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Archives for October 2014

Broken Government Narrative Could Impact Midterms

October 2, 2014 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “In a different year, the series of security breaches – and misinformation about them – that led to Secret Service director Julia Pierson’s resignation Wednesday would get plenty of news coverage, but it probably wouldn’t move the needle all that much politically. But this year, it’s just the latest and most dramatic example of the government failing at its most basic responsibilities. Think about it: A year ago, HealthCare.gov was crashing spectacularly and the federal government was shut down. Since then, the Veterans Affairs Department, the NSA and the IRS all have been caught up in abuse and mismanagement scandals. Now, the tough and supposedly elite forces that the president himself entrusts with his own life failed (in epic fashion, at least three times!) to carry out the basic mission. And the White House was largely in the dark about it.”

“It sure looks to the public like every part of government — even the ones supposedly free from the partisanship that usually gets the blame for dysfunction — is falling down on the job. And this comes at a time that the CDC is trying to reassure Americans about Ebola. With this accumulation of stories backing the narrative of utterly incompetent government, it makes sense that voters want a change — any change — to fix it.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Why Boehner Wants Bush to Run

October 2, 2014 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For the past year, Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) has been wooing his longtime friend Jeb Bush to jump into the 2016 presidential race, even as he has shunned potential Tea Party rivals like Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Rand Paul of Kentucky,” The Hill reports.

“The Speaker’s preference for yet another Bush White House run is partly political, partly personal. He sees Bush as undeniably the strongest, most viable candidate who could pull the party together after a bruising primary and take on a formidable Hillary Clinton, sources said. And the two men are aligned politically, hailing from the same centrist strand of the GOP.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Quote of the Day

October 2, 2014 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I think he wants to be president.”

— George W. Bush, quoted by Politico, on his brother Jeb’s intentions in 2016.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Secret Service Agent Leaked Obama’s Campaign Schedule

October 2, 2014 at 8:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As scandal continues to envelop the Secret Service, InsideSources has learned of a security failure leading up to the 2012 election. Multiple sources inside the Romney presidential campaign confirm that a Secret Service agent provided details of President Obama’s schedule several days prior to the President’s campaign stops becoming public.”

Filed Under: 2012 Campaign

Panetta Says Obama is to Blame for Iraq Problems

October 2, 2014 at 8:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta blames the White House for much of the current chaos in Iraq in his new memoir, Worthy Fights: A Memoir of Leadership in War and Peace.

Panetta writes that “our side viewed the White House as so eager to rid itself of Iraq that it was willing to withdraw rather than lock in arrangements that would preserve our influence and interests.”

Filed Under: National Security

Odds Favor Republicans in Senate Battle

October 2, 2014 at 8:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato and Kyle Kondik: “The race for the Senate is perceptively moving in the Republicans’ direction, but not so dramatically that we’re ready to call the race definitively for them.”

“While we’ve long said the 2014 map and midterm dynamics make a GOP takeover of the Senate a probable outcome, there are just too many close races left and more than a month to go, when big gaffes, unexpected legal actions, and national events can potentially flip a Senate seat or two.”

“But right now, Democrats are behind the eight-ball (as well as the Crystal Ball). So many undecided contests are winnable for the GOP that the party would have to have a string of bad luck — combined with a truly exceptional Democratic get-out-the-vote program — to snatch defeat from the wide-open jaws of victory. Or Republicans would have to truly shoot themselves in the foot in at least one race, which has become a clear possibility over the last few weeks in Kansas.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Sam Wang Rebuts Nate Silver

October 2, 2014 at 8:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

For those interested in what has become an epic battle of election forecasters, Sam Wang responds to Nate Silver’s extensive criticism of his midterm election forecasting model.

Filed Under: Polling

Sheheen Calls for Removal of Confederate Flag

October 2, 2014 at 8:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

South Carolina gubernatorial candidate Vincent Sheheen (D) said it is time for the Confederate flag to be removed from the State House grounds and replaced with the U.S. flag, the Columbia State reports.

