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Possible Biden Bid Puts Fundraisers on High Alert

August 26, 2015 at 1:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

“The possibility that Vice President Joe Biden may jump into the 2016 presidential campaign is convulsing the network of wealthy Democrats that financed President Obama’s two White House bids, galvanizing fundraisers underwhelmed by Hillary Clinton’s performance,” the Washington Post reports.

“A wide swath of party financiers is already convinced that Biden will make a late entry into the race and a sizeable number are now contemplating backing him, including some who have already signed on with Clinton… Their potential support — driven in part by a desire to recapture the passion they felt in Obama’s campaigns — could play a key role in helping the vice president decide whether to move forward on a third White House run.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Biden’s Very Personal Decision

August 26, 2015 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 44 Comments

First Read: “He’s never been as close to a 2016 bid, and yet he’s still far away: As for Biden, we want to share this insight about his decision-making process after reporting and gathering string as he mulls a 2016 bid. First, it’s a very personal decision for him — it won’t be based on metrics. He knows that the odds will be stacked against him, but he also knows that the minute he closes the door on a presidential run, he knows his political career is over, especially after leaving office in Jan. 2017.”

“Right now, he’s also open to a White House bid because in his previous runs (in 1988, 2008), there never was a demand by other Democrats (and the news media) for him to get in. But he also realizes that if he runs, he’ll be required to attack Hillary Clinton, and he’s never been comfortable attacking folks from his own party.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

A Biden-Warren Ticket Would Be Formidable

August 26, 2015 at 7:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 25 Comments

Al Hunt: “If Joe Biden was trying to unsettle Hillary Clinton by meeting with Elizabeth Warren over the weekend, here’s a way to really rattle her: pick the Massachusetts senator as his presidential running mate and announce it now.”

“Vice President Biden may or may not be serious about challenging Clinton, but one thing is certain: He can’t beat her unless something dramatic and unexpected happens. That’s what a Warren selection would be.”

“There is precedent. In 1976, Ronald Reagan, the champion of Republican conservatives, picked Richard Schweiker, the liberal Pennsylvania senator, to be his running mate about a month before the party’s convention. It almost worked.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden

Obama Gives Biden the OK

August 25, 2015 at 8:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 17 Comments

Vice President Joe Biden received President Obama’s “blessing” to make a 2016 bid for the White House, CNN reports.

“But that’s if Biden chooses to run — the decision is his. While he doesn’t need the President’s permission, of course, a potential presidential candidacy was among the topics of their lunch Monday at the White House. The President made clear he would not stand in his way or counsel him against a run, the senior Democrat said.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Barack Obama, Joe Biden

Biden Leans Towards Run But Family Issues Remain

August 25, 2015 at 6:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments

“As Vice President Biden weighs a possible run for president, personal issues stand as the biggest unresolved obstacle, with Biden trying to gauge whether his family is emotionally prepared for a grueling campaign while still grieving the recent death of his son Beau,” the Washington Post reports.

“Biden is now leaning more toward running than he was earlier in the summer, though he is still weeks from a decision. He thinks his White House experience over the past 6  1/2 years, coupled with his grounding in middle-class issues during a long career in the Senate, makes him well equipped to serve as President Obama’s successor.”

Wall Street Journal: Biden decision creates dilemma for President Obama

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Biden Calls Meeting of Top Fundraisers

August 24, 2015 at 4:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 34 Comments

“Major Democratic fundraisers have been invited to meet with Vice President Joe Biden at his residence at the U.S. Naval Observatory after Labor Day, part of a series of conversations he is having with senior party players as he contemplates jumping into the 2016 race,” the Washington Post reports.

“Among the guests invited to the gathering are top bundlers who raised large sums for the Obama-Biden campaigns in 2008 and 2012, according to people familiar with the outreach. The sitdown is scheduled to take place during the week following Labor Day.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Does Joe Biden Really Have a Chance?

