Mitt Romney will announce the endorsement of Sen. John Thune (R-SD), the Washington Post reports, “a rising star in the Republican Party who had weighed a White House bid of his own before deciding to stay in the Senate and move up in his party’s leadership.”
Best Debate Moments
The Daily Beast has video clips of the best parts from last night’s Republican presidential debate.
Gingrich Won’t Be On Missouri Ballot
Newt Gingrich failed to qualify for the Missouri Republican primary, the Los Angeles Times reports.
The filing requirements were not particularly onerous: A $1,000 check and some paperwork were all that’s needed. But Gingrich failed to file by the deadline.
“Missouri’s primary is a ‘beauty contest,’ meaning that no delegates will be awarded. The state Republican Party will hold caucuses in March for that purpose. However, Missouri is a major state, and the nonbinding contest will be the only primary in the country between the Florida primary on Jan. 31 and the Arizona and Michigan primaries on Feb. 28. Candidates wishing to maintain their momentum, and media visibility, through that dry spell in February may well see Missouri as a place to compete for bragging rights.”
Reaction to the GOP Debate
Mitt Romney, as in previous debates, was the best prepared and gave solid answers to all questions. But this time he had a worthy adversary in Newt Gingrich, who is clearly emboldened by his high polls numbers (and his own intellect). The thing to watch: Will Gingrich’s “humane” stance on immigration be the issue Romney can use to knock him off in Iowa?
Jon Huntsman had his best debate yet. It’s clear he’s given significant thought to these issues while living abroad as an ambassador.
Michele Bachmann also did reasonably well but strangely asserted that President Obama met with Iranian leaders. Nonetheless, it was her best debate in weeks.
Herman Cain is clearly out of his league. His solution to every problem is to get smart people in the room to decide. There’s clearly stuff still twirling around in his head.
Rick Perry didn’t implode but he didn’t distinguish himself either. He used nearly every answer as an opportunity to attack President Obama without actually offering workable solutions.
Rick Santorum was an afterthought.
However, it was most fun to watch Ron Paul. His positions are clear, consistent and interesting. On issues like the Patriot Act, drug trafficking and the Iraq war, he highlights a major split between the libertarian and neo-conservative wings of the Republican party. Paul’s problem is that his wing is probably no more than 20% of the Republican party today.
It’s not clear to me who actually “won” the debate. But it is clear that Romney still hasn’t pulled away from the pack despite his string of solid performances.
Occupy Movement Has Best Media Week Yet
The Pew Research Center finds that the Occupy Wall Street movement had its best week yet in news coverage.
“Last
week, the U.S. economy was the No. 1 story at 22% of the newshole, with
the majority of that coverage focused on the confrontations between
protesters, law enforcement, and the city governments that preside over
the public spaces that have become encampments. All totaled, the Occupy
Wall Street story accounted for 13% of the overall newshole during the
week of November 14-20… That coverage marked a major spike from the
week before when media attention to the protests had dropped to just 1%
of the newshole. It surpassed even the week of October 10-16, when the
protests, largely focused on income inequality, filled 10% of the
newshole as the demonstrations expanded around the country and partisans
began turning it into a major political issue.”
Romney’s Sister
Just published: Mitt Romney: An Inside Look at the Man and His Politics by Ronald B. Scott.
Ben Smith notes the book takes a closer look at the Romney family. Romney’s eldest sister Jane, an actress who lives in Los Angeles is described “the Billy Carter of the Romney family” in part because she openly backed Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA) and campaigned for California Gov. Jerry Brown (D). She also had a “very acrimonious divorce” from a nephew of the head of the Mormon church.
Jane Romney apparently “is eager to have a visible role on her brother’s campaign which, in turn, is eager to keep her busy and out of trouble.”
Is Gingrich Just as Electable as Romney?
Weekly Standard: “It’s becoming increasingly hard to say whether Newt Gingrich or Mitt Romney, the two leading Republican presidential candidates, would fare better against Barack Obama.”
