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Obama Keeps Lead as Undecided Voters Shrink

September 24, 2012 at 6:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Politico/GWU Battleground poll finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by three points among likely voters, 50% to 47%.

Key finding: “The universe of voters who might change their mind also has shrunk significantly. One in five supporting a candidate said they’d consider someone else last month. Now it’s closer to one in 10. Regardless of who they’re supporting, 60 percent now expect Obama to win.”

A new Zogby Poll shows Obama with an eight point lead nationally, 49% to 41%.

A new Angus-Reid poll finds Obama ahead by two points, 48% to 46%.

A new Winston Group poll also finds Obama ahead by two points, 48% to 46%.

Another Poll Finds Obama Leading in Florida

September 23, 2012 at 7:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by four points, 50% to 46%.

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 23, 2012 at 7:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Well, it doesn’t need a turnaround. I’ve got a very effective campaign. It’s doing a very good job.”

— Mitt Romney, in an interview on 60 Minutes.


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SNL Takes on Mitt Romney

September 23, 2012 at 5:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

More hidden camera videos of Mitt Romney surfaced on Saturday Night Live.

[Read more…]

Lawmaker Says Campaign Office was Vandalized

September 23, 2012 at 5:09 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Michael Grimm’s (R-NY) campaign office on Staten Island was allegedly vandalized and burglarized overnight, Politicker reports.

Staffers arrived at the office this morning to discover multiple windows that had apparently been broken with cement blocks but “upon further investigation, the NYPD discovered computers inside the office had their hard drives erased.

A Grimm spokesman said the campaign “does believe this is politically motivated.”

Ohio Under Siege

September 23, 2012 at 3:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Philadelphia Inquirer: “In the Columbus media market, home to the broadcast stations she watches, 18,482 presidential campaign ads aired during a typical late August week… That was three times more than in the close 2004 election and double the volume of four years ago.”

“Most of the spots are negative: President Obama, hapless failure; Republican Mitt Romney, heartless plutocrat.”

“The ads will not let up in Columbus, or Cleveland or Cincinnati or Toledo because Ohio is perhaps the most closely contested political real estate in the nation, a pivotal swing state with 18 electoral votes. Democratic and Republican strategists alike consider it a must-win.”

The Casual Vacancy

September 23, 2012 at 2:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

J.K. Rowling’s first novel for adults, The Casual Vacancy, is finally out this week.

The story centers on a special election for a vacant town council seat that becomes “the catalyst for the biggest war the town has yet seen. Who will triumph in an election fraught with passion, duplicity and unexpected revelations?”

The New Yorker interviews Rowling who notes two years into writing the book she picked up the standard British handbook for local administrators: “I needed it to check certain abstruse points. And in there I came across the phrase ‘a casual vacancy.’ Meaning, when a seat falls vacant through death or scandal. And immediately I knew that that was the title.”

Quote of the Day

September 23, 2012 at 2:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Mitt Romney I think has an advantage, because he’s been through 20 of
these debates in the primaries over the last year.”

— Obama adviser Robert Gibbs, quoted by CNN.

Oops!

September 23, 2012 at 1:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A must-read: Oops! A Diary from the 2012 Campaign Trail by Jay Root.

Only available in iBooks format so far.

Rehberg Holds Edge Over Tester in Montana

September 23, 2012 at 11:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Mason-Dixon poll in Montana finds challenger Denny Rehberg (R) with a slight edge over Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) in U.S. Senate race, 48% to 45%.

Said pollster Brad Coker: “Usually, if an incumbent is trailing, that’s a problem. But this is just too close to call.”

The Return of Ralph Reed

September 23, 2012 at 8:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times looks at the unlikely revival of Ralph Reed who soon “plans to unleash a sophisticated, microtargeted get-out-the-evangelical-vote operation that he believes could nudge open a margin of victory if Mr. Romney can keep the race close.”

