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Bloomberg Still Sees No Worthy Successor

January 8, 2013 at 10:02 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times suggests outgoing New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg is unhappy with the slate of candidates running to succeed him.

“Bloomberg has mused about a Mayor Charles E. Schumer with the Democratic senator from New York, and teased Mortimer B. Zuckerman, a fellow billionaire media mogul, about a possible bid. The mayor’s advisers raised the idea of a run with Edward G. Rendell, the former Democratic governor of Pennsylvania and mayor of Philadelphia, and with Edward Skyler, Mr. Bloomberg’s former top deputy in City Hall… The mayor’s most formal overture was delivered to Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, perhaps Mr. Bloomberg’s most quixotic choice for the job.”

First Read: “How much sway does Bloomberg really have though? Yes, he changed the rules to win a third term, but voters didn’t overwhelmingly send him back. He spent millions to win a race that should never been as close as it was. Candidates who decide to fall under Bloomberg’s spell about running ought to take a look at the 2009 results: Bloomberg didn’t crack 51%.”

Gabby Giffords Launches Gun Control Effort

January 8, 2013 at 9:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

On the second anniversary of being shot through the head by a deranged gunman, former Rep. Gabby Giffords (D-AZ) and her husband, Mark Kelly, are launching a new gun control effort, ABC News reports.

They write in USA Today: “In response to a horrific series of shootings that has sown terror in
our communities, victimized tens of thousands of Americans, and left
one of its own bleeding and near death in a Tucson parking lot, Congress
has done something quite extraordinary — nothing at all.”

Obama’s “In Your Face” Second Term

January 8, 2013 at 7:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Frank Wilkinson says the nomination of former Sen. Chuck Hagel as defense secretary “represents both an affront to Republicans, who have never honestly reckoned with the disasters of George W. Bush’s foreign policy, and to Democrats, who have spent decades crafting foreign policy designed in part to avoid inciting aggression not from abroad, but from Republicans.”

“Obama may or may not believe Hagel is the best person for the job. But he certainly is mindful of the challenge he has just laid down. Unless opponents can restrict the debate on Hagel to his views — real or imagined — on Israel, they risk litigating the disastrous policies that Hagel rejected and his most vociferous critics embraced.”

“An oddly similar battle awaits on the debt ceiling. Obama says that, unlike 2011, he will not negotiate on the debt ceiling. To hold that line, he will have to explain — repeatedly — that spending is initiated in the House and passed by Congress. In other words, the battle presents an opportunity to stick Republicans with their share of blame for the deficit, a reckoning they have evaded as assiduously as the one on Iraq and Afghanistan.”


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Boehner Blinks in Debt Ceiling Fight

January 8, 2013 at 7:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Greg Sargent notes that House Speaker John Boehner essentially admitted that the GOP’s threat not to raise the nation’s debt ceiling in budget negotiations with President Obama is an empty one.

“Boehner does this by threatening to only agree to ‘monthly’ debt ceiling hikes. But this should be read, if anything, as a sign of weakness. It’s essentially a concession that the debt limit has to be raised; Boehner is merely threatening to drag his feet as he allows the inevitable to happen. But it’s just nonsense. The business community is not going to go for such a course of action, to put it mildly. And it risks dragging the country through monthly threats of default, a terrible thing to inflict on the American people.”

“Ultimately, what this highlights is the utter incoherence of the GOP position on the debt ceiling. Republican leaders know they have to raise the debt limit — they know the threat not to do this isn’t credible, and they need to signal to the business community that they don’t view this option seriously — yet they want to continue to use it as leverage to get what they want, anyway.”

Most Republicans Disapproved of Boehner Negotiations

January 8, 2013 at 7:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll finds 52% of Republican voters disapprove of the way House Speaker John Boehner handled the fiscal cliff negotiations, a 15-percentage point jump from December when the talks were ongoing.

Among the most conservative Republican and independent voters, disapproval of Boehner spiked from 36% to 61%.

Richard Cramer Dies at 62

January 8, 2013 at 6:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times reports that Richard Ben Cramer, the Pulitzer Prize-winning reporter and the author of What It Takes, a superbly detailed account of the 1988 presidential election considered among the finest books about American politics ever written, died last night at 62.

Jonathan Martin: “It’s insufficient to say that Cramer’s 1,047-page tour de force on
the 1988 presidential race is the best book ever written about a
campaign. It is that. But what makes it so valuable, so rewarding, just
so much damn fun is that it illustrates why politics and journalism is
so much damn fun.”

Some Want Court to Resolve Debt Standoff

January 8, 2013 at 5:48 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Democratic lawmakers are urging President Obama “to force Republicans to take him to court over the controversial issue of raising the debt ceiling,” The Hill reports.

“They believe the Supreme Court will have to ultimately resolve the battle over spending now raging between Republicans and the president. But how the courts will rule is shrouded in uncertainty because little case law exists to serve as meaningful precedent.”

Can Rick Perry Repair His Image?

January 7, 2013 at 4:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Houston Chronicle reports the legislative session that opens tomorrow will give Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) “a chance to burnish his credentials if he chooses to make another run for president in 2016.”

“But some are hard-pressed to imagine a session — or anything else — good enough to make voters forget his disastrous White House race that limped to an end just about a year ago… Perry turned into a punch line after a series of campaign missteps punctuated by his inability to remember all the federal departments he wanted to shut down, a debate lapse that entered the big leagues of embarrassing moments when he gave up with an ‘oops.'”

