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Gingrich Looks Ahead to Super Tuesday

January 30, 2012 at 8:04 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

An internal Newt Gingrich campaign memo obtained by the Daily Caller claims “this race is just getting started.”

The memo stresses that Mitt Romney currently has just 33 of the 1144 delegates needed (Gingrich has 25 of 1144).

In addition, more than 20% of the available delegates (467) will be awarded on Super Tuesday March 6, 2012, and the memo notes that, one of the Super Tuesday states is Georgia, with 76 delegates at stake. To put that in perspective, “even if Romney wins Florida on Tuesday, he will only have 83 total delegates; Newt’s home state could effectively cancel out his entire delegate count to date.”

Kerrey Buys Home in Nebraska

January 30, 2012 at 7:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Sen. Bob Kerrey (D-NE) tells The Fix that “he is buying property in his former home state of Nebraska, but that it doesn’t mean he will seek a return to the Senate in the Cornhusker State.”

“Kerrey left Nebraska after retiring from the Senate and at one point flirted with the idea of running for mayor of his new home, New York City, where he headed up the New School university.. That’s something Republicans are likely to use against him if he opts to run for retiring Sen. Ben Nelson’s (D-NE) seat. But if he does run, Kerrey will have a Nebraska address from which to do it. A senator must live in the state he or she represents.”

Final Florida Polls

January 30, 2012 at 7:20 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Quinnipiac poll in Florida shows Mitt Romney has a 14 point lead over Newt Gingrich, 43% to 29%, with Ron Paul and Rick Santorum both at 11%. Just 7% are undecided, but 24% say they might change their mind by tomorrow’s primary election.

A SurveyUSA poll finds Romney tops Gingrich by 15 points, 41% to 26%, with Santorum and Paul at 12% each.

A We Ask America poll shows Romney crushing Gingrich by 22 points, 50% to 28%, with Santorum at 12% and Paul at 11%.

A Public Policy Polling survey shows Romney leads Gingrich by seven points, 39% to 32%, with Santorum at 14% and Paul at 11%.

A InsiderAdvantage poll says the race is down to just five points with Romney leading Gingrich, 36% to 31%, followed by Santorum and Paul each at 12%.

A Suffolk University poll finds Romney ahead of Gingrich by 20 points, 47% to 27%, with Santorum at 12% and Paul at 9%.


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How Romney Bounced Back

January 30, 2012 at 7:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The New York Times looks at how Mitt Romney set aside his focus on President Obama to treat Newt Gingrich “as its chief obstacle, realizing that a loss here in Florida could cripple the campaign.”

“Breaking into teams, they divided duties for a new plan to put unrelenting pressure on Mr. Gingrich, hoping to make him angry enough to throw him off track and remind voters about the most unflattering aspects of a record forgotten during a decade in which he solidified his status as a wise man in the party.”

Craig Crawford: “Romney proved something in Florida. He’s all about psychological
warfare, and his team knows how to wage it. Mitt’s operatives sized up
the profile of their foe, Newt Gingrich, found his hot buttons and
jammed them until he squealed like a stuck pig.”

Mark Halperin: “Romney and his team have recovered in Florida by returning to attack mode and keeping the pressure on Gingrich. They have flooded the airwaves with TV and radio ads, released a phalanx of Establishment supporters to engage with the media, sent pro-Romney members of Congress to rattle Gingrich at his own campaign events, and debuted a more aggressive Romney on the stump and in the most recent debate. Even Romney’s most optimistic backers could not have anticipated how thoroughly the former Speaker would be thrown off message by their assault.”

The Real Winner of the GOP Primaries?

January 30, 2012 at 7:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Begala: “If his predecessor cursed Obama by handing him a depression and two wars, the Good Lord has blessed him with the weakest field of opponents in memory. I stand by my early assessment: when I look at the economy, I think Obama can’t win, but when I look at the Republicans, I think he can’t lose. The economy is starting to get better; the Republicans aren’t. The president has moved to the populist center, smoothly co-opting the legitimate grievances of the Occupy Wall Street movement and ensuring that he wouldn’t face a primary challenge from the left. ‘Barack’ means blessing in Swahili. Perhaps ‘Obama’ means luckier than a dog with two tongues.”

Gingrich Dramatically Outspent in Florida

January 30, 2012 at 7:01 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Newt Gingrich has been outspent on the Florida airwaves by a nearly $12 million, Politico reports.

“That’s just the differential in paid-media spending, so it doesn’t include Romney’s edge in field operations, mail, et cetera. And Romney’s advantage isn’t likely to go away in the primary, though the general election is an entirely different story.”

Romney Pulling Away in Florida

January 29, 2012 at 10:06 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Rasmussen survey in Florida shows Mitt Romney leading Newt Gingrich by 16 points, 44% to 28%, with Rick Santorum at 12% and Ron Paul at 10%.

A forthcoming We Ask America poll in Florida shows Romney ahead by 22 points.

