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GOP Lawmaker Admits Hastert Rule is Dead

January 18, 2013 at 12:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. John Fleming (R-LA) admitted to TPM that the “Hastert Rule” — which says Republicans will only bring legislation to the floor which is supported by a majority of the majority — may be inoperable in the House when it comes to crucial legislation like raising the debt ceiling.

Said Fleming: “I think the Republicans would have a real problem giving the president a clean debt ceiling, even… short term. Maybe some would do it, but I think to get a majority of the majority vote, I think it’s impossible.”

He added: “I think that the majority of the majority Hastert rule comes out of a time when we had a Republican president. When you have a Democrat president that’s a very hard thing to achieve sometimes — and not necessarily important.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

January 18, 2013 at 11:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If you had told me a year and a half ago that the White House would be devoting time writing on how Lord Vader could fix our economic woes, I would have just laughed loudly at you.”

— A White House staffer, quoted by Mother Jones, reacting to the online petitions received by the White House.

Murray Will Not Run for Top Job in Massachusetts

January 18, 2013 at 11:19 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Massachusetts Lt. Gov. Timothy Murray (D) told the Worcester Telegram & Gazette that he will not run for governor in 2014, “citing the demands of campaigning, serving in elected office and his desire to spend more time with his wife and two young daughters.”

“Murray’s decision is expected to create a wide-pen field for the Democratic nomination for governor next year.”


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GOP Senator Insists Congress will Raise Debt Ceiling

January 18, 2013 at 9:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) told the Houston Chronicle that Congress will not allow an impasse over raising the debt ceiling to result in the federal government defaulting on its spending obligations.

Said Cornyn: “We will raise the debt ceiling. We’re not going to default on our debt… I will tell you unequivocally, we’re not going to default.”

“Cornyn’s fellow Republicans, particularly in the House, have been trying to use the issue of the debt ceiling to force President Obama to agree to spending cuts.”

The Week: Why Republicans will raise the debt ceiling.

Organizing for Action

January 18, 2013 at 9:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read has more on last night’s news that Obama for America is reorganizing as a tax exempt advocacy group called Organizing for Action.

“Organizing for Action will be set up as a 501c4 group, but we are told the group will have full disclosure of its donors (either monthly or quarterly); setting it up a 501c4 (as opposed to a Super PAC) makes it easier to legally coordinate with the White House. But the Obama folks are conceding a big point here: They can’t do the things they want to do (like the organizing, etc.) inside the Democratic Party. If this version of OFA is successful, we’re also told then don’t be surprised if this becomes Obama’s personal vehicle post-presidency, a la Bill Clinton’s Clinton Global Initiative.”

But as I note in The Cloakroom, if he’s not careful, the unprecedented move could end up derailing his agenda as much as advancing it.

Lawmaker Wants Redskins to Change Name

January 18, 2013 at 9:33 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK), on of only two Native American members of Congress, said that the Washington Redskins should change its team name because it is racially offensive to the minority group, Roll Call reports.

Said Cole: “Come on. This is the 21st century. This is the capital of political correctness on the planet. It is very, very, very offensive. This isn’t like warriors or chiefs. It’s not a term of respect, and it’s needlessly offensive to a large part of our population. They just don’t happen to live around Washington, D.C.”

Will Obama Give a Memorable Inaugural Speech?

January 18, 2013 at 9:33 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

George Packer: “I hope Obama surprises us. I hope he throws out the kind of boilerplate that made last year’s convention speech one of the weaker ones in Charlotte. I hope that Obama the writer finds some vivid prose for the occasion; that Obama the thinker treats us like his intellectual equals, as he did in Philadelphia and Oslo; and that Obama the man allows himself the risk of deep feeling, as he did in Tucson and Newtown. Most of all, I hope Obama the politician is willing to say things that some people might not want to hear.”

Americans Down on Republicans

January 18, 2013 at 9:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds that 49% of Americans hold a negative view of the Republican Party while 26% have a positive view. By comparison, the Democratic Party has a net positive rating, with 44% holding a favorable view of the party and 38% holding an unfavorable one.

First Read: “By the way, most of the recent negative movement for the GOP is among core Republicans. The GOP was already viewed very negatively by Democrats and indies; it couldn’t really get much worse with those two groups. So this latest shift for the GOP is due to the fact that a growing number of core Republicans were not happy with how the party handled the fiscal cliff.”

One of the Most Inexperienced Congresses in History

January 18, 2013 at 9:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Susan Davis: “Unproductive and unpopular are two words most often used to describe the previous Congress, but a new description can be used for the new session: inexperienced.”

“Nearly two in five lawmakers in the U.S. House, 39%, have served for less than three years, according to data compiled by the non-partisan Cook Political Report. It’s the least experienced House since at least 1995, when an election wave swept the Republicans into power.”

