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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Missouri Map Returns to Supreme Court for Third Time

September 23, 2026 · 5:02 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The fight over Missouri’s congressional map returned to the U.S. Supreme Court for a third time late Tuesday, after an appeals court ordered the revival of new districts backed by President Donald Trump,” the Associated Press reports.

“The new map was drawn to help Republicans gain a U.S. House seat in the pivotal midterm elections, which will determine control of Congress. The Supreme Court has twice blocked efforts to use it in November.”

New York Times: Dispute over Missouri’s congressional map again returns to Supreme Court.

2026 Campaign, Judiciary, Redistricting

Supreme Court Stays Out of Custody Dispute

September 22, 2026 · 5:18 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Tuesday declined to intervene in a custody dispute between a California couple and surrogate who gave birth to a child last month with a rare and serious heart defect,” CBS News reports.

Judiciary

Trump’s Third-Country Deportations Ruled Illegal

September 18, 2026 · 10:15 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration’s policy on deporting immigrants to third countries is unlawful, a federal appeals court ruled Friday, a decision that could halt a program that has already sent thousands of people to countries that are not their own,” the Washington Post reports.

Immigration, Judiciary, Trump Legacy

Are Trump’s Official Papers His Personal Property?

September 17, 2026 · 1:17 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Adam Liptak: “Supreme Court justices work for the government but treat their official papers as private property. As my frequent reporting partner Jodi Kantor wrote this month, that means they can withhold them from the public until long after they have died, or destroy them entirely.”

“In a brief filed last week in a federal appeals court, the Trump administration twice cited Jodi’s article to argue that presidents should have the same power. A 1978 law requires White House documents to be preserved and disclosed relatively soon after the president leaves office. The brief says that law violates the Constitution.”

Judiciary, White House

The Supreme Court’s Cryptic Mail Ballot Decision

September 16, 2026 · 5:18 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court’s recent patchwork of election-related decisions gives the public scant clues of how the justices would act if faced with a crucial dispute this fall that would definitively settle which party controls Congress or what to expect in 2028,” CNN reports.

“The justices’ unsigned order Monday rejecting President Donald Trump’s plan to let the U.S. Postal Service possibly refuse to deliver ballots was cryptic. And an earlier June decision, similarly rejecting an attempt to foist new rules on mail-in ballots, came down to a single vote.”

Election Administration, Judiciary

Judges Says Trump’s Name Must Stay Off Kennedy Center

September 15, 2026 · 12:25 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A federal judge ruled on Tuesday that the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts could not honor President Trump with an inscription on the institution’s exterior, blocking an effort by the center’s board to restore the president’s name to the building,” the New York Times reports.

Rolling Stone: Trump is ready to close the Kennedy Center because he can’t put his name on it.

Judiciary, White House

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

September 15, 2026 · 10:13 am ET · Leave a Comment

“These are not the people I interviewed to serve on the United States Supreme Court, they are merely a shell of their original selves. This Supreme Court is bullied and cajoled by the Radical Left into making decisions that have set America back at least a hundred years.”

— President Trump, quoted by the New York Post.

Judiciary, Trump Legacy

Trump Calls Mail Ballot Ruling ‘Big Loss for Republicans’

September 15, 2026 · 10:05 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump on Tuesday blasted the Supreme Court for blocking a new controversial U.S. Postal Service rule on mail-in ballots from being used for the upcoming midterm elections,” CNBC reports.

Said Trump: “Republicans just got another bad decision from the United States Supreme Court, one that the Court System took forever to give, and then blamed it, in part, on no time left to implement a solution to our totally CORRUPT and out of control Mail-In voting ‘disaster.'”

He added: “It is a big loss for Republicans, and America itself, and makes cheating by the Radical Left ‘Dumocrats,’ on Mail-In Ballots, a much easier thing to do.”

New York Times: Trump slams Supreme Court over mail ballot ruling.

2026 Campaign, Election Administration, Judiciary

Supreme Court Rejects Trump’s Mail Ballot Restrictions

September 14, 2026 · 7:56 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Monday rejected President Donald Trump’s mail ballot restrictions for now, capping a flurry of last-minute legal action with voting in the midterm elections already underway,” the AP reports.

“The decision allows states to continue sending out mail ballots under the same processes they’ve used for years.”

Axios: Supreme Court strikes down USPS mail-in voting rule.

With ballots already going out, even this conservative Court appears unwilling to let a president rewrite election procedures in the middle of an election.
Taegan

Judiciary

Another Judge Blocks Trump’s Mail Ballot Rule

September 14, 2026 · 10:45 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump was dealt a fresh setback in his push to overhaul mail voting ahead of the November midterm elections, with another federal judge blocking the Postal Service from enforcing changes to mail-in ballot rules as the U.S. Supreme Court weighs whether to step in,” Bloomberg reports.

“In a ruling late Sunday, U.S. District Judge Carl Nichols in Washington added to the pile of lower court losses for the Trump administration in recent weeks. Nichols concluded that there was a stronger public interest in maintaining the status quo for how states handle mail-in voting ahead of the Nov. 3 contests, when Republicans will defend their slim control of Congress.”

2026 Campaign, Election Administration, Judiciary

Trump Faces Major Test Over Appointing U.S. Attorneys

September 13, 2026 · 11:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s power to install preferred federal prosecutors without Senate confirmation will face a major test Tuesday in a federal appeals court, while his administration is separately asking the Supreme Court to take up a related dispute that could carry nationwide consequences,” the Washington Examiner reports.

Judiciary, White House

Judge Poised to Dismiss Lawsuit Challenging Trump Library

September 12, 2026 · 7:09 am ET · Leave a Comment

“A federal judge on Friday appeared poised to dismiss a lawsuit against President Trump’s proposed library in Miami, citing presidential immunity in blocking the fact-finding pretrial process that is generally required,” the New York Times reports.

Judiciary, White House

Supreme Court Rejects Trump-Backed Map in Missouri

September 10, 2026 · 10:37 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The U.S. Supreme Court again rejected a push to use Missouri congressional maps backed by President Donald Trump on Thursday, a loss for Republicans trying to maintain control of the House in the fast-approaching midterm elections,” the Associated Press reports.

“The decision appears to clear the way for use of the old maps.”

2026 Campaign, Judiciary, Redistricting

Supreme Court Asked to Block Missouri Map

September 9, 2026 · 6:20 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A group seeking to block Missouri from using a new congressional map that favors Republicans in November’s midterm elections has asked the Supreme Court to intervene,” the Washington Post reports.

”The appeal is the latest twist in an extraordinary legal fight that has plunged the state into electoral confusion just as it was supposed to finalize ballots and shortly before it begins distributing mail-in versions to voters.”

Reuters: Fight over Republican-drawn congressional map in Missouri returns to U.S. Supreme Court.

2022 Campaign, Judiciary, Redistricting

Just 45% Expect Fair Midterm Elections

September 9, 2026 · 4:17 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The nation’s election system is in a messy legal limbo, with fights over mail-in voting, electoral maps and voter records still locked in court,” Axios reports.

“Americans are in the eye of the storm, with over half saying they don’t think the 2026 midterms will be conducted fairly or are unsure, according to a new poll.”

“Just 45% think the midterms will be conducted fairly, a sentiment shared by 37% of independents and 48% of both Democrats and Republicans.”

2026 Campaign, Election Administration, Judiciary

Abortion Pill Case Could Wipe Out Access in Blue States

September 9, 2026 · 5:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The next phase in the abortion wars may come down to one question: Do the rights of red states to enforce bans override the rights of blue states to protect access?” Politico reports.

”Louisiana will argue before a federal appeals court this week that FDA rules allowing telehealth prescription and mail delivery of the drug mifepristone infringe on the state’s right to prohibit abortion within its borders. But should its lawsuit succeed — or one of the others like it filed by Florida, Idaho, Kansas, Missouri or Texas — it would wipe out online and mail access in states where abortion is legal, cutting off millions of residents from a method they increasingly depend on.”

Abortion, Judiciary

Dueling Court Rulings Leave Missouri’s Races in Chaos

September 9, 2026 · 5:21 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Conflicting court orders issued on the same day threw the congressional elections in Missouri into chaos on Tuesday, two months before an election in which a handful of races could decide control of the House,” the New York Times reports.

“First, Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh denied a request from Missouri officials to use a congressional map in November that was redrawn to give Republicans an edge in the midterm elections.”

“Soon after, a District Court judge in Missouri ruled the other way, ordering the state to rely on that map, which had been used in last month’s primary election.”

“Taken together, the dueling court orders left Missouri where it began, with no agreement about which congressional map should be in effect in November and no immediate route to resolving that question.”

2026 Campaign, Judiciary, Redistricting

Brett Kavanaugh Won’t Allow Missouri to Use GOP Map

September 8, 2026 · 5:53 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh on Tuesday refused to lift a block on Missouri’s new congressional map, which was poised to give Republicans a pickup opportunity in November,” The Hill reports.

“Missouri officials held their primaries using Republicans’ new 7-1 House map, but the decision means the Show Me State must revert to its existing GOP-favored 6-2 House map for the November election.”

“The dueling use of maps raises questions around how the state will pick primary winners ahead of November with less than 60 days before the election.”

Judiciary, Redistricting

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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