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Republicans Agree on Problems But Not Direction for Party

July 31, 2013 at 12:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Pew Research poll finds 67% of Republican voters believe that their party must address major problems to be more competitive in the future. And 59% say improved messaging alone will not be enough – the GOP also needs to reconsider some of its positions.

Yet while Republicans may agree on the scope of the problem, there is little consensus over the party’s future course on either policy or strategy.

Key finding: 35% say the party has compromised too much with Democrats, 27% say not enough, while 32% say party leaders have handled this about right.

Felon Voting Restrictions Have Bigger Impact Than Voter ID

July 31, 2013 at 12:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Harry Enten: “Over 20% of the black population [in Florida] are disenfranchised because of felon and ex-felon voting restrictions. That includes about half a million blacks… Over 15% of the black populations are disenfranchised because of ex-felon [i.e. those who have “paid their debt to society”] voting restrictions. In terms of electoral results, President Obama would have added 2.6pt to his 0.9pt Florida margin had felons and ex-felons been allowed to vote. Even if we just count ex-felons, it would have been 2.2pt. Al Gore would have easily won the state given this data…”

“Thus, laws prohibiting felons and ex-felons have a major impact on elections and may determine a winner in the near future. I don’t expect people to take up the banner of felon and ex-felon voting rights. They’re not are as sexy as a topic as voter identification for obvious reasons. But if you’re looking for voting restrictions that afflict minorities in the south and can have major electoral implications, then felon and ex-felon voting laws have a far greater impact than voter identification laws.”

Booker Speaking Contract Was Supposed to be Cancelled

July 31, 2013 at 12:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

BuzzFeed has a copy of the contract Newark Mayor Cory Booker signed in May to speak in Iowa, “which according to a university spokesman was supposed to be canceled when Booker announced his Senate bid.”

From our partner: Ground News

The Stories Missing From Your Feed

You already know the problem: the same story can look completely different depending on where you read it — and some barely show up at all because algorithms decide what you see.

My goal for Political Wire is to help you get outside those filters — to understand not just what happened, but how it’s being covered and who might be missing it. That’s why I use and recommend Ground News.

It’s an app and website that brings together global news from across the political spectrum, showing each source’s bias, factuality, and ownership.

What I find especially useful is the Blindspot Feed. It highlights stories getting heavy coverage on one side but little on the other — a quick way to see what your usual news diet may be missing.

For a limited time, get 40% off a Ground News Vantage subscription at www.groundnews.com/political.



Pryor Gets Tough Challenger

July 31, 2013 at 12:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR) will announce his candidacy next week to challenge Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR), “arguably Democrats’ most vulnerable senator of the cycle,” Roll Call reports.

The Cook Political Report moves the race to “toss up.”

Politico: “Arkansas is one of a handful of Republican-leaning
states represented by Democrats — Louisiana, North Carolina and Alaska
are the others — that are critical to the GOP’s chances of flipping the
Senate next year. The party needs to net six seats to capture the
chamber. But Democrats say history is in their favor, noting that only
three of their incumbents have lost in the past decade.”

House Will Spend Week Trying to Embarrass Obama

July 31, 2013 at 12:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “With three days left on the calendar before lawmakers leave Washington for a five-week summer break, there is still no agreement on a farm bill, no plan on how to fund the government after September and little progress on immigration reform.”

“But House Republicans will spend much of this week voting on a collection of legislative proposals aimed mostly at embarrassing the Obama administration and scoring some political points.”

A Guide to Republican Infighting

July 31, 2013 at 10:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Atlantic Wire has visually mapped the dizzying number of Republican feuds.

Are House Republicans Just Dumb?

July 31, 2013 at 10:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Noam Scheiber considers whether the threat by House Republicans to shut the government down over Obamacare is rational, albeit with perverse incentives.

“But there’s another alternative worth considering: What if House members are trying to act in their self-interest; they’re just exceptionally bad at figuring out what that is? What if they’re, you know, kinda dumb? For example, if you’re a House Republican, presumably you have some policy preferences: You’d like to massively cut taxes for the wealthy, you’d like to slash spending for the poor, you’d like to privatize Social Security and voucherize Medicare. In short, you’d like to enact the Ryan plan in its full, Randian glory. But, of course, there’s no way to do that as long as there’s a Democrat in the White House. And, unfortunately, as long as you’re committed to acting crazy–threatening needless government shutdowns; insisting that Obamacare is the greatest assault on freedom since the Nazi march across Europe; failing to fix massive electoral liabilities, like your perceived hostility to Latinos–you may preserve your House majority. But it’s going to be damn-near impossible for a Republican to win the presidency.”

