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Some Democrats Trying to Reclaim the Issue of Faith

August 17, 2026 at 7:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For years, Republicans have had a lock on those who base their vote on their religious preferences and values, but this year’s midterm elections have seen some Democratic candidates sharing their faith to try to connect with voters,” ABC News reports.

“Starting in the 1980s, in what one expert called an ‘exodus,’ there was a shift of voters to the Republican Party based on moral issues.”

“But in some of the most critical races that will help decide control of the next Congress, several Democrats are openly sharing how their faith shapes them and their politics.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Religion

Could Abdul El-Sayed Cost Democrats Michigan?

August 16, 2026 at 5:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “When the midterm election campaign began, Michigan seemed like a state that Democrats could take for granted in their pursuit of the Senate. Yes, it’s a presidential battleground state, but that makes it the kind of state that Democrats would ordinarily win easily in what seems like a strongly Democratic midterm cycle.”

“It’s not a state Democrats can take for granted anymore. There are clear signs that the newly minted Democratic nominee, Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, could underperform a typical Democratic candidate’s vote share by enough to endanger the party’s chances.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign

GOP Finds Its Next Progressive Target in Minnesota

August 14, 2026 at 6:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans have a new name on their growing list of progressive midterm targets: Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, fresh off a landslide Senate primary win,” Axios reports.

“With President Trump’s approval ratings in the 30s, Republicans are trying to turn the midterms from a referendum on him into a choice between the GOP and a Democratic Party they argue has moved sharply to the left.”

“That means portraying some progressive Democrats who’ve won statewide primaries as national foils. The strategy came into focus last week, after Abdul El-Sayed’s victory in Michigan’s Senate primary.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, State House


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Trump Calls Democratic Candidates ‘Jihadists’

August 10, 2026 at 7:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump on Monday described Democratic candidates in the midterm elections as ‘jihadists,’ adding to Islamophobic statements recently made by Republican elected officials,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Trump also delivered another tirade against people of Somali descent, saying: ‘They’re not smart, they have no aptitude, they have nothing going, and they’re telling us how to run our country.'”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Race, White House

Quote of the Day

August 7, 2026 at 10:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I know that it was a bitter end to this very long primary, but I also know that Haley brings the best of herself to her work. She is one of the most committed public servants that you’ll ever meet. She loves democracy like I love democracy, and whatever differences that we might have had in the primary, they pale in comparison to what unifies us.”

— Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Abdul E-Sayed (D), quoted by NewsNation. 

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Democrats

Why Polling Overestimated Abdul El-Sayed’s Advantage

August 5, 2026 at 5:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Conducting surveys in partisan primaries has long presented a challenge to pollsters, as it requires them to make assumptions about who will actually turn out to vote. Without mandatory party registration in Michigan, pollsters must guess who will show up on Election Day.”

“Many surveys assumed political independents would make up 30 to 40 percent of the electorate. These polls showed Dr. El-Sayed winning independents by a wide margin. While there is little authoritative detail available on the actual electorate, that assumption could have contributed to the challenge in polling the race, as voters who decline to identify with a political party tend to vote less frequently.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Polling

Trump Looks to Lock in His Control of the GOP

August 2, 2026 at 10:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump doesn’t much care if Republicans lose the House and/or the Senate in the midterms this fall,” Axios reports.

“Yes, he’d prefer a big win, but he seems indifferent to the election and the possibility of endless Democratic investigations of his family, wealth and policies, his closest advisers tell us.”

”A big reason: Trump knows he’ll emerge just as strong, or even stronger, heading into his final two years, at least among Republicans.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Republicans

Divided Democrats Face a Moment of Truth in Michigan

July 31, 2026 at 5:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democratic socialists look like they’re about to rack up a stunning new victory: Their candidate in Michigan’s Senate Democratic primary has the momentum heading into Tuesday’s primary,” Axios reports.

“A win by Abdul El-Sayed in the swing state would turbocharge the party’s left flank and validate establishment fears about the party’s direction.”