August 24, 2015 at 9:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 49 Comments

Rick Klein: “Agita does not necessarily mean an opening. That’s an important distinction to Vice President Joe Biden, as he considers a run that would inject high drama and countless new storylines into what was supposed to be a march dictated by inevitability for Hillary Clinton. We know Biden would bring name recognition, deep experience, and a zeal for running that couldn’t be matched. We also know that he’s 0-2 in presidential races already, and that his own worst enemy tends to speak for himself – literally. There may be no moment that’s more favorable to a potential Biden candidacy than this one, with Clinton’s email controversy interrupting the summer only by the utterings of Donald Trump.”

“That’s different, though, than a grassroots yearning for Biden. When it comes down to it, he’s neither generationally nor ideologically all that distinct from Clinton. That means the differences would have to come in tone (check) and, pretty quickly, where he seeks out divisions. Biden is not a natural intra-party attacker, and that could very well be what it takes to defeat the frontrunner.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Biden Leans Toward Run

August 24, 2015 at 7:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 46 Comments

Vice President Joe Biden “is increasingly leaning toward entering the 2016 race, illustrating how, with just six months before the first presidential nominating contests, both major parties’ campaigns are in a state of flux,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Mr. Biden would enter as a clear underdog. Polling shows Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton running far ahead of the vice president, who would be building a campaign team largely from scratch. Mrs. Clinton, who declared her candidacy four months ago, has a robust campaign operation and an outside super PAC raising money on her behalf.”

Politico: “Hearts are breaking in the White House and in the Obama alumni network just thinking about a Joe Biden presidential run. They don’t know what to root for.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden

Biden Meets Warren Amid 2016 Speculation

August 23, 2015 at 9:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

Vice President Biden “huddled Saturday with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), the rising liberal star who has declined to endorse a candidate for the 2016 presidential race, an impromptu meeting that came as speculation mounted over Biden’s own potential candidacy,” the Washington Post reports.

“Biden, who has begun to explore a possible presidential campaign in recent weeks, made the trip Saturday from his home in Wilmington, Del., to his official residence at the Naval Observatory in Washington to meet Warren, who has become an icon to liberal activists who view financial institutions as wielding too much clout in the corridors of power.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden

Is It Too Late for Joe Biden?

August 17, 2015 at 10:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 39 Comments

First Read: “Every day that Biden waits to create a fundraising apparatus (to finance a sitting vice presidential — with his security detail in tow — campaigning across the country) makes it harder for him to compete against Bernie Sanders, let alone Hillary Clinton. A Biden confidante told one of us that the vice president’s chances of jumping into the race are now as high as 60%-40%. But if he gets in, Biden faces this reality: His chances of finishing third are greater than finishing first.”

“Also over the weekend, Politico wrote that Biden, if he gets into the 2016 race, plans to focus on South Carolina, plus get big Super PAC checks from a handful of wealthy Democratic donors. But folks, that’s more of a campaign strategy for the likes of Rick Santorum and Rick Perry — rather than a sitting vice president. Bottom line: Sitting vice presidents don’t get to skip early nominating states.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Donors Not Interested in Biden Running

August 17, 2015 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 6 Comments

“As Joe Biden considers a possible run for president, the donors he’d need to be viable appear to be ruling him out,” Politico reports.

“Not all 400 people who gathered at a waterfront estate here on Sunday have been die-hard supporters of Hillary Clinton. In fact, many of them recall a rough summer eight years ago when Martha’s Vineyard’s liberal elite split their loyalties between Clinton and Barack Obama. But on Sunday, they were reveling in party unity and had little appetite for Biden to complicate the field, despite their affection for him.”

The Fix: “If he decides at the end of this month that he wants to run, he immediately begins in a $45 million (and probably much larger) hole against Clinton. Super PACs could make up some of that ground, but remember that virtually every major fundraiser in the party — including many who were once Biden people — is now on Clinton’s team. So whatever Biden raises, Clinton almost certainly raises double. Maybe triple.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Biden May Pledge One Term Presidency If He Runs

August 14, 2015 at 10:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 143 Comments

Journalist Carl Bernstein says that if Vice President Joe Biden “makes the leap into the Democratic presidential race, he could promise that he would serve just one term in the White House,” Politico reports.

