Nate Silver evaluates the swing states to determine which are the most strategically important and finds ten which “could play an important role in the electoral calculus.”
The most important, along with the chance it will be the one that determines the next president:
Ohio (32%), Florida (20%), Virginia (9%), Colorado (9%), Wisconsin (9%), Iowa (6%), Pennsylvania (5%), Nevada (5%), New Hampshire (3%) and Michigan (1%).
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