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Obama Releases New Ad on Romney’s 47% Remarks

September 25, 2012 at 3:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Obama campaign launched a second TV ad slamming Mitt Romney over his “47%” hidden camera video remarks, NBC News reports.

The ad will run in eight states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Virginia. The first TV ad seizing using the hidden camera video — released yesterday — was aimed to just Ohio.

[Read more…]

Dick Morris Says Romney Will Win Handily

September 25, 2012 at 3:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dick Morris told Sean Hannity that, “barring any debate debacle,” Mitt Romney will win the presidential election by “4 or 5 points” and will win Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Virginia and Pennsylvania.

[Read more…]

Geithner Says He Won’t Write a Book

September 25, 2012 at 3:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner said he didn’t plan to write a book about his “first-hand experience of the financial crisis, the aftermath, and the politics of Washington” but joked that, “A lot of people are telling my story,” according to the Wall Street Journal.

“The comment came the same day former FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair’s memoir, Bull by the Horns, was released. Ms. Bair and Mr. Geithner spent years at war with each other over what to do during the financial crisis, and her book reveals many of their battles in detail.”


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Romney Campaign Challenges the Polls

September 25, 2012 at 3:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney political director Rich Beeson told BuzzFeed the campaign’s internal polls are telling a different story than the public polls.

Said Beeson: “The public polls are what the public polls are. I kind of hope the Obama campaign is basing their campaign decisions on the public polls… I have great faith in our data.”

He added, “We are, by any stretch, inside the margin of error in Ohio.”

Police Say Nothing Stolen from Grimm’s Office

September 25, 2012 at 1:44 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Police investigating the weekend break-in at Rep. Michael Grimm’s (R-NY) campaign office tell the New York Times that “experts had examined the campaign’s computer systems and concluded that nothing had been erased or tampered with” and that “there was no evidence that an intruder had been in the office.”

“At this point, there is no indication that it was anything other than an act of vandalism.”

However, Grimm told the Staten Island Advance that the incident was nothing less than an “attack on free elections.”

Update: The AP reports police now say a teenager has admitted to the vandalism.

Romney Caught in a Trap

September 25, 2012 at 1:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent: “Mitt Romney might still win this election, but he’s now stuck in a trap that will be difficult to escape. Americans are rejecting his argument that they should view their choice mostly as a referendum on Obama’s economic performance, because they blame the sluggish recovery on the magnitude of the mess Obama inherited from George W. Bush, and believe things will get better in Obama’s second term. That is putting pressure on Romney to be more specific about why his alternative, such as it is, would spark a faster recovery than is occurring under Obama.”

“But Romney can’t be too much more specific about that alternative, because it risks reminding voters of the degree to which his policies resemble those of the aforementioned George W. Bush, under whom the meltdown happened in the first place.”

Brown Staffers Caught on Video Chanting Indian War Whoops

September 25, 2012 at 11:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Scott Brown’s (R-MA) staffers chanted Indian “war whoops” and made “tomahawk chops” during a campaign rally for the senator this week, WCVB-TV reports.

A video shows Brown staffers holding campaign signs “chanting and making tomahawk chops, presumably in reference to Elizabeth Warren’s claims of Cherokee heritage.”

[Read more…]

Latest Swing State Polls

September 25, 2012 at 11:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states, updated as needed through the day:

Florida: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Washington Post)

Nevada: Obama 52%, Romney 43% (PPP/LCV)

Nevada: Obama 46%, Romney 46% (Bolger)

Ohio: Obama 52%, Romney 44% (Washington Post)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (Gravis)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 40% (Mercyhurst University

Romney Waits for His Clinton Bounce

September 25, 2012 at 10:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney got a warm introduction from Bill Clinton before of his speech at the Clinton Global Initiative, Politico reports.

Romney thanked Clinton: “If there’s one thing we’ve learned in this election by the way it’s that a few words from Bill Clinton can do a lot of good.”

He joked that he would now wait a few days for his “bounce.”

Why Republicans Say Polls are Wrong

September 25, 2012 at 10:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

National Journal: “It has become a recurring refrain among some Republican pundits and observers each time a new poll shows President Obama or downballot Democrats doing well: Check the party composition.”

“Critics allege that pollsters are interviewing too many Democrats — and too few Republicans or independents — and artificially inflating the Democratic candidates’ performance. Pollsters counter that the results they are finding reflect slight changes in public sentiment — and, moreover, adjusting their polls to match arbitrary party-identification targets would be unscientific.”

Elephant in the Room

September 25, 2012 at 10:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just published: Elephant in the Room: Washington in the Bush Years by Paul Glastris and Steve Benen.

The book explores why, despite efforts to airbrush him out of today’s political conversation, George W. Bush remains central to it.

Time for Romney to Write Off Ohio?

September 25, 2012 at 10:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “We noted yesterday the importance of Ohio in this presidential election and to Romney. But it’s hard to overstate it – this may be the make-or-break week for the campaign in the state. If this week’s bus tour doesn’t move the needle, as the Romney campaign might say, they very well could decide to all but write off the Buckeye State. They won’t say it explicitly; they’ll go through the motions, but they may have no choice than to try and shore up or make in roads in places like Wisconsin, Colorado Florida, and Virginia.”

Alex Burns: “Ohio isn’t the only reason why national Republicans are so pessimistic
about Romney’s campaign right now, but it is one of the big reasons, and
it’s why the Romney campaign’s continued references to national
tracking polls are wide of the mark. Even if Romney managed to move the
national campaign 2 to 3 points in his direction, it would probably
leave him short of a win unless he improved his position in Ohio by a
bigger margin.”

Quote of the Day

September 25, 2012 at 10:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This guy has gotten more free passes than a 12-year-old boy at a fair.”

— Rep. Mike Kelly (R-PA), in an interview with the Washington Post, on President Obama.

Little Time for Diplomacy

September 25, 2012 at 10:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Mr. Obama was scheduled to attend a reception for world leaders
at the United Nations on Monday night. But a campaign adviser
acknowledged privately that in this election year, campaigning trumped
meetings with world leaders. ‘Look, if he met with one leader, he would
have to meet with 10,’ the aide said, speaking on the condition of
anonymity.”

No Audacity

September 25, 2012 at 5:34 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “is running as the kind of careful, poll-watching politician he disdained the first time he ran for president,” Politico reports.

“Obama 2012 has become the silver-templed soul of caution, embracing Napoleon’s dictum of ‘never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake’… In doing so, Obama’s campaign team is seeking to take advantage of Romney’s own well-chronicled reluctance, at least so far, to release a slate of policy proposals comparable to the detailed blueprints put forth by Obama and other candidates four years ago.”

The Partisan

September 24, 2012 at 7:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In the mail: The Partisan: The Life of William Rehnquist by John A. Jenkins.

“The Rehnquist Court, which lasted almost twenty years, was molded in his image. In thirty-three years on the Supreme Court, from 1972 until his death in 2005 at age 80, Rehnquist was at the center of the Court’s dramatic political transformation. He was a partisan, waging a quiet, constant battle to imbue the Court with a deep conservatism favoring government power over individual rights.”

Romney Pushes Forward with Transition Effort

September 24, 2012 at 7:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney’s campaign “may be struggling, but his transition operation is moving full steam ahead,” Politico reports.

“The transition effort — while necessary and appropriate for a GOP nominee so close to the election — is a jarring contrast to a campaign that appears on the ropes to many Republican strategists. Receiving no bump from the Tampa convention, Romney is plowing ahead with a methodical approach to staffing his would-be administration, despite the fact that his campaign is said by some to need a radical makeover.”

Meet Jill Stein

September 24, 2012 at 5:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Glenn Reynolds interviews Dr. Jill Stein, Green Party candidate for president.

“Even Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson — in no danger of overexposure — is drawing much more press attention than she is. Stein puts that down to fear that if she got more attention, her candidacy would pull votes from the clear favorite in the race for many in the press, President Obama.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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