A new Rasmussen survey in Florida shows Mitt Romney leading Newt Gingrich by 16 points, 44% to 28%, with Rick Santorum at 12% and Ron Paul at 10%.
A forthcoming We Ask America poll in Florida shows Romney ahead by 22 points.
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Gibbs Back on Obama Payroll
Former White House press secretary Robert Gibbs “is back on the Obama payroll as a roving surrogate and strategic consultant for the president’s reelection effort,” Politico reports.
“The contract represents a ‘formalization’ of the relationship between the Chicago-based campaign and Gibbs, who has had an informal relationship with the campaign since last May. It’s not clear how much he’ll be paid, but that’s what quarterly campaign filings are for.”
Will Gingrich Fight All the Way to the Convention?
Newt Gingrich insisted the Republican presidential race would continue for “four or five months” even if he loses the Florida primary this week.
John Heilemann: “Pledges to continue the fight unabated in the face of harsh and/or humiliating outcomes are staples of presidential campaigns. And they are also patently meaningless. (Please recall Jon Huntsman’s feigned brio on the night of the New Hampshire primary — and his departure from the race a few days later.) But in Gingrich’s case, he might be serious, so much has he come to despise Romney and the Republican Establishment that has brought down on him a twenty-ton shithammer in Florida, and so convinced is he of his own Churchillian greatness and world-historical destiny. The same antic, manic, lunatic bloody-mindedness that has made him such a rotten candidate in the Sunshine State may be enough to keep him the race a good long time.”
The Last Great Senate
In the mail: The Last Great Senate by Ira Shapiro.
The author spent 12 years working for Senators Gaylord Nelson, Abraham Ribicoff, Thomas Eagleton, Robert Byrd, and Jay Rockefeller and paints a “vivid portrait of the statesmen who helped steer America during the crisis years of the late 1970s, transcending partisanship and overcoming procedural roadblocks that have all but strangled the Senate since their departure.”
Quote of the Day
“I think that the election will be substantially closer than the two polls that came out this morning. When you add the two conservatives together we clearly beat Romney,” Mr. Gingich said. “I think Romney’s got a very real challenge trying to get a majority at the convention.”
— Newt Gingrich, quoted by the Wall Street Journal, adding that the GOP presidential race is “going to be a straight-out contest for the next four or five months.”
Romney Headed for Big Win in Florida
A new NBC/Marist poll in Florida shows Mitt Romney on his way to a decisive victory in the state’s GOP presidential primary.
Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 points, 42% to 27%, followed by Rick Santorum at 16% and Ron Paul at 11%. Just 4% said they were undecided.
A new American Research Group poll shows Romney leading Gingrich by 11 points, 43% to 32%, followed by Santorum at 11% and Paul at 8%.
Early Vote May Be Key in Florida
Nate Silver notes that about one-third of Floridians have already voted in the GOP presidential primary.
“Since Mr. Gingrich only led Mr. Romney for a few fleeting days in the polls, that means that Mr. Romney should have banked an advantage, and that Mr. Gingrich would need to win by perhaps 5 or 10 points on Election Day to claim the state. That could also lessen the impact of late-breaking developments in the news cycle — like Mr. Gingrich receiving the endorsement of Herman Cain.”
Romney’s Lead in Florida Looks Insurmountable
Nearly every Florida poll shows Mitt Romney with a solid lead in the GOP presidential primary.
A new Miami Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll shows Romney at 42%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 31%, Rick Santorum at 14% and Ron Paul at 6%.
Said pollster Brad Coker: “What does Gingrich need to do? I would say Romney would need to implode. If there’s no 11th hour surprise, this race is looking right now like it’s over.”
How Rich is Mitt Romney?
Associated Press: “Add up the wealth of the last eight presidents, from Richard Nixon to Barack Obama. Then double that number. Now you’re in Romney territory. He would be among the richest presidents in American history if elected — probably in the top four.”
Quote of the Day
“What we saw with this ridiculous opposition dump on Newt was nothing short of Stalin-esque rewriting of history. It was Alinsky tactics at their worst.”
— Sarah Palin, writing on Facebook, defending Newt Gingrich against attacks made by Mitt Romney.
Going for the Kill
Mitt Romney unleashed a very effective political ad today targeting Newt Gingrich in Florida which consists only of a clip of Tom Brokaw from “NBC Nightly News” on Jan. 21, 1997.
Cain Endorses Gingrich
Herman Cain threw his support to Newt Gingrich in the GOP presidential race, the Washington Post reports.
“The move by the former GOP candidate and tea-party favorite comes three days before the Florida primary, at a moment when Gingrich is badly in need of something to rekindle the momentum he gained in the wake of his South Carolina primary victory.”
Said Cain: “had it in my heart and mind a long time. Speaker Gingrich is a patriot. Speaker Gingrich is not afraid of bold ideas.”
More Polls Give Romney the Lead in Florida
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida shows Mitt Romney leading Newt Gingrich among Republican primary voters by eight points, 40% to 32%, followed by Rick Santorum at 15% and Ron Paul at 9%.
A new War Room Logisitics (R) poll shows Romney leading Gingrich by 10 points, 40% to 30%, with Santorum at 15% and Paul at 6%.
Polarization in Obama’s Approval at Historic Highs
Gallup finds that the historically high gap between partisans’ job approval ratings of President Obama continued during his third year in office, with an average of 80% of Democrats and 12% of Republicans approving of the job he was doing.
In fact, that 68 point partisan gap is tied for the fourth highest dating back to the Eisenhower administration. Only George W. Bush’s fourth, fifth, and sixth years in office showed higher degrees of political polarization.
President Will Vacate Oval Office Next Year
The Washingtonian reports that the ultimate victor of the presidential election, no matter who he is, “may not get to claim the ultimate prize: the Oval Office.”
Beginning sometime next year the President may be relocated from the White House West Wing and the iconic Oval Office to temporary office space next door while his office undergoes needed repairs and restoration.
Poll Shows Dead Heat in Florida
A new Dixie Strategies/First Coast News poll in Florida shows Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich tied at 35% each, with Rick Santorum at 9% and Ron Paul at 7%.
Every other recent poll shows Romney with a single digit lead.
The New York (Mayor’s) Review of Books
“Indulging in a tale of make-believe” is rare for New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, but the New York Times notes he actually recommended two spy mysteries this week by John LeCarre: Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy and The Honourable Schoolboy.
Of the latter, he said, “It’s 600 pages, it’s mostly description, there is almost nothing that happens. But it’s fascinating!”
“Virtually the only other work of fiction publicly endorsed by the mayor has been Johnny Tremain, the 1943 patriotic children’s story that Mr. Bloomberg frequently cites as a favorite. His personal library now has several first editions, gifts from friends.”
Romney Holds Small Lead in Michigan
A new EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan finds Mitt Romney with a small lead in the GOP presidential race with 31%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 26%, Ron Paul at 14% and Rick Santorum at 10%.
The Michigan primary is scheduled for February 28.
The poll also shows President Obama leading both Romney, 48% to 40%, and Gingrich, 51% to 38%, in general election match ups.