Gibbs Back on Obama Payroll

January 29, 2012 at 10:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former White House press secretary Robert Gibbs “is back on the Obama payroll as a roving surrogate and strategic consultant for the president’s reelection effort,” Politico reports.

“The contract represents a ‘formalization’ of the relationship between the Chicago-based campaign and Gibbs, who has had an informal relationship with the campaign since last May. It’s not clear how much he’ll be paid, but that’s what quarterly campaign filings are for.”

Will Gingrich Fight All the Way to the Convention?

January 29, 2012 at 8:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Newt Gingrich insisted the Republican presidential race would continue for “four or five months” even if he loses the Florida primary this week.

John Heilemann: “Pledges to continue the fight unabated in the face of harsh and/or humiliating outcomes are staples of presidential campaigns. And they are also patently meaningless. (Please recall Jon Huntsman’s feigned brio on the night of the New Hampshire primary — and his departure from the race a few days later.) But in Gingrich’s case, he might be serious, so much has he come to despise Romney and the Republican Establishment that has brought down on him a twenty-ton shithammer in Florida, and so convinced is he of his own Churchillian greatness and world-historical destiny. The same antic, manic, lunatic bloody-mindedness that has made him such a rotten candidate in the Sunshine State may be enough to keep him the race a good long time.”

The Last Great Senate

January 29, 2012 at 2:43 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In the mail: The Last Great Senate by Ira Shapiro.

The author spent 12 years working for Senators Gaylord Nelson, Abraham Ribicoff, Thomas Eagleton, Robert Byrd, and Jay Rockefeller and paints a “vivid portrait of the statesmen who helped steer America during the crisis years of the late 1970s, transcending partisanship and overcoming procedural roadblocks that have all but strangled the Senate since their departure.”

Quote of the Day

January 29, 2012 at 2:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think that the election will be substantially closer than the two polls that came out this morning. When you add the two conservatives together we clearly beat Romney,” Mr. Gingich said. “I think Romney’s got a very real challenge trying to get a majority at the convention.”

— Newt Gingrich, quoted by the Wall Street Journal, adding that the GOP presidential race is “going to be a straight-out contest for the next four or five months.”

Romney Headed for Big Win in Florida

January 29, 2012 at 1:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC/Marist poll in Florida shows Mitt Romney on his way to a decisive victory in the state’s GOP presidential primary.

Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 points, 42% to 27%, followed by Rick Santorum at 16% and Ron Paul at 11%. Just 4% said they were undecided.

A new American Research Group poll shows Romney leading Gingrich by 11 points, 43% to 32%, followed by Santorum at 11% and Paul at 8%.

Early Vote May Be Key in Florida

January 29, 2012 at 7:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver notes that about one-third of Floridians have already voted in the GOP presidential primary.

“Since Mr. Gingrich only led Mr. Romney for a few fleeting days in the polls, that means that Mr. Romney should have banked an advantage, and that Mr. Gingrich would need to win by perhaps 5 or 10 points on Election Day to claim the state. That could also lessen the impact of late-breaking developments in the news cycle — like Mr. Gingrich receiving the endorsement of Herman Cain.”

Romney’s Lead in Florida Looks Insurmountable

January 29, 2012 at 7:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nearly every Florida poll shows Mitt Romney with a solid lead in the GOP presidential primary.

A new Miami Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll shows Romney at 42%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 31%, Rick Santorum at 14% and Ron Paul at 6%.

Said pollster Brad Coker: “What does Gingrich need to do? I would say Romney would need to implode. If there’s no 11th hour surprise, this race is looking right now like it’s over.”

How Rich is Mitt Romney?

January 28, 2012 at 10:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “Add up the wealth of the last eight presidents, from Richard Nixon to Barack Obama. Then double that number. Now you’re in Romney territory. He would be among the richest presidents in American history if elected — probably in the top four.”

Quote of the Day

January 28, 2012 at 10:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“What we saw with this ridiculous opposition dump on Newt was nothing short of Stalin-esque rewriting of history. It was Alinsky tactics at their worst.”

— Sarah Palin, writing on Facebook, defending Newt Gingrich against attacks made by Mitt Romney.

Going for the Kill

January 28, 2012 at 10:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mitt Romney unleashed a very effective political ad today targeting Newt Gingrich in Florida which consists only of a clip of Tom Brokaw from “NBC Nightly News” on Jan. 21, 1997.

[Read more…]

Cain Endorses Gingrich

January 28, 2012 at 10:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Herman Cain threw his support to Newt Gingrich in the GOP presidential race, the Washington Post reports.

“The move by the former GOP candidate and tea-party favorite comes three days before the Florida primary, at a moment when Gingrich is badly in need of something to rekindle the momentum he gained in the wake of his South Carolina primary victory.”

Said Cain: “had it in my heart and mind a long time. Speaker Gingrich is a patriot. Speaker Gingrich is not afraid of bold ideas.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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