Said Sheheen: “We are a state that is too often divided, too often separated by race, by region, by party. We know that state leaders in South Carolina keep us entrenched in these divisions so they can stay entrenched in South Carolina.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Obama Delay on Immigration Hurting Democrats

October 2, 2014 at 8:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Less than a month after President Obama announced he would delay using his executive authority to reform immigration laws, there is evidence that the decision is doing exactly what he hoped to avoid: hurting Democrats,” the Washington Post reports.

“Activists in key states say it is increasingly difficult to register would-be Latino voters who would vote for Democrats because of unhappiness over the decision. Poll numbers for Obama and Democrats have also dropped farther among Hispanics than the population at large. One group has even launched a campaign against four Democratic senators who backed a GOP proposal to bar Obama from taking any executive action on immigration.”

Filed Under: Immigration

Snyder Inches Away in Michigan

October 2, 2014 at 8:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan shows Gov. Rick Snyder (R) leading challenger Mark Schauer (D) in the race for governor, 45% to 39%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Judges Declare Two-Way Race in Kansas

October 2, 2014 at 8:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The clouds surrounding the U.S. Senate race in Kansas cleared Wednesday: The odds of a Democrat on the ballot disappeared, while an expected brawl between the remaining contenders moved closer to reality,” the Kansas City Star reports.

“The end of the ballot dispute means Kansas voters now know their major choices in November: incumbent Republican Sen. Pat Roberts and independent Greg Orman.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Opposition Research Takes Center Stage

October 2, 2014 at 7:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Gotcha stories — ranging from those tangentially related to issues of the day to the completely ephemeral and even absurd — have been front and center in an abnormally large number of top races this year. And many of the most memorable hits bear the hallmarks of opposition research — the unglamorous grunt work of combing through public records and, increasingly, tracking candidates in search of a compromising vote, court filing, financial transaction or quote.”

“In an election in which candidates have mostly dodged the big issues facing the country, the dark art known as ‘oppo’ seems to be filling the void. And the trend lines suggest oppo’s golden age may just be beginning.”

Filed Under: Political Strategy

Coakley Hurting for Cash

October 2, 2014 at 7:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The 11 members of the all-Democratic Massachusetts congressional delegation have been asked to pony up at least $25,000 each from their political funds for the party’s financially struggling gubernatorial nominee, Martha Coakley (D),” the Boston Globe reports.

“At least three of them have initially balked at the idea, however, exposing some of the problems Coakley faces in getting full support from the Democratic establishment as she and the party struggle to close a fund-raising gap with GOP rival Charlie Baker and the state Republican Party.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Abbott Sits On Huge War Chest

October 2, 2014 at 7:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Dallas Morning News reports Greg Abbott (R) has $30 million left in the bank with about a month to go before the election for Texas governor.

“The totals aren’t due to be reported for another five days, but the campaign was anxious to get the information out.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Very Close for Maryland Governor

October 1, 2014 at 6:49 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gonzales Research poll in Maryland finds Anthony Brown (D) with a small lead over Larry Hogan (R) in the race for governor, 47% to 43%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Deadlocked in New Hampshire

October 1, 2014 at 6:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new New England College Poll in New Hampshire finds the U.S. Senate race a dead heat between Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and challenger Scott Brown (R), 47% to 47%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Secret Service Chief Resigns

October 1, 2014 at 3:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Julia Pierson, the director of the Secret Service, is resigning in the wake of several security breaches, the New York Times reports.

“The resignation came less than a day after lawmakers from both parties assailed Ms. Pierson’s leadership and said they feared for the lives of the president and others in the protection of the agency.”

Washington Post: “Support for Julia Pierson rapidly declined on Capitol Hill just hours after a congressional hearing where she avoided answering direct questions and gave conflicting accounts of a incident in which a man jumped the White House fence and ran inside the executive residence.”

Filed Under: White House

Orman Has Lead in Kansas

October 1, 2014 at 2:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new USA Today/Suffolk University poll in Kansas finds Greg Orman (I) leading Sen. Pat Roberts (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 41%.

In the race for governor, Paul Davis (D) leads Gov. Sam Brownback (R), 46% to 42%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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