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Trump May Try to Seize Kharg Island

March 15, 2026 at 10:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is weighing a seizure of Iran’s critical oil depot on Kharg Island — a move that would require U.S. boots on the ground — if tankers remain bottled up in the Persian Gulf,” Axios reports.

“Trump is drawn to the idea of seizing Kharg Island outright because it would constitute ‘an economic knockout of the regime’ — essentially defunding Tehran.”

“But the move would require boots on the ground and could trigger Iranian retaliatory strikes against oil facilities and pipelines across Gulf countries, particularly Saudi Arabia.”

Quote of the Day

March 15, 2026 at 9:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Really, I’m demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory, because it is their territory … you could make the case that maybe we shouldn’t be there at all, because we don’t need it. We have a lot of oil.”

— President Trump, talking to reporters, about the Strait of Hormuz.

White House Tries to Build Coalition

March 15, 2026 at 9:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “The Trump administration as soon as this week plans to announce that multiple countries have agreed to form a coalition that will escort ships through the waterway, which runs along the Iranian coast, U.S. officials said. The U.S. and potential coalition countries are still discussing whether those operations would begin before or after the war ends.”

“The White House declined to comment on the expected announcement, which could shift depending on battlefield conditions. Publicly, many countries have been noncommittal to such an escort mission until hostilities cease, given the risks involved, including Iran’s placement of mines in the strait.”

Hack Shows Reach of Iran’s Cyber Capabilities

March 15, 2026 at 9:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Iran pulled off likely the most significant wartime cyberattack against the U.S. in history, leveraging its hacking powers to cause major disruptions at a global medical-equipment firm that struggled to bring itself back online in recent days,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The attack brought a conflict that until now had been largely confined to the Gulf region to the American homeland and offered a preview of the potential for how Iran may broaden its response to the U.S. and Israeli military campaign.”

Iran Dismisses Trump’s Claim of Talks

March 15, 2026 at 8:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has dismissed President Donald Trump’s claim that Tehran wants truce talks, saying it will continue defending itself, Al Jazeera reports.

Cubans Intensify Protests After Sundown

March 15, 2026 at 4:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Across the island, pot-banging is becoming louder as Cuba plunges into darkness almost every night, protecting the identity of protesters in a country where the totalitarian government keeps an eye on everyone and a tight lid on dissent.”

Iran War Is New Test of America’s Economic Power

March 15, 2026 at 4:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“If you predicted the U.S. would fall into recession due to the latest headlines, the last few years have made you look dumb. Through interest rate increases, armed conflict in Europe and a trade war, it has proven stunningly resilient,” Axios reports.

“America’s economic superpower has been its scale, diversity and adaptability that have allowed it to continue chugging along whenever crises arise.”

“Now, the Iran war will test again how much the U.S. economy can absorb without a meaningful downturn.”

Senate Braces for Showdown Over Voter ID Rules

March 15, 2026 at 3:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump has demanded that the GOP-controlled Senate quickly pass strict new voting rules ahead of the midterms, setting the stage for a theatrical showdown on the floor this week that could stretch through several days and nights,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Trump, joined by influencers, activists and some Republicans in Congress, has been pressuring Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R., S.D.) to pass the SAVE America Act, which already has passed the House. Democrats vow to block the measure, so Thune plans to open the floor to an unusual drawn-out debate that will thrust the contentious legislation into the spotlight—but is unlikely to send it to Trump’s desk.”

Trump Faces Stark Choices

March 15, 2026 at 3:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Two weeks into a war against Iran that he chose to launch, President Trump faces a stark choice — stay in the battle to achieve the dauntingly ambitious goals he has set, or try to extract himself from an expanding and intensifying conflict that is generating damaging military, diplomatic and economic shock waves,” the New York Times reports.

“He has quickly discovered that both options are deeply problematic, littered with consequences that he and his team downplayed when he plunged the United States, alongside Israel, into the biggest war in the Middle East in nearly a quarter-century.”

The Iran War May Be About to Escalate

March 15, 2026 at 3:13 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “The Trump administration reportedly did not expect the strait to slam shut—another example of its short-sightedness in the prosecution of this war—and is scrambling for a response. ‘One way or the other, we will soon get the Hormuz Strait open, safe, and free,’ the president wrote on social media on March 14th. Meanwhile Mojtaba Khamenei, or whoever is writing statements in his name—Iran’s new supreme leader has not been seen since he was named to the job a week ago—says it will remain shut.”

“Mr Trump will struggle to make good on his promise. The geography of the strait favours Iran; so does the low risk tolerance of shippers and insurers. Yet Iran has a dilemma as well: so far, closing the strait has been a tactical win that has not achieved its strategic goal of ending the war. The battle for Hormuz may push both sides towards risky escalation.”

Ayatollah Was Wary of His Son Taking Power

March 15, 2026 at 3:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Ayatollah Ali Khamenei worried about his son, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who has now replaced him, was “perceived as not very bright … unqualified … and had issues in his personal life,” CBS News reports.

Trump Tilts U.S. Allies Toward Beijing

March 15, 2026 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Swaths of the public in Canada, Germany, France and the U.K. have soured on the U.S., driven by President Donald Trump’s foreign policy decisions” according to recent results from the Politico Poll.

“Respondents in these countries increasingly see China as a more dependable partner than the U.S… Critically, Europeans surveyed see it as possible to reduce reliance on the U.S. but harder to reduce reliance on China.”

Trump Gets No Offers of Help to Secure Strait of Hormuz

March 15, 2026 at 2:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s call for other countries to help secure the Strait of Hormuz was met with little in the way of immediate commitments from the nations he named, including Japan, South Korea and the U.K.,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

‘No Guarantees’ Oil Prices Will Drop Soon

March 15, 2026 at 2:12 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Sunday there were “no guarantees” that oil prices would fall in the coming weeks, despite President Trump’s having vowed repeatedly that the United States will try to force Iran to stop attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, the New York Times reports.

Said Wright: “There’s no guarantees in wars at all. I can guarantee the situation would be dramatically worse without this military operation to defang the Iranian regime.”

Vance Says Khamenei ‘Hurt’ in Strikes

March 15, 2026 at 2:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Vice President JD Vance said that Iran’s new Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei was hurt in strikes on Iran,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said Vance: “It’s obviously a very chaotic environment over there. And you have the Israelis striking, you have, obviously the United States striking a number of targets. We know that he’s hurt. We don’t know exactly how bad, but we know that he’s hurt.”

Quote of the Day

March 15, 2026 at 12:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think President Trump thought he could get a better deal than the Obama administration did. He failed to get that better deal, and he went off and launched a war without planning.”

— Pete Buttigieg, on CNN.

Do Democrats Have the Edge to Take the Senate?

March 15, 2026 at 9:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bettors at Polymarket now think Democrats are slightly favored to win control of the Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

Trump Has Become a World Historical Figure

March 15, 2026 at 8:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Judis: “Trump himself may soon be disgraced, but he and his administration have set in motion long-term changes that are going to be with us for the foreseeable future. Trump, it is increasingly clear, is a figure of enormous historical significance who is reshaping America and the globe in ways that will not easily be undone by Democratic wins in future elections.”

“Liberals, naturally, would like to believe the opposite: that once they triumph at the ballot box, all can go back to normal…”

“This could not be more wrong. And the ill-conceived but also era-defining war in Iran — the seventh country that Trump has attacked in his second term — is just the latest manifestation of how Trump is irrevocably changing our world.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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