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You are here: Home / 2012 Campaign / Democratic Retirements Could Hinder House Takeover

Democratic Retirements Could Hinder House Takeover

November 29, 2011 at 8:39 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Barney Frank’s (D-MA) decision yesterday to retire from the House
of Representatives marks the 17th Democrat this cycle to opt not to run
for reelection, compared to just seven Republicans, dimming the
prospects that Democrats can win the 26 seats necessary to retake
control of the chamber in 2012, reports The Hill.

“All
[seven] GOP members are departing to run for another office, while only
eight of the 17 Democrats have their eyes focused
upward… Anticipating the blowback it would receive following two
high-profile retirements in less than a week, the Democratic
Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) released a memo Monday showing
that a number of Democratic retirements are in left-leaning districts
where the party is likely to retain control even without an incumbent.”

Politico:
“It’s a familiar trend: When parties lose the majority, the path back
to power appears too steep for many members to stick it out. After
Democrats lost the majority in 1994, 29 Democrats did not seek
reelection — eight more than the number of Republicans who retired.
After Republicans lost the majority in 2006, 27 Republicans did not seek
reelection — 21 more than the number of retiring Democrats.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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