The 2014 Political Environment

Will the factors which dominated the 2012 elections continue to play a major role in 2014?  Will Republicans’ issues with minority, female, young, and moderate voters persist? Or will the historical pattern of second-term presidents running into problems push the outcome in the opposite direction? Finally, will the Affordable Care Act (otherwise known as “Obamacare”) become a liability for Democrats once again, in the way it did in 2010?  The Cook Political Report has identified and graphed five key metrics to watch over the next 17 months.

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