“Each of these two leading GOP candidates certainly has his strengths in an electoral vein. Romney consistently fares better than Gingrich among independents — the block of voters who will likely decide the election — while Gingrich’s support among the Tea Party could help energizing the party’s base, which in turn could influence independents (who are generally more apt to rally behind candidates who have the enthusiastic support of others — a fact that seems to be particularly true for GOP candidates across the years).”
Gingrich Leads GOP Field in Positive Intensity
Gallup: “Newt Gingrich now leads all of his Republican presidential rivals in garnering positive image ratings from Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide — marking a first for 2011. His +20 Positive Intensity Score gives Gingrich a sizable lead over Herman Cain, in second with +14, and Mitt Romney, in third with +11.”
Speed Reading Bachmann’s Book
Just in case you’re not going to read Michele Bachmann’s new book, Core of Conviction, the Daily Beast highlights the six most interesting bits.
Romney Out of Context
If Mitt Romney can use President Obama’s words out of context in a new ad, Think Progress did the same to Romney in a very amusing video.
Obama Very Weak in Pennsylvania
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Pennsylvania shows Mitt Romney in a dead heat with President Obama at 45% each in the key swing state.
Key finding: “If you dig in on the undecided voters only 24% of them approve of Obama’s job performance to 70% who disapprove. They may not be completely sold on Romney yet but for the most part if you don’t approve of the incumbent President, you’re not going to vote for him. If those folks really had to make a decision today it’s likely they’d move in Romney’s direction and hand him the state.”
Will Demographics Save Obama?
Michael Tomasky looks at a new study that shows how President Obama might be able to use demographics to win reelection despite a lousy economy.
“The paper is The Path to 270: Demographics Versus Economics in the 2012 Election by Ruy Teixeira and John Halpin of the Center for American Progress. You can probably figure out from the subtitle that the basic story is that demography favors Obama, while the likely underlying economic picture (i.e., still bleak) favors whoever is running against him. But the deeper story here is this: Obama isn’t going to get his 2008 levels of the white vote. But he can’t quite absorb white-vote totals that look like 2010. And he is going to have to fight hard, and smart, to keep them closer to the former than the latter.”
Didn’t Romney Lie in His New Ad?
Ryan Lizza takes issue with the blatant misuse of a quote by President Obama in Mitt Romney’s new ad running in New Hampshire.
“This is one of those cases where a candidate has put out something that is demonstrably false. If a journalist or writer quoted someone in such an intellectually dishonest way, you would never trust the person’s writing again. And yet this episode is being reported by some as a clever tactic by the Romney camp to spark a debate about the ad’s accuracy that will serve to highlight its overall message that Obama has been a failure. (See, it worked!)”
Blago Fundraiser Gets More Than 10 Years
Tony Rezko, a former top fundraiser for ousted Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich (D), was sentenced to 10 1/2 years in prison but will get credit for time he has already served, the AP reports.
“Rezko was convicted in 2008 of fraud, money laundering and plotting to squeeze $7 million in kickbacks from firms that wanted to do business with the state during Blagojevich’s tenure. The governor was arrested six months later and convicted this year on charges that included trying to sell or trade an appointment to President Barack Obama’s old Senate seat. He is set to be sentenced next month and is expected to get about 10 years.”
The Battle Begins
Stuck in an airport over the holiday weekend? Download Election 2012: The Battle Begins by Tom Bevan and Carl Cannon.
Heitkamp Grabs Early Lead in North Dakota
A new Mellman Group (D) poll in North Dakota shows former Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp (D) leading Rep. Rick Berg (R-ND) in the U.S. Senate Race, 47% to 42%.
Bonus Quote of the Day
“While we meet here tonight, the Republicans are having a debate across town. I’ve watched a number of them, and I’ve got to be honest, I never thought I’d say this — I’m beginning to miss Sarah Palin’s insights.”
— Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (D), quoted by Politico.
Debate Eleven
The Republican presidential candidates hold their 11th presidential debate tonight. It will be focused entirely on foreign policy and the first since Newt Gingrich took over the national lead in most recent polls.
An interesting behind the scenes video shows how the debate came together.
The debate begins at 8:00 pm ET and will be aired on CNN.
