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Sheehy Keeps Lead in Montana

October 27, 2024 at 7:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Emerson College survey in Montana finds 50% of voters support Tim Sheehy (R) and 46% support incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D) in the election for US Senate.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

GOP Candidate’s Discharge Story Doesn’t Hold Up

October 24, 2024 at 10:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Tim Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL running for the Senate in Montana, has said he was discharged from the military for medical reasons because of injuries he sustained on duty, but his discharge paperwork tells a different story,” NBC News reports.

“The heavily redacted, two-page document obtained by NBC News indicates that Sheehy voluntarily resigned his commission and does not list any medical condition that forced him out of uniform.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

GOP Super PAC Pulls Out of Montana Senate Race

October 24, 2024 at 1:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Republican super PAC American Crossroads is pulling nearly $3 million in ads from Montana, which could be a sign of confidence that they think Tim Sheehy (R) may have the Senate race in the bag, Politico reports.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

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Jon Tester Trails Badly in Montana

October 10, 2024 at 5:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Control of the Senate appears likely to flip from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party this fall, as one of the nation’s most endangered Democrats, Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT), trails his Republican challenger in his bid for re-election, 44% to 52%, according to a new New York Times/Siena College poll.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Tim Sheehy Hides from the Press

October 4, 2024 at 6:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Tim Sheehy stumped behind closed doors earlier this week here with a crowd of supporters eager to make him the GOP’s Senate majority maker,” CNN reports.

“But the 38-year-old political novice was also eager not to be seen outside those doors.”

“Sheehy and his campaign have gone to extreme lengths to avoid press scrutiny as he seeks to ride former President Donald Trump’s coattails and tap into a reddening Montana to oust the three-term Democratic incumbent, Sen. Jon Tester, in November.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Exchange of the Day

October 1, 2024 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Jon Tester (D) and challenger Tim Sheehy (R) debated last night:

TESTER: If you really feel this way about Native Americans, you ought to apologize for the statement you made about them that were totally inaccurate. But yet you won’t.

SHEEHY: I come from the military… We make insensitive jokes and probably off-color sometimes.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Green Party Candidate Stays on Montana Senate Ballot

September 18, 2024 at 6:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. Jon Tester’s (D-MT) reelection was already difficult. It just got a little harder,” Politico reports.

“The Montana state Supreme Court upheld a lower court ruling Tuesday that Green Party candidate Robert Barb can remain on the ballot for this fall’s Senate race, a blow to state Democrats who had fervently tried to block him out of fear he would pull votes away from the highly vulnerable Tester.”

Politico: Control of the Senate is coming down to Montana — and Democrats are struggling.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

GOP Candidate Doctored One Of His Campaign Ads

September 17, 2024 at 7:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The campaign of Montana GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy appears to have doctored a recent TV advertisement to remove a logo of the Property and Environment Research Center from the shirt he was wearing,” the HuffPost reports.

“PERC is a Montana-based think tank with a history of advocating for the privatization of federal public lands, which has become a central issue in the race.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Senate Control Will Likely Hinge on Montana

September 10, 2024 at 5:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Even as Kamala Harris’ ascension revs up the Democratic electorate, the party’s hold on the Senate could still end with a single race in Montana,” Semafor reports.

“The state’s Democratic senator, Jon Tester, is in the toughest predicament of any incumbent in the chamber. And though Republicans are increasingly confident about their chances of defeating Tester, and flipping the second seat they need to claim Senate control for the first time in three elections, the 68-year-old insists he’s no underdog.”

Said Tester: “What it looks like from here and what reality is are two different things. I’m going to go up and I’m going to go down, but I feel really good about where we’re at. And I feel really good about how this race is going to turn out.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Montana Senate Race Moves to Leans Republican

September 6, 2024 at 7:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “The Montana Senate race moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican.”

“We were very close to making this change in yesterday’s more expansive Senate update, but we were waiting for some additional polling evidence to do it. We got that polling shortly after publishing yesterday.”