”Establishment Democrats have watched in horror as democratic socialist candidates pull off one win after another in House primaries this year. The Michigan primary brings the ideological clash to its biggest stage yet.”

The Economist: The Democratic primary for Senate in Michigan is a contest for control of the party.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Democrats, State House

Democrats Narrow GOP Cash Advantage

July 22, 2026 at 10:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans are heading into the fall campaign season with a lopsided cash advantage across their flagship committees and super PACs, but Democrats narrowed the gap with stronger fundraising by individual candidates,” the Washington Post reports.

”The latest campaign finance reports showed the GOP’s wealth concentrated in the hands of President Donald Trump and his advisers, as super PACs and party committees they control dominated the party’s fundraising. Democrats, by contrast, spread their contributions across individual congressional candidates, making them better-equipped than their head-to-head opponents.”

Washington Post: Democrats chip away at GOP cash lead centered on Trump.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Campaign Finance

GOP Strategy Is to Make It a ‘Hate Election’

July 19, 2026 at 11:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans admit the GOP’s midterm forecast is bleak. But they’re clinging to two hopes: voters’ fear and loathing of Democrats,” Axios reports.

Said one Republican close to Trump: “It’s going to be a hate election. Voters have to hate the Dems more than they hate us. And we have material to work with.”

“There’s broad GOP frustration that Trump has made challenging midterm elections worse by not focusing heavily on pocketbook issues — especially the tax cuts Republicans won — while launching the Iran war, which raised gas prices and fueled inflation.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Political Strategy

Nate Silver Updates His Forecast

July 13, 2026 at 1:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Silver: “With the Democratic lead on the generic ballot (currently about D+6), you’d expect them to overcome the Republican advantage from redistricting. That could grow, because most polls right now are among registered voters, and Democrats are likely to have an enthusiasm advantage that will show up once there’s a switch to likely-voter polls.”

“In the Senate, to win those four seats, Maine is a problem. There’s not much polling on non-Platner alternatives versus Collins, and any bridge burning by him on the way out could make it hard to unify around the new nominee.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Polling

Nonprofit Admits Secretly Aiding Stacy Abrams’ Campaign

January 15, 2025 at 12:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A nonprofit founded by Stacey Abrams, a Georgia Democrat, admitted on Wednesday that it had violated state law by concealing the fact that it had campaigned for her during her 2018 run for governor,” the New York Times reports.

“At the time of that campaign, the group was led by Raphael Warnock, who was later elected to the Senate as a Democrat from Georgia.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Campaign Finance

Lawmakers Negotiate to Allow Biden on Ohio Ballot

April 24, 2024 at 4:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican legislative leaders in Ohio say they are negotiating with Democrats to assure President Joe Biden appears on the state’s November ballot, but the exact shape of the solution remains murky,” the AP reports.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign

FBI Can’t Confirm Trump’s Claims

March 14, 2023 at 7:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The FBI has said it can find no records related to former President Donald Trump’s assertions in November that he “sent in the FBI and the U.S. Attorneys” to stop “ballot theft” in Florida during the 2018 election, NBC News reports.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign

Quote of the Day

March 15, 2022 at 8:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I have a better, real clear understanding of just how powerful the election of Donald Trump was. In many respects, it lit the fire onto the base of our party, and I think that’s a good thing in many respects, you know. Maybe personally, it didn’t work out for me, but I think he created the energy we needed to oust him as president in four years.”

— Former Rep. Joe Crowley (D-NY), reflecting on his 2018 primary loss to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-NY).

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Democrats

Stacey Abrams Blamed for Trump Not Conceding

December 7, 2020 at 7:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R) seemed to blame Stacey Abrams (D) for President Trump’s attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election.

Raffensperger drew parallels between Abrams’ refusal to concede her loss in the 2018 gubernatorial race to Brian Kemp: “After four years of relentless attacks on the integrity of elections by the most significant mainstream media outlets and pundits, it should come as no surprise that Americans have trouble believing the results of even the