Said Bernstein: “And one thing that I keep hearing about Biden is that if he were to declare and say because age is such a problem for him if he does, I want to be a one-term president. I want to serve for four years, unite Washington. I’ve dealt with the Republicans in Congress all my public life.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Biden Moves Ahead with Planning Possible Bid

August 13, 2015 at 11:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 29 Comments

Vice President Joe Biden “and those who support him are moving to put the pieces into place for a possible candidacy,” the New York Times reports.

“The vice president directed Mr. Harpootlian to get in touch with one of his closest political advisers, Mike Donilon, and has been calling other supporters. And he has permitted his advisers to discreetly contact operatives in early nominating states to determine how fast they could organize a campaign.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

Biden Talking to Allies About White House Bid

August 13, 2015 at 9:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 38 Comments

Vice President Joe Biden “is using part of his vacation in South Carolina this week to sound out friends and family about a presidential bid, as some Democrats press him to enter the race and give the party another option in the face of lingering controversies involving Hillary Clinton,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“He is asking political allies for advice and gauging the strength of… Clinton’s campaign as he weighs his options… Longtime Democratic fundraisers already have said they would be willing to hedge their bets, which could help him raise cash fast.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

How Biden Highlights Clinton’s Main Problem

August 6, 2015 at 11:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 101 Comments

Matt Bai: “What Biden is, even to those who dismiss him as slightly doddering and in over his head, is as real and authentic as they come…With Biden, you get the politically incorrect verbal lapses, the Veep-like comedic value. But you also get warmth and authenticity and a handshake that means something.”

“Clinton’s pitch is pretty much the polar opposite…Clinton’s first TV ad, released this week, tried to humanize her a bit by having her talk straight to camera about her mother…But Siri sounds more spontaneous when she’s finding me a gas station. Clinton’s team should probably take a moment to survey the wreckage of recent presidential campaigns that seemed immensely promising until the candidates themselves showed up and ruined everything. Al Gore, John Kerry, Mitt Romney and, yes, Hillary Clinton circa 2008 — all of them met the moment perfectly in terms of résumé and experience but lost to candidates who seemed more authentically themselves.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden

Biden Considered Resigning as Vice President

August 5, 2015 at 2:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 16 Comments

“Joe Biden, distraught and heartbroken over his son Beau Biden’s death, considered stepping down as vice president,” Politico reports.

“Biden told people he considered stepping down in order to help his grieving family after Beau, 46, died in May from brain cancer. But sources also told the Times that the vice president never became too serious about resigning.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Joe Biden

Biden Challenge Faces High Hurdles

August 4, 2015 at 8:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 1 Comment

“Vice President Biden would have to clear high hurdles to defeat Hillary Clinton if he launched a bid for the Democratic presidential nomination,” The Hill reports.

“The biggest one? Carving out a niche — and a reason for his candidacy — in a race that is being dominated by the former secretary of State.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Joe Biden

What a Biden Bid Would Mean for Clinton

August 3, 2015 at 5:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 81 Comments

John Heilemann: “The Clintons and their adjutants.… comprehend, if dimly, that in the short term a Biden entry would make their lives sheer hell, and in the medium term could be quite dangerous, for three reasons beyond the obvious. First, it would radically exacerbate an already punishing set of media dynamics for Clinton…. Second, a Biden candidacy would escalate the Bernie Sanders threat…. Third, with Biden in the race, the Democratic establishment would have a viable alternative.”

“The absence of a plausible fallback option has been no small part of the reason the party’s panjandrums have been laboring to suppress their misgivings about the swirl of controversies around Clinton’s e-mail practices and her family’s foundation.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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