The GOP’s Diversity Edge

January 18, 2013 at 9:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With Republicans roundly criticized for being tone deaf to concerns of minority voters, John Avlon notes “it might surprise you to hear that Republicans are by far the more diverse party when it comes to statewide elected officials such as senators and governors. On this front, they leave Democrats in the dust. And that’s why the GOP actually has a greater depth of diversity on their potential presidential bench looking to 2016 and beyond.”

GOP Seeks Strength Through Weakness

January 18, 2013 at 8:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Byron York: “The purpose of the House Republican retreat, now going on in Williamsburg, Va., is to help GOP lawmakers come to terms with just how weak they are. Even though the party controls the House, the talk in some quarters at Williamsburg is of adopting a ‘minority mentality’ to oppose President Obama’s initiatives the way Republicans did when they were in an even weaker position in 2009. By doing so, the thinking goes, the GOP might be able to rebuild itself after last November’s devastating losses.”

“The problem is, if Republicans are asked what they can reasonably expect to accomplish in the next six months, after a variety of fights with the president, they don’t have an answer. What would constitute an achievable victory? They don’t really know.”

The Cloakroom: GOP retreat gets off to a rocky start.

Quote of the Day

January 18, 2013 at 8:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This is about tone. It’s about messaging and it’s about showing people what we’re for instead of what we’re against.”

— Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell (R), quoted by the Washington Post, describing his message to House Republicans at their retreat.

Obama Opens Second Term with Majority Approval

January 18, 2013 at 7:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new New York Times/CBS News poll finds 51% of Americans approve of the way President Obama is doing is job with 41% disapproving.

“Mr. Obama’s job approval rating is similar to that of George W. Bush at the start of his second term, but much lower than the ratings of the previous two presidents who served eight years. (President Bill Clinton’s approval rate was 60 percent in January 1997 and Ronald Reagan’s was 62 percent in January 1985.) More than 8 in 10 Democrats approve of his job performance, 8 in 10 Republicans disapprove and independents are evenly divided.”

Obama Campaign to Relaunch to Support Agenda

January 17, 2013 at 10:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama’s re-election campaign apparatus will relaunch this weekend as a tax-exempt group to support his second term legislative priorities, Politico reports.

The new organization will be separate from the DNC and will be headed by campaign manager Jim Messina.

Los Angeles Times: “If it is able to sustain the passion that propelled Obama twice into
the White House, the pro-Obama group may outstrip the role played by
traditional interest groups, from organized labor to the environmental
movement, and could form an independent power base outside the White
House and the Democratic Party.”

Most Believe at Least One Political Conspiracy Theory

January 17, 2013 at 10:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Fairleigh Dickinson University poll finds that 63% of registered voters buy into at least one political conspiracy theory.

The nationwide survey asked Americans to evaluate four different political conspiracy theories: 56% of Democrats and 75% of Republicans say that at least one is likely true. This includes 36% who think that President Obama is hiding information about his background and early life, 25% who think that the government knew about 9/11 in advance, and 19% who think the 2012 Presidential election was stolen.”

Most interesting finding: “Generally, the more people know about current events, the less likely they are to believe in conspiracy theories – but not among Republicans, where more knowledge leads to greater belief in political conspiracies.”

[Read more…]

GOP Retreat Off to a Rocky Start

January 17, 2013 at 9:56 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Cloakroom: A session on wooing minorities is being held in a room named after Virginia slaveholders.

How Congress Created the Debt Ceiling Problem

January 17, 2013 at 7:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Josh Green points out that in 1979, Dick Gephardt, “who would later become House Democratic leader and twice run for president, devised a simple fix that met the absurd requirement of a two-step process. With help from the House parliamentarian, he established the Gephardt Rule, which decreed that when Congress adopted a budget resolution (the first step) it was automatically ‘deemed to have passed’ a commensurate increase in the debt limit (the second step). Presto. Problem solved.”

“The Gephardt Rule held for a decade and a half, during which there were no fights over raising the debt ceiling. But when Republicans took control of the House in 1995, they killed it… Gingrich thought the second vote was a good pressure tactic to limit
spending. Yet the threat of debt default didn’t work because nobody took
it seriously. What’s different now is that many Republicans seem
willing to follow through. Even Gingrich is worried.”

Majority Approve of Obama and His Agenda

January 17, 2013 at 7:22 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds 52% of Americans approve of President Obama’s overall job performance.

They also mostly agree with his agenda:

“Fifty-six percent believe that the laws covering the sale of firearms should be stricter, compared with a combined 42% who want them less strict or kept the same… Also, for the first time in the poll, a majority of Americans — 52% — favor allowing illegal immigrants who hold jobs to apply for legal status in this country.”

“And in the latest fiscal fight in Washington, more respondents say they would blame congressional Republicans (45%) than Obama and congressional Democrats (33%) if the nation’s debt limit isn’t raised and the country is unable to meet its obligations.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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