“The share of Americans who associate themselves with the Democratic Party has grown significantly over the past year, according to data from Gallup. The shift, which signals the party’s largest advantage since 2008, is the latest sign of backlash against Republicans and the president ahead of the midterm elections,” the New York Times reports.

“The latest data shows Democrats with a 10-percentage-point advantage over Republicans when voters are asked which party they identify with and when independent voters are asked which party they lean toward.”

“Republicans have a white and married women problem,” Politico reports.

“Democrats are hurtling into the post-Labor Day campaign season with an 18-point advantage on the generic congressional ballot, according to a national survey of women conducted by Christine Matthews, a pollster at Bellwether Research and Consulting who specializes in women voters, and has worked for Republican clients.”

“The survey of 1,604 women 18 and over — including 1,291 registered voters — shared first with Playbook is raising alarm bells among Republicans fretting the loss of a reliable bloc of midterm voters.”

“In the 2018 blue wave, women broke 18 points for Democrats.”

New York Times: “Polls are traditionally used to measure public opinion, not mold it. But this year, several Democratic campaigns have seized on unreliable polls to push the perception that their candidates are surging to try to solidify support, attract donors and scare off rivals. The rise of prediction markets has also created financial incentives for untrustworthy or even fake political polls at a moment when it has become even more expensive and difficult to conduct high-quality polls.”

“Some Republicans — particularly President Trump — have for years pointed to dubious polling to advance their political goals, but the phenomenon has become far more acute in Democratic primaries this year. In recent weeks, questionable surveys have created confusion and warped perceptions of the results of key primaries for the party.”