed a replacement, and perhaps fittingly, following the death of Sen. Ted Kennedy the new law resulted in the state electing Sen. Scott Brown, a Republican.”

“And with Brown on his way out thanks to Elizabeth Warren, he is considered an odds-on favorite to take a special election against the current crop of Democratic contenders.”

One option: Democrats could change the law back to allow the governor to appoint a successor.

Allen West Loses But Won’t Concede

November 10, 2012 at 4:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Allen West (R-FL) refused to concede after the state concluded that challenger Patrick Murphy (D) held a lead beyond the margin needed for an automatic recount, the AP reports.

West was elected in 2010 on a wave of tea party support and has since had a constant string of headline-grabbing statements, from calling congressional Democrats communists to saying President Obama, Rep. Nancy Pelosi and others should “get the hell out of the United States.”

Going Ugly Early

November 10, 2012 at 2:51 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Begala: “Our goal was to take Romney’s greatest strength–his business record–and make it a weakness. We were given a road map by none other than the late, great Ted Kennedy. As the 2008 election was approaching, I paid the senator a visit. I thought Romney might be the GOP nominee, and Kennedy gave me a tutorial on how to beat him. Don’t underestimate Romney, Kennedy said. He’s smart and resourceful and will say anything, take any position. Kennedy recounted how his campaign team tracked down employees of companies that had been shut down after being bought by Bain Capital. Shamelessly copying Kennedy’s plan, we interviewed dozens of laid-off ­middle-class working people. Their stories were emblematic of the collapse of the middle class: factories closed, health benefits canceled, lives ruined.”

“My old friend, former Georgia governor and senator Zell Miller, taught me that ‘a hit dog barks,’ but Romney remained silent. I am still amazed that Romney did not respond. He allowed our little, underfunded super PAC to define him as Gordon Gekko. Without his business record, Romney was left with nothing but his charm.”

Romney Quickly Losing Facebook Friends

November 10, 2012 at 2:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Soon after Mitt Romney conceded the presidential election, more than
55,025 Facebook users have “unliked” Romney, at a rate of about
847 an hour, according to Mashable. 

Obama Formally Wins Florida

November 10, 2012 at 12:59 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama has been declared the winner of Florida in the presidential election, the Associated Press reports.

The final Electoral College tally is Obama 332, Romney 206.

The latest nationwide popular vote tally is Obama 50.6%, Romney 47.9%.

Second-Guessing Mitt Romney

November 10, 2012 at 11:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Week lists seven things he should have done differently.

Did Obama Win a Mandate?

November 10, 2012 at 10:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “Arguing whether Mr Obama has a mandate is like debating whether somebody has mojo, or whether basketball star LeBron James is ‘in the zone’ on a given night: there’s a discussion to be had, but no way to come to a definite conclusion.”

Florida Screws Up Voting Again

November 10, 2012 at 10:45 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Hasen: “Think of all the problems in Florida: the on, again off again in-person absentee balloting in Miami Dade, put in place by local election officials against the wishes of the mayor to get around the cutbacks on early voting by the governor and legislature; the multiple ballot snafus in Palm Beach County; long lines in cites throughout the state; major problems in handling some absentee ballots; election officials in one county telling people that they could vote through the end of the day Wednesday.”

“Let’s declare Florida an election disaster area and bring in the feds.”

Thomas Jefferson: The Art of Power

November 10, 2012 at 10:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out next week: Thomas Jefferson: The Art of Power by Jon Meacham.

New York Times: “Meacham is one of several journalists turned historians who belong to what might be called the Flawed Giant School… Books in this mode usually present their subjects as figures of heroic grandeur despite all-too-human shortcomings — and so, again, speak directly to the current moment, with its diminished faith in government and in the nation’s elected leaders. Few are better suited to this uplifting task than Meacham.”

Karl Rove Under Fire

November 10, 2012 at 10:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “The face of the historic $1-billion plan to unseat President Obama and turn the Senate Republican, Karl Rove now finds himself the leading scapegoat for its failure. And he’s scrambling to protect his status as a top GOP money man by convincing disappointed donors to his Crossroads groups that he did the best he could with their $300 million.”

“During a secret Thursday afternoon conference call with his benefactors, Rove laid out the analytics behind his assertions to donors that a massive late-game advertising push would expand the electoral map into Pennsylvania and deliver the White House and the Senate.”

National Memo: Karl Rove gets philosophical.

“My Wife’s Lover”

November 10, 2012 at 8:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With David Petraeus stepping down as CIA Director over an extramarital affair, a reader points out a letter to The Ethicist that ran over the summer:

front111012.jpg“My wife is having an affair with a government executive. His role is to manage a project whose progress is seen worldwide as a demonstration of American leadership. (This might seem hyperbolic, but it is not an exaggeration.) I have met with him on several occasions, and he has been gracious. (I doubt if he is aware of my knowledge.) I have watched the affair intensify over the last year, and I have also benefited from his generosity. He is engaged in work that I am passionate about and is absolutely the right person for the job. I strongly feel that exposing the affair will create a major distraction that would adversely impact the success of an important effort. My issue: Should I acknowledge this affair and finally force closure? Should I suffer in silence for the next year or two for a project I feel must succeed? Should I be ‘true to my heart’ and walk away from the entire miserable situation and put the episode behind me? NAME WITHHELD “

Meanwhile, the Washington Post reports a FBI investigation “uncovered e-mails describing an affair between Petraeus and Paula Broadwell, a former military officer and co-author of a glowing biography of Petraeus.”

Quote of the Day

November 10, 2012 at 8:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“What’s been interesting to watch is that our data has been remarkably
consistent really from last spring forward, and our battleground polls
really didn’t fluctuate much. There were times when it would dip to
where we had a 2-point lead in the battleground states. There’s one poll
over the course that we had a 1-point lead.  By and large, we’ve been 3
and 4 points ahead in the battleground polls.”

— David Axelrod, in an interview with Mike Allen, giving a postmortem on the 2012 presidential campaign.

Ryan Lost His Hometown Badly

November 10, 2012 at 8:19 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Even though Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) won re-election at the same time he was on the national ticket, the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel notes he was crushed in his hometown of Janesville, WI by challenger Rob Zerban (D), 55% to 44%. Ryan had never lost Janesville in a re-election campaign before.

In addition, the Obama-Biden ticket defeated Romney-Ryan ticket in Janesville by a whopping 25 points, 62% to 37%.

“The drop-off from the Ryan congressional vote to the Romney-Ryan presidential vote was much larger in Janesville (7.2 points) than it was in the rest of the congressional district (3 points). Put another way, there were more Ryan ticket-splitters in Janesville than other places: people who voted for Ryan for Congress but against Ryan for vice president.”

Fox News: What’s next for Paul Ryan?

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Godwin’s Law: Godwin’s Law is a term first promulgated in 1990 by author and lawyer Mike Godwin.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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