Obama Seen as Clear Winner in Fiscal Cliff Fight

January 7, 2013 at 2:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Pew Research survey finds President Obama is viewed as the clear political winner in the fiscal cliff negotiations, 57% to 20%, “but the legislation itself gets only a lukewarm reception from the public: As many disapprove as approve of the new tax legislation, and more say it will have a negative than positive impact on the federal budget deficit, the national economy and people like themselves.”

Selling Chuck Hagel

January 7, 2013 at 2:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The plan, according to administration officials, is to cast Hagel as a
war veteran, a Republican who still shares ideals with a party that has
largely shunned him, and — above all else — someone who won’t set
official U.S. policy,” BuzzFeed reports.

“The White House’s strategy seeks to sell Hagel as a technocrat with
an impeccable record of military service whose only sin against the GOP
in the Senate was his opposition to the Iraq war — a conflict that is
now immensely unpopular. Once that image is articulated to the public,
an administration official said, Obama will dare Republicans to vote
against him.”

Mark Halperin: “The two most important senators in this nomination right now are
McConnell and McCain. If Hagel has their support, he should be home
free. If he loses one or both of them, and even a single Democrat, the
dynamics become more challenging for the White House.”

Inaugural Tickets Sell Out Before They Were Even For Sale

January 7, 2013 at 2:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A computer glitch at Ticketmaster “has created frustration and outrage among hundreds of people who wanted to buy tickets to one of President Obama’s two official inaugural balls beginning Monday, only to find all of them have been sold,” the Washington Post reports.

A GOP Civil War Looks Possible

January 7, 2013 at 1:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “The Republicans could nominate a unifying candidate in the 2016 primaries–you never know–but a contested primary would probably break along geographic lines. In retrospect, the 2012 primary might have been a sneak preview. Even though Romney possessed vastly superior resources and acceded to every substantive demand of the right, the GOP primary electorate divided neatly between north and south. Southerners concerned with nominating an authentic conservative never embraced Romney: Despite the help of a divided field, Romney only broke 31 percent of the vote in one southern state, Florida. Geographic polarization ensured that the 2012 Republican presidential primary lasted until April. The fiscal cliff vote shows that such polarization is becoming the rule rather than the exception. If a blue-state Republican secures the GOP presidential nomination thanks to winner-take-all contests in blue states like New Jersey and California, Krauthammer might actually get his civil war.”

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

January 7, 2013 at 1:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sadly, Harry Reid has again revealed himself to be an idiot.”

— Sen. David Vitter (R-LA), in a statement, blasting Senate Majority Harry Reid’s (D-NV) comments that Hurricane Sandy last year was more devastating the Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

Supreme Court to Hear Same-Sex Marriage Cases

January 7, 2013 at 1:25 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Supreme Court has set aside two days in late March to hear oral argument on the same-sex marriage cases, NBC News reports.

On March 26, the court will take up the fight over California’s Proposition 8, which banned same-sex marriage in the state. The next day, it will hear the challenge to the federal Defense of Marriage Act, which bars the federal government from recognizing same-sex marriages in the states where they’re legal.

The Austere Life of Uruguay’s President

January 7, 2013 at 1:25 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Some world leaders live in palaces. Some enjoy perks like having a discreet butler, a fleet of yachts or a wine cellar with vintage Champagnes. Then there is José Mujica, the former guerrilla who is Uruguay’s president. He lives in a run-down house on Montevideo’s outskirts with no servants at all. His security detail: two plainclothes officers parked on a dirt road.”

“His net worth upon taking office in 2010 amounted to about $1,800 — the value of the 1987 Volkswagen Beetle parked in his garage. He never wears a tie and donates about 90 percent of his salary, largely to a program for expanding housing for the poor.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

January 7, 2013 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I want to give him the space to make his own decision. I’ve announced my intention to run, but the reality is – is we’ve got a good Senator. He’s been loyal. He’s been there for a long time. And I think that he’s got a decision to make.”

— Newark Mayor Cory Booker (D), in an interview with CNN, on Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ), whose seat he wants to run for in 2014.

How Much Does Barney Frank Want to be a Senator?

January 7, 2013 at 11:31 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Boston Globe reports former Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) “is dialing back his opposition to the pending nomination of former senator Chuck Hagel as secretary of defense, saying he is willing to look past the Nebraska Republican’s comments about gays because it is more important that his views prevail on drawing down the war in Afghanistan and reducing wasteful defense spending.”

Frank is angling for the appointment to Sen. John Kerry’s (D-MA) seat should he resign to become secretary of state. The confirmation of Hagel could be one of the first votes for the new interim senator.

Why the Hagel Nomination is a Big Deal

January 7, 2013 at 11:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Peter Beinhart: “What makes Hagel so important, and so threatening to the Republican
foreign-policy elite, is that he is one of the few prominent
Republican-aligned politicians and commentators (George Will and Francis
Fukuyama are others, but such voices are rare) who was intellectually
changed by Iraq. And Hagel was changed, in large measure, because he
bore within him intellectual (and physical) scar tissue from Vietnam…. the Iraq War sparked something visceral in Hagel, as the former Vietnam
rifleman realized that, once again, detached and self-interested elites
were sending working-class kids like himself to die in a war they
couldn’t honestly defend.”

Andrew Sullivan: “To my mind, this is his core qualification. Unlike so many of the
lemmings and partisans of Washington DC, Hagel actually called out the
catastrophe of the Iraq War as it happened. The neocons cannot forgive
him for exposing what they wrought on the nation and the world.”

Wonk Wire: Hagel would give Obama policy cover.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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