“President Donald Trump insisted his job approval is somehow actually 60% as polling has shown he’s one of the least popular presidents going into the midterms,” Mediaite reports.
Said Trump: “I don’t believe I could be beaten by anybody.”
The Polling Dashboard shows Trump’s approval at just 35%.
CNBC: “Nearly 55% of MAGA supporters want companies to keep developing advanced AI while Congress works on regulations, versus 27% who favor a pause. But only 29% would support a data center within 10 miles of their home, while 40% oppose one. Among all Republicans and Republican-leaning voters — not just those who identify themselves with the MAGA movement — those who say they would support a data center near their home falls to 24%.”
“Across the electorate, 63% don’t want a nearby AI data center and just 13% support one. Democrats lead the opposition: 80% oppose nearby facilities while just 4% support them.”
G. Elliot Morris: “Low-knowledge 2024 voters say they backed Trump by 8 points, according to our poll. Today they give him a net job approval of −27, a 35-point shift. Compare that to Trump’s approval rating among voters who got both questions right: These voters backed Harris by 1 point and now give Trump a net −24 approval, a 23-point shift.”
“Low-information voters have moved against Trump at a higher rate than high-information voters, by 12 points.”
“President Donald Trump is asking voters to ‘pretend’ he is on the ballot. That might backfire,” Politico reports.
“New results from The Politico Poll show that Democratic midterm voters are more motivated to oppose the president than Republican voters are to support him. Many Republican voters also aren’t looking for blind loyalty to Trump in the midterms: Half say they’d rather their local candidate aim to win, even if it means speaking out against the president.”
“With just 11 days until the midterm election, Texas Democrats have a chance to win two key congressional seats in districts that President Donald Trump won by 10 points in 2024,” a Washington Post-Schar School poll finds.
“Exasperated by the high cost of living and a deportation agenda that a majority says has gone ‘too far,’ voters in one of the South Texas districts surveyed appear closely divided; in the other, they lean toward the Democrat.”
Los Angeles Times: “Two years after helping return Trump to the White House with a Republican-controlled Congress, Latino voters are souring on the party in power, fueled by frustration over rising costs and the administration’s aggressive approach to immigration enforcement.”
“In 2024, Trump won the support of 48% of Latino voters, expanding Republican gains with a group that has long leaned Democratic. Now, that support is cratering. The president’s approval rating among Latino registered voters has fallen to 24% from 38% at the start of his second term, polls show.”
New York Times: “With less than two weeks until the midterms, a wide majority of voters say that they largely trust that the results of the upcoming election will be accurate, according to a new New York Times/Siena poll.”
”But the poll finds that many harbor concerns that Republicans could try to overturn the results of the election.”
“Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are tied just days before Brazil’s Sunday runoff election, a new poll showed,” Bloomberg reports.
“Bolsonaro and Lula would each take 50% of valid votes, which exclude null and blank ballots, according to a Datafolha survey published Thursday.”
Harvard Youth Poll: “Among 18-to-29-year-olds, 9% say the nation is generally headed in the right direction, 62% say it is off on the wrong track, and 26% are unsure. Asked how they feel about America’s future, 69% say they are more fearful, compared with 26% who are more hopeful.”
“These concerns extend across party lines, though their intensity varies. Just 5% of young Democrats, 5% of independents, and 24% of Republicans say the country is headed in the right direction.”
“A new Politico poll shows that 66% of Republican voters this midterm want a Democratic House to find common ground with President Donald Trump to pass legislation next year, assuming the party flips that chamber in November.”
“Democrats don’t seem sold on the unity vibe. Almost the same percentage of Democratic voters want their party to block Trump and GOP proposals they disagree with, even if that means fewer bills get passed.”
G. Elliot Morris: “Last month, I showed that error in how Americans report who they voted for in the 2024 election could be causing polls to underestimate support for the Democrats in the U.S. House generic ballot.”
“What’s going on here is that many pollsters now weight their samples so that the share of respondents who say they voted for Trump in 2024 matches the share of all voters who actually did.”
“However, if some Trump voters who have soured on him stop saying they voted for him, the people still claiming a Trump vote are a more loyal group than Trump’s real 2024 coalition. Weighting them back up to Trump’s actual share of the 2024 vote would artificially inflate the size of the super-MAGA group of voters in the electorate.”
“In the last presidential election, Democrats’ support among young voters was their lowest in two decades. Two years later, polls show that 18-to-29-year-old voters are returning to the party in large numbers,” the New York Times reports.
“Nationwide, young voters now favor the Democratic candidate for Congress in their district by 44 percentage points, compared with a 10-point margin two years ago.”
“The chairman of the Federal Communications Commission said on Wednesday that U.S. broadcast networks could violate their regulatory obligations by airing ‘entirely fake polls and suppression polls,'” Reuters reports.
FCC Chair Brendan Carr said that ahead of the midterm elections “there had been a significant surge in such polls ‘designed to do nothing more than interfere with the regular functioning of the electoral process and alter the normal patterns of voter turnout and enthusiasm.'”
Dan Pfeiffer: “Polls can be wrong. Even A+ rated polls can be wrong. But the brand-new New York Times/Siena poll suggests that Republicans are in for a brutal election night. Republicans have been spinning that their numbers have improved in recent weeks, or at least stabilized.”
“The Times poll says otherwise.”
“Trump’s approval rating is 36%, down a couple of points from September, and Democrats’ lead on the generic ballot increased two points. Their 11-point lead on the generic ballot is the largest in any election since 2008, when Barack Obama won the popular vote by nearly 10 million votes.”
A new American Research Group poll finds Donald Trump’s approval at 29%, while 67% disapprove.
Bloomberg: “Men between 18 and 30 years of age who are determined to vote now say they prefer a generic Democratic congressional candidate to a GOP alternative by a 57%-40% margin, according to a Cygnal poll released late last month. And only a third of respondents said they were extremely determined to vote in the upcoming midterms.”
“That represents a sharp reversal for a group credited for returning President Donald Trump to the White House in 2024, and could prove a death knell to GOP hopes of retaining the Senate across key states like Michigan, Ohio and Texas.”
“It’s especially notable because of the broad investment the Trump administration made catering to the demographic.”
“A majority of Americans say artificial intelligence is a bad thing for society and about two-thirds oppose the construction of new data centers in the U.S., with opposition even higher to building data centers in people’s own communities,” according to an ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll.
“The poll finds that a 57% majority of Americans say AI is bad for society while 42% say it is good for society.”
FiftyPlusOne caught a pollster named Wedgewood Polls faking data — which they admitted in a statement.
Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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