Michael Tomasky looks at a new study that shows how President Obama might be able to use demographics to win reelection despite a lousy economy.
“The paper is The Path to 270: Demographics Versus Economics in the 2012 Election by Ruy Teixeira and John Halpin of the Center for American Progress. You can probably figure out from the subtitle that the basic story is that demography favors Obama, while the likely underlying economic picture (i.e., still bleak) favors whoever is running against him. But the deeper story here is this: Obama isn’t going to get his 2008 levels of the white vote. But he can’t quite absorb white-vote totals that look like 2010. And he is going to have to fight hard, and smart, to keep them closer to the former than the latter.”
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