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Tied in Massachusetts

June 26, 2012 at 12:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Massachusetts finds the U.S. Senate race a dead heat with Elizabeth Warren (D) and Sen. Scott Brown (R) both at 46%.

Key findings: “Brown’s numbers have experienced a bit of a resurgence in the last few months. His approval rating is back over 50%, with 51% of voters approving of him to 38% who disapprove… Brown is conveying the sort of centrist, independent image he’ll need in order to win this fall. Only 34% of voters think he’s too conservative to 48% who say he’s ideologically ‘about right.'”

Romney Holds Edge in North Carolina

June 26, 2012 at 12:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Rasmussen survey in North Carolina finds Mitt Romney continues to hold a small lead over President Obama in the key swing state, 47% to 44%.

What to Expect from the Supreme Court on Health Care

June 26, 2012 at 12:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wonk Wire rounds up some interesting theories.


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Bonus Quote of the Day

June 26, 2012 at 12:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I will be the first president in modern history to be outspent in his re-election campaign.”

— President Obama, quoted by USA Today, in his latest fundraising appeal.

Presidential History on the iPad

June 26, 2012 at 12:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just out for the iPad: History of American Presidential Elections: From George Washington to Barack Obama.

The book includes over 500 photos and 20 videos and takes full advantage of the iPad’s capabilities. A more conventional paperback version is also available.

Scott Won’t Release Secret List of Ineligible Voters

June 26, 2012 at 12:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R) insists the state’s voter rolls “must be scrubbed carefully to remove any non-U.S. citizens, but his administration is keeping secret a list of more than 180,000 voters whose citizenship may be in question,” the Tampa Bay Times reports.

“Scott’s elections agency is refusing numerous requests from voter advocacy groups and news outlets to release the list, months after the state released an initial list targeting 2,625 potential noncitizens. Many people on the first list turned out to be citizens.”

Economic Confidence Continues to Decline

June 26, 2012 at 12:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index slid again last week and is now at the lowest point since late January.

Obama Holds Small Lead in Ohio

June 26, 2012 at 11:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Ohio shows President Obama continues to lead Mitt Romney, 47% to 44%, but it’s his weakest showing since last fall.

Key finding: “The big decline for Obama over the last couple months has been with white voters. He and Romney were basically tied with them earlier this year, but now Romney has opened up a 49-42 advantage with them. It’s actually white Democrats with whom Obama’s seen the biggest decline recently. In early May he had an 89-6 lead with them, but that’s now declined to 78-16.”

Obama Slightly Ahead in Colorado

June 26, 2012 at 10:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new We Ask America poll in Colorado shows President Obama with a small lead over Mitt Romney in the presidential race, 47% to 43%.

New Poll Shows Romney Ahead in Virginia

June 26, 2012 at 10:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new We Ask America poll in Virginia finds Mitt Romney leading President Obama in the key battleground state, 48% to 43%.

Palin Revives “Death Panels” Debate

June 26, 2012 at 9:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sarah Palin “is resurrecting the idea that President Obama’s health care law includes what she calls death panels,” USA Today reports.

Wrote Palin on Facebook: “Though I was called a liar for calling it like it is, many of these accusers finally saw that Obamacare did in fact create a panel of faceless bureaucrats who have the power to make life and death decisions about health care funding.”

Not So Nimble, Not So Quick

June 26, 2012 at 9:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “If there is a constant criticism about Mitt Romney and his campaign from both the left and right, it’s that they’re not nimble — especially when it comes to dealing with issues they’d prefer to ignore. And yesterday was a perfect example of this. Even though the U.S. Supreme Court ruling on Arizona’s immigration law shouldn’t have been a surprise and even though Romney was holding a fundraiser in Arizona (of all places!!!), it took the candidate and campaign hours to finally tell the public what they thought of the decision. First came a press release that didn’t signal if Romney agreed with the decision (and which parts). Then came a seven-minute press scrum in which a Romney press secretary refused to comment on the merits of the SCOTUS decision. And finally came Romney’s remarks at the Arizona fundraiser in which he appeared to disagree with the thrust of the ruling.”

Said Romney: “I would have preferred to see the Supreme Court give more latitude to the states not less.”

“We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: Much of a president’s job is crisis management, and the only way to succeed is being nimble. That Team Romney seems to struggle with this aspect of the job is a potential warning sign for a challenger against an incumbent president.”

Hunter Splits with Edwards

June 26, 2012 at 9:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rielle Hunter told ABC News that she and John Edwards “ended their controversial relationship last week, just days after her new book debuted and she went public about how they met, hid their affair and had a baby girl together.”

Said Hunter: “We are a family, but as of the end of last week John Edwards and I are no longer a couple. Not at all.”

She added that she still loves Edwards.

Mormons Very Excited About Romney Candidacy

June 26, 2012 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Key Research/Brigham Young University poll in Utah finds that 77% of Mormons believe Mitt Romney’s nomination as the Republican presidential candidate is a good thing for the LDS church while just 2% told pollsters it was a negative.

Despite their excitement, 68% said that Romney’s nomination will bring bad and good publicity for the LDS church and 68% do not trust the media to cover the church fairly.

Quote of the Day

June 26, 2012 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Well, I’ll say this: Romney looks like a president.”

— Former Sen. Bob Dole, in an interview with GQ, on his previously tepid endorsement of Mitt Romney.

Rangel Faces Primary Challenge

June 26, 2012 at 8:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Charles Rangel (D-NY), “a once-towering figure in New York politics whose reputation was diminished when he was censured in Washington, is again fighting to keep his seat as a group of Democrats prepare to challenge him in a primary on Tuesday,” Reuters reports.

Nonetheless, “most political watchers still see him being re-elected.”

National Journal: “Rangel has strengths of his own, though. Interestingly, despite the redistricted seat’s new majority-Hispanic status, it also has over 24,500 more African-American residents than the old version of the district. And Rangel’s four-decade career in Congress has engendered abiding loyalty among many blacks and a large swath of Democratic voters in the area. Even though Rangel only won 51 percent in the 2010 primary, he actually won more primary votes (over 26,000) than all but one House candidate in the entire state. That suggests a robust turnout operation at the heart of Rangel’s experienced campaign, and indeed, Rangel significantly overperformed in the 15 precincts with the heaviest turnout in 2010, according to a Hotline analysis.”

Large Majority Want New Health Care Effort

June 26, 2012 at 7:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new AP/GfK poll finds that just a third of Americans back President Obama’s health care law on which the Supreme Court is about to pass judgment, but more than three quarters want Congress and the president to begin work on a new bill if the court strikes down the 2-year-old law.

Romney’s Game Changers

June 26, 2012 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Wall Street Journal says four states — Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota and Pennsylvania — could transform the presidential race if Mitt Romney can win them.

“These are four reliably blue states where Mitt Romney’s campaign thinks it has a chance to pull off an upset. A Republican win in any one of these four would significantly change the calculus of what it takes to win in the electoral college, which is where a presidential race actually is decided.”

“President Barack Obama carried each comfortably four years ago, and they have been colored Democratic blue in every presidential race in the last generation. Minnesota last went Republican in 1972, Wisconsin in 1984 and Michigan and Pennsylvania in 1988, so they represent varying degrees of a long shot for the GOP.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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