Thompson Mailer Includes Angry Hand Gesture

July 31, 2013 at 10:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politicker: “A colorful mailer touting mayoral candidate Bill Thompson appears to have made a flub-including what would be the lovely image of Mr. Thompson greeting a smiling little girl — were it not for the guy who seems to be giving the finger to the photographer.”

Eigth Woman Accuses Filner of Unwanted Advances

July 31, 2013 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A San Diego woman told KPBS News in an interview that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner (D) tried to kiss her after a business meeting in 2011 when he was a congressman.

Winning by Being Boring

July 31, 2013 at 9:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

National Journal profiles Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-FL): “The 30-year-old freshman looks like he could play the nice-but-kinda-shy frat boy in a teen movie — and he’s already proven that sometimes being bland is the most politically savvy way to go. He learned this lesson running against one of the loudest and most visible members of Congress: tea-party icon Allen West. By toeing a moderate line, and making his Florida congressional election a referendum of the bomb-throwing Republican, Murphy eeked out one of the closest races in the country.”

Obama’s No Congress Strategy

July 31, 2013 at 7:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “is planning to bypass congressional Republicans with a surge of executive actions and orders on issues like voting rights, health care, job creation, the economy, climate change and immigration,” Politico reports.

“Obama’s started to sell his pitch to congressional Democrats, meeting with caucus groups at the White House and going to the Hill on Wednesday morning to speak with House and Senate Democrats.”

Quote of the Day

July 31, 2013 at 7:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Am I happy? I’d like to be president of the United States.”

— Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), in an interview with the New Republic.

Obama’s ‘Grand Bargain’ Is Hard Sell to GOP

July 31, 2013 at 7:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Lawmakers regarded President Obama’s “latest attempt to engage them on an economic proposal as largely irrelevant Tuesday, with neither Democrats nor Republicans viewing it as an actual step forward toward breaking their ongoing budget impasse,” Roll Call reports.

“Republicans either shrugged off or slammed the White House proposal, saying it could undercut talks on either a larger budget framework or a comprehensive tax rewrite. And they don’t think Obama is serious about working with them, anyway.”

Weiner Campaign Spokesman Trashes Intern

July 31, 2013 at 7:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

After Anthony Weiner’s communications director Barbara Morgan saw a campaign intern Olivia Nuzzi on the front page of the New York Daily News, “she went off on a curse-filled rant about Nuzzi” with TPM “describing her as a fame hungry “bitch” who “sucked” at her job.

She also called Nuzzi a “slutbag,” among other things.

McCrory Offers Cookies to Protesters

July 31, 2013 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

North Carolina Gov. Pat McCrory (R) “hasn’t been willing to meet with the women (and a few men) protesting an abortion bill that opponents say restricts access to safe abortions. But he did stop by this afternoon with a plate of chocolate chip cookies,” the Charlotte Observer reports.

“No one knew if the cookies were homemade – the protesters didn’t sample any before returning them. They slipped them under the mansion’s gate, along with a note that read: ‘We want women’s health care, not cookies.'”

Abedin Takes a Break from Clinton

July 31, 2013 at 7:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Huma Abedin, Hillary Clinton’s transition office chief and the wife of embattled New York City mayoral candidate Anthony Weiner, is expected to take extended vacation time from her job with the former first lady in the coming days,” Politico reports.

“The move is not a leave of absence, two sources familiar with the move insisted, and it’s not precisely clear when she will depart for her vacation time from her day job.”

“It was a loose plan she’d had for weeks, since Hillary Clinton has close to no schedule next month – the Clintons are expected to vacation in the monied East Hampton enclave on Long Island – and Abedin had been expected to take the final few weeks leading up to the mayoral primary to be with her husband.”

McCain Says Crist Would be Tough Candidate

July 31, 2013 at 6:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John McCain told the Tampa Bay Times that Charlie Crist “would be a tough candidate if he decides to challenge Gov. Rick Scott, as expected.”

Said McCain: “There are a lot of people who thought he did a good job when he was governor. Everything I hear from my friends in Florida is he’s going to be very competitive.”

When asked if he would campaign for Crist, McCain said, “I couldn’t do that. But I’m not sure I could campaign against him.”

South Carolina GOP Says IRS is Obama’s Gestapo

July 31, 2013 at 6:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The South Carolina Republican Party called the Internal Revenue Service “Obama’s Gestapo” in a fundraising email “in yet another reference to Adolf Hitler by one of the state’s two major political parties,” the Columbia State reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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