“White evangelicals are a crucial voting constituency, 26 percent of the 2008 electorate and overwhelmingly Republican in recent presidential cycles, exit polls show. With so few truly undecided voters left, bumping up evangelical turnout in swing states like Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio would almost certainly help Mr. Romney.”

Obama Ahead in Ohio

September 23, 2012 at 7:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Enquirer/Ohio Newspaper Organization poll in Ohio shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney in the crucial battleground state by five points, 51% to 46%.

Key finding: “When survey participants were asked which candidate would do the best job of improving economic conditions in Ohio, Obama prevailed by 5 points.”

Said pollster Eric Rademacher: “Clearly, how Ohioans view the two candidates in terms of their ability to improve Ohio’s economy over the next four years will go a long way in determining who wins Ohio’s 18 electoral votes.”

Can Super PACs Help Romney?

September 23, 2012 at 6:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Republican super PACs are about to face a potentially existential test of their reach and impact as the 2012 election cycle comes to a close, with their spending being closely watched as a way of answering a central question at the core of modern American politics: can an avalanche of money from outside groups move the needle in the presidential race and Senate contests across the country.”

Florida Remains Very Tight

September 22, 2012 at 11:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll in Florida finds President Obama edging Mitt Romney, 48% to 47%.

Said pollster Brad Coker: “It’s still very much a toss-up. It’s a turnout game.”

Cuomo Waits for Hillary

September 22, 2012 at 4:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times reports New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D), who is mulling a presidential bid in 2016, and his inner circle have their eyes fixed on Hillary Clinton, “whose already sky-high stature among Democratic activists was enhanced by her husband’s crowd-pleasing speech this month at the party’s convention in Charlotte, N.C., and who can count on broad support if she decides to run.”

“Mrs. Clinton complicates Mr. Cuomo’s ambitions in several ways. Despite the fact that she hails from Illinois, she is now viewed as a New Yorker and commands deep loyalty from the state’s Democratic establishment. And Mr. Cuomo, 54, reveres her husband, former President Bill Clinton; he views Mr. Clinton as a mentor who helped him begin a career in politics, according to Cuomo friends and associates.”

One Democrat close to Cuomo said “the situation was making the Cuomo camp cranky, in part because the governor, a skilled strategic thinker, did not like to be captive to others’ ambitions.”

How Romney Packed the Univision Forum

September 22, 2012 at 2:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney’s campaign packed the audience for the Univision forum at the University of Miami this week by busing in supporters “after exhausting the few conservative groups on campus,” BuzzFeed reports.

Staffers even threatened to reschedule the event if organizers did not allow the exception to their student-only rule.

Mitt Romney himself also refused to come out on stage after anchors noted he “had agreed to give the network 35 minutes, and that Obama had agreed to a full hour the next night.” Romney insisted they re-tape the introduction.

Said one of the Univision anchors: “It was a little bit of disrespect for us.”

Pennsylvania Democrats Exploit Voter ID Loophole

September 22, 2012 at 1:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A voter-ID mutiny launched by two Democratic-controlled Pennsylvania counties “showed signs of spreading across the state Friday, as Philadelphia and a handful of other local governments said they, too, would consider issuing poll-ready identification cards through county-run nursing homes and colleges,” the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

“The move exploits a loophole in the new law that allows both colleges and senior-care centers to provide such cards to anyone who lives in the county — not just to the people who attend those colleges or reside in those centers.”

Quote of the Day

September 22, 2012 at 1:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“With so much at stake in this election, both Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan should ‘go rogue’ and not hold back from telling the American people the true state of our economy and national security. They need to continue to find ways to break through the filter of the liberal media to communicate their message of reform.”

— Sarah Palin, in a statement to the Weekly Standard.

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Word of the Day

Demagogue: A demagogue is a politician whose rhetoric appeals to raw emotions such as fear and hatred in order to gain power, rather than using rational ….

Read the full definition

About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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