“This move means that a majority of Senate seats, 51, now are rated Safe, Likely, or Leaning Republican in our ratings.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Sheehy Claims He Parachuted Into Glacier National Park

September 5, 2024 at 8:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“U.S. Senate candidate Tim Sheehy recently said he parachuted into Glacier National Park as part of his military training in Montana — an activity a national park spokesperson said is not permitted,” the Daily Montanan reports.

“Sheehy, a Republican and a former U.S. Navy SEAL, made the comment at a campaign event last month, according to a video posted on Facebook and shared multiple times…”

“However, a Glacier National Park official said parachuting, hang gliding and base jumping are not allowed in the park. A public information spokesperson said the park does not grant special permission for the U.S. military, and if the activity is taking place, it is illegal.”

Said the spokesman: “There is no way to get permission.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Tim Sheehy Caught on Audio Making Racist Statements

September 2, 2024 at 7:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Montana U.S. Senate candidate Tim Sheehy (R) is on audio making racist and disparaging comments about Native Americans, the Char-Koota News reports.

In an audio clip recorded at a fundraiser last year, Sheehy brags about roping and branding with members of the Crow Nation. He says “it’s a great way to bond with the Indians while they’re drunk at 8:00 a.m.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Jon Tester Falls Behind in Montana

August 14, 2024 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NonStop Local poll in Montana finds Tim Sheehy (R) beating Sen. Jon Tester (D), 51% to 45%.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

The Senate Race Trump Cares Most About

August 9, 2024 at 7:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Montana Senate race is special to Republicans for a few reasons. For starters, it’s the party’s top prospect to flip the Senate, with a vulnerable Democrat running for reelection in a decidedly red state,” NOTUS reports.

“But for Donald Trump, he’s not campaigning in a state he won by 16 points just because he wants to extend his margins. He’s going because beating Sen. Jon Tester is personal.”

Said a source close to Trump: “There’s almost nothing that DJT enjoys more than exacting vengeance on his enemies. You screw him today, and you can rest assured that your day is coming. Might not be tomorrow, might not be next week or next year, but it’s coming.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Jon Tester Says Biden Needs to Prove He’s Up to the Job

July 8, 2024 at 2:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) slammed President Biden early Monday morning following several days of Democratic lawmakers sounding the alarm about the president’s ability to hold office, KULR reports.

Said Tester: “President Biden has got to prove to the American people—including me—that he’s up to the job for another four years. Meanwhile, I’ll continue to do what I’ve always done: Stand up to President Biden when he’s wrong and protect our Montana way of life.”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Tester Rips GOP for Mocking His Prius

June 19, 2024 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT), who describes himself as a third-generation dirt farmer from “Big Sandy,” blasted the National Republican Senatorial Committee as “a bunch of jackasses” for mocking his red Toyota Prius, which he uses to get around Washington, The Hill reports.

Said Tester: “I’ve got an ’86 Chevy. I got a 2018 GMC. I got a 2018 Honda Ridgeline. I’ve got a Celica. I’ve got a Peterbilt. I’ve got a ’67 International truck. I’ve got a ’96 International truck. I’ve got a ’78 GMC. Want me to keep going?”

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

GOP Candidate Leans In on Trump Conviction

June 3, 2024 at 7:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Montana U.S. Senate candidate Tim Sheehy (R) is rolling out an ad focused on Donald Trump’s criminal conviction accusing his opponent, Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT), of standing by a “state-sponsored political persecution,” Politico reports.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

Lawsuit Claims Tim Sheehy Defrauded Ex-Employees

May 23, 2024 at 2:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A lawsuit claims Montana U.S. Senate candidate Tim Sheehy (R) and his brother defrauded two former employees out of a share of their company that is worth millions, the Montana Independent reports.

The former employees’ complaint sharply contradicts the story that Sheehy has told about himself and his business career on the campaign trail.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign Tagged With: MT-Sen

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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