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A Better Deal on TV Ads by Buying Early

September 24, 2012 at 11:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Linda McMahon (R) has not only buried Rep. Chris Murphy (D) in a blizzard of advertising in their U.S. Senate race, “but for weeks she was getting a better deal on her commercials than her more poorly funded rival,” the Stamford Advocate reports.

“McMahon enjoyed a lower rate because many of the contracts with the state’s four major networks were signed as early as the end of April… The early contracts appear to have saved McMahon tens of thousands of dollars up until Sept. 6, when the 60-day period before the election triggered federal requirements of equal billing and availability of broadcast slots.”

Examples: “One recent billing report filed by WFSB, the CBS affiliate on Channel 3, showed that Murphy was charged $900 for a 30-second ad on its evening Eyewitness News. McMahon was charged $40 for a similar spot. A 30-second spot on “Sunday Morning” cost Murphy $800, while McMahon had to pay only $85.”

Debates Grow More Important for Romney

September 24, 2012 at 11:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The first presidential debate is in just nine days.

Rick Klein notes Mitt Romney is under pressure to deliver, “particularly the first encounter Oct. 3 in Denver. His campaign needs to create major moments to change the trajectory of the race, and no opportunity is as ready-made for that as much as the first debate. Romney can make his case on the economy face-to-face with the president.”

“Game Change” Wins Emmy Awards

September 24, 2012 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

HBO’s Game Change nearly swept the miniseries categories during the Emmy awards, “and the presence of parodied Sarah Palin was felt in the speeches and the winners’ reactions backstage,” according to the Hollywood Reporter.

Said actress Julianne Moore: “I feel so validated since Sarah Palin gave me a big thumbs down.”


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Peer-to-Peer Organizing

September 24, 2012 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just published: Future Perfect: The Case For Progress In A Networked Age by Steven Johnson.

Wall Street Journal: “Mr. Johnson envisions a new political movement that embraces the potential of peer networks to improve government, medicine, education and journalism, among much else. He distinguishes ‘peer progressives’ from both libertarians and liberals. The former have too much faith in markets and too little in government, he says, and the latter vice versa. Peer progressives, though, believe that good can be accomplished by all organizations, in any combination, if they harness the power of peer networks.”

Schwarzenegger Re-Emerges

September 24, 2012 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R), who left office nearly two years ago, launches a think tank this week at the University of Southern California called the Schwarzenegger Institute for State and Global Policy, the AP reports.

It marks “a sudden public re-emergence” for Schwarzenegger. His new book, Total Recall: My Unbelievably True Life Story, is out next month, he has “a couple of new movies in post-production and a forthcoming appearance scheduled for CBS’ 60 Minutes.”

“The Place You Hide Your Money”

September 24, 2012 at 10:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Though Democrats often hit Mitt Romney for having an offshore bank account in the Cayman Islands, BuzzFeed finds a 2010 video of running mate Paul Ryan calling the Cayman Islands “the place you hide your money” while making the case for changing the corporate income tax.

Can You Run Government Like a Business?

September 24, 2012 at 10:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New Yorker asks Mitt Romney if it was possible to run the government the way you would run a business.

Said Romney: “The private sector is less forgiving. If you make serious mistakes in the private sector, you’ll lose your job, or, if you’re in a position of responsibility, you might lose other people’s jobs. In politics, politicians make mistakes all the time and blame their opposition, or borrow more money, or raise taxes to pay for their mistake. In the business world, the ability to speak fast and convincingly is of very little value. I remember the first time I met Jack Welch. I expected him to be a super-salesman. Instead, he spoke quietly, somewhat haltingly, but brilliantly. Stuff matters a lot more than fluff in the private sector.”

It’s a subject we tackle at length in You Won – Now What?

On Romney’s Tax Returns

September 24, 2012 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “The Romney camp’s timing was smart — on its worst week of the campaign, dump all the bad news you can to get everything out of the way. But the campaign also didn’t answer all the questions about Romney’s past tax returns; the only way to do that would be to release the actual returns, not a short summary. But here’s the bottom line about the tax-return issue: The Obama campaign succeeded in making it a talking point and attack (just see its new TV ad), and the Romney camp seems to have succeeded in its goal to not release the actual returns prior to 2010.”

The Week has four takeaways on what Romney’s tax returns tell us about him.

Obama Ad Uses Hidden Camera Video of Romney

September 24, 2012 at 9:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Obama campaign ties together Mitt Romney’s “47% moment” with the release of his 2011 tax return in a tough new ad.

[Read more…]

Listening in to the Kennedy White House

September 24, 2012 at 9:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Out this week: Listening In: The Secret White House Recordings of John F. Kennedy, complete with audio recordings.

ABC News: “The records offer a trove of first-hand material for historians focused on some of the most turbulent days of the Kennedy presidency. Starting in July 1962, Kennedy had a sophisticated taping system installed in the Oval Office and Cabinet Room at the White House, presumably to record history for future use in memoirs. The resulting 248 hours of meetings, plus 17-plus hours of phone conversations and private presidential reflections, were probably never listened to by Kennedy himself before his assassination in November 1963.”

