Wonk Wire shows the job situation in the United States “has been basically unchanged for the last 30 months.”
More from Wonk Wire: Prepare for Stagflation 2.0.
Wonk Wire highlights four reasons why stagnant economic growth will continue.
Also interesting is how state and local governments are a drag on GDP.
As the 50th anniversary of Martin Luther King, Jr.’s “I Have a Dream” speech approaches, an astonishing “chart of the day” on Wonk Wire shows the ratio of black to white unemployment rate has hardly budged.
“Worried about the potential impact on the fragile economies in their states, Republican governors this weekend warned their counterparts in Congress not to shut down the federal government as part of an effort to block financing for President Obama’s health care law,” the New York Times reports.
“A range of Republican governors, including some who have refused to implement elements of the health initiative in their states, said in interviews that a standoff in Washington before the new fiscal year this fall could backfire on the party if it is seen as being responsible for bringing the government to a halt.”
The U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs last month while the unemployment rate fell to 7.4%, the lowest since December 2008, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Ezra Klein: “If labor-force participation had held at its pre-recession peak, unemployment would be around 9.7 percent today.”
“We need to prepare for the inevitable collapse that is going to
happen: You know it’s going to happen. That’s right, I am a politician
and I am standing up here and saying that.”
— Washington state Rep. Matt Shea (R), quoted by the Seattle Post-Intelligencer, on the coming economic collapse.
A new Monmouth poll finds the American public is split on the veracity of President Obama’s announcement that he wants to refocus the remainder of his term on helping the middle class.
Key finding: Just 46% believe the president when he says this, while 50% do not believe him.
President Obama told the New York Times that “he was worried that years of widening income inequality and the lingering effects of the financial crisis had frayed the country’s social fabric and undermined Americans’ belief in opportunity.”
Upward mobility “was part and parcel of who we were as Americans. And that’s what’s been eroding over the last 20, 30 years, well before the financial crisis.”
He added: “If we don’t do anything, then growth will be slower than it should be. Unemployment will not go down as fast as it should. Income inequality will continue to rise,” he said. “That’s not a future that we should accept.”
Walter Shapiro listened to President Obama’s speech on the economy today but says it “comes three years too late. In early 2010, Obama confronted the question that ultimately every president has to answer: What will be my legacy?”
“Obama chose health care reform, and it has made all the difference. To govern is to choose – and by choosing health care, Obama inadvertently lost his chance to put a lasting imprint on the economy. High unemployment, and the personal anguish that comes with it, will be as much a legacy of his two terms in office as Obamacare.”
President Obama begins today a series of speeches on the economy, the AP reports.
“The trio of speeches comes as Congress prepares to leave Washington next week for its monthlong August recess. These and other speeches planned for the coming weeks and months are designed to increase public pressure on lawmakers in hopes of avoiding showdowns over taxes and spending in the fall. The White House believes such stalemates will stunt the economy, which has added more than 200,000 jobs a month in the past six months. The new federal budget year begins Oct. 1 and the government will soon hit its borrowing limit.”
U.S. employers added 195,000 jobs in June, a sign of solid improvements in the labor market, the Wall Street Journal reports.
The unemployment rate remained steady at 7.6%.
National Journal: “But now for the really good news: We were quite wrong about job gains in April and May. Initial reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed a jobs gain of 149,000 in April and 175,000 in May. In the latest reports, those numbers were revised upward to 199,000 in April and 195,000 in May. That’s a combined gain of 70,000 jobs from earlier reports. So, since April, it turns out that the economy has actually gained nearly 200,000 new jobs a month.”
Wonk Wire will round up reactions and analysis.
Wall Street Journal: “The U.S. economy grew at a 1.8% annual rate in the first quarter, slower than the earlier estimates of 2.4% growth. Economists had expected a 2.4% final reading for first-quarter growth.”
A new Urban Institute study finds the net worth of today’s 30-somethings — adjusted for inflation — is down 21% from what 30-somethings enjoyed in 1983, CBS News reports.
Al Gore said capitalism “is coming under increased scrutiny and needs to change as short-term thinking has driven a wedge between investing and the creation of value for corporations,” Bloomberg reports.
Said Gore: “There is a continuing focus on short-term decision making in markets and that is distorting the allocation of resources. It’s hurting the quality of decisions that are made by companies.”
Former Mitt Romney economic adviser Greg Mankiw has a new paper that tries to “defend the 1 percent” and the current state of income equality in the United States.
Writes Mankiw: “In the end, the left’s arguments for increased redistribution are valid in principle but dubious in practice… If the current tax system were regressive, or if the incomes of the top 1 percent were much greater than their economic contributions, or if the rich enjoyed government services in excess of what they pay in taxes, then the case for increasing the top tax rate would indeed be strong. But there is no compelling reason to believe that any of these premises holds true.”
Charlie Cook: “The good
news for President Obama and his administration is that all the
controversies swirling around the White House have not had a significant
impact on his job-approval ratings. The bad news is that, like so many
other second-term administrations, Obama’s may end up spending so much
of its last four years fighting fires and fending off congressional
inquiries that it gets little else done… if the administration is
bogged down in controversy, voters won’t be handing the president or
anyone else any laurels for the economic recovery. That’s what Obama,
his administration, and congressional Democrats facing voters next year
ought to worry about.”
Wall Street Journal: “The U.S. economy added 175,000 jobs in May, signaling the economic recovery remains broadly on track. The Labor Department said the unemployment rate rose slightly to 7.6% from 7.5% in April.”
Federal Reserve officials “have mapped out a strategy for winding down an unprecedented $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program meant to spur the economy–an effort to preserve flexibility and manage highly unpredictable market expectations,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Officials say they plan to reduce the amount of bonds they buy in careful and potentially halting steps, varying their purchases as their confidence about the job market and inflation evolves. The timing on when to start is still being debated.”
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.
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