Alan Abramowitz created a model to predict the results of the March 15 Democratic primaries. The key factors appear to be the racial composition of the Democratic primary electorate and the region of the country.
He sees Hillary Clinton as a strong favorite in Florida and North Carolina and a slight favorite in Illinois. Bernie Sanders is a slight favorite in Ohio and Missouri.


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
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Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
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Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
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Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
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Four questions a day.
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A new game every day.