Obama Could Block Romney in Three Key States

September 24, 2012 at 9:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Amy Walter talks off-the-record to a handful of Democratic and Republican political operatives who agree that Wisconsin, Nevada, and Ohio “are the toughest states for Romney to win. If he loses all three he can’t win. Even if he swept all the other toss up states he’d end up with just 267 to Obama’s 271.”

Florida, Colorado, and New Hampshire are the best opportunities for Romney and though recent polling has Obama up in Virginia, “operatives on both sides think the state is much more competitive than that.”

First Read: “Right now, you could argue that Obama is in a stronger position in North
Carolina (his most challenging battleground state) than Romney is in
Ohio (a state that EVERY victorious Republican presidential nominee has
won).”

Ryan Hits Conservative Critics

September 24, 2012 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In a Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel interview, Rep. Paul Ryan slapped back at conservative critics who say the Romney campaign has been vague and timid.

Said Ryan: “A, we still have a ways to go. We still have a lot left that we’re planning on doing. B, I think that’s just what conservatives do by nature. I think that’s just the nature of conservative punditry is to do that – to kind of complain – about any imperfection they might see.”

The Week looks at Romney’s five toughest Republican critics.

Could Obama Achieve Reagan Status?

September 24, 2012 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Andrew Sullivan: “If Obama wins, to put it bluntly, he will become the Democrats’ Reagan. The narrative writes itself. He will emerge as an iconic figure who struggled through a recession and a terrorized world, reshaping the economy within it, passing universal health care, strafing the ranks of al -Qaeda, presiding over a civil-rights revolution, and then enjoying the fruits of the recovery. To be sure, the Obama recovery isn’t likely to have the same oomph as the one associated with Reagan–who benefited from a once-in-a-century cut of top income tax rates (from 70 percent to, at first, 50 percent, and then to 28 percent) as well as a huge jump in defense spending at a time when the national debt was much, much less of a burden. But Obama’s potential for Reagan status (maybe minus the airport-naming) is real.”

“Yes, Bill Clinton won two terms and is a brilliant pol bar none, as he showed in Charlotte in the best speech of both conventions. But the crisis Obama faced on his first day–like the one Reagan faced–was far deeper than anything Clinton confronted, and the future upside therefore is much greater. And unlike Clinton’s constant triangulating improvisation, Obama has been playing a long, strategic game from the very start–a long game that will only truly pay off if he gets eight full years to see it through. That game is not only changing America. It may also bring his opposition, the GOP, back to the center, just as Reagan indelibly moved the Democrats away from the far left.”

Conservatives Want to Unleash Paul Ryan

September 24, 2012 at 7:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Through the halls of Congress and well beyond, a whisper campaign is bursting into the open: Rather than burden him with the usual constraints on a ticket’s No. 2 not to upstage or get ahead of the presidential nominee, let Ryan be Ryan and take a detailed, policy-heavy fight to President Obama and the Democrats.”

Romney’s Lead with Older Voters Evaporates

September 24, 2012 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll “indicates that during the past two weeks — since just after the Democratic National Convention — support for Romney among Americans age 60 and older has crumbled, from a 20-point lead over President Obama to less than 4 points.”

“Romney’s double-digit advantages among older voters on the issues of healthcare and Medicare — the nation’s health insurance program for those over 65 and the disabled — also have evaporated, and Obama has begun to build an advantage in both areas.”

Quote of the Day

September 24, 2012 at 6:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think that, you know, as president I bear responsibility for everything, to some degree.”

— President Obama, in an interview on 60 Minutes.

Romney Steps Up Pace in Latest Reboot

September 24, 2012 at 6:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Trailing in most polls of battleground states, Mr. Romney embarks on his busiest week of campaigning since August’s Republican convention. He is in the middle of two days of events in Colorado before heading east for a speech in New York at the Clinton Global Initiative, then appearances in Ohio as part of a bus tour of the state.”

“In its latest bid to re-energize the campaign, the Romney camp has begun rolling out messages tailored to key groups in individual states, offering a housing plan in Nevada, where foreclosures have been high, and saying in Florida that Mr. Obama is undermining the space program, which is important to the state’s economy. Mr. Romney has run ads aimed at raising doubts about Mr. Obama’s energy policy in coal-rich parts of Ohio and Virginia. Aides said that effort will continue in coming weeks.”

Obama Keeps Lead as Undecided Voters Shrink

September 24, 2012 at 6:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Politico/GWU Battleground poll finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by three points among likely voters, 50% to 47%.

Key finding: “The universe of voters who might change their mind also has shrunk significantly. One in five supporting a candidate said they’d consider someone else last month. Now it’s closer to one in 10. Regardless of who they’re supporting, 60 percent now expect Obama to win.”

A new Zogby Poll shows Obama with an eight point lead nationally, 49% to 41%.

A new Angus-Reid poll finds Obama ahead by two points, 48% to 46%.

A new Winston Group poll also finds Obama ahead by two points, 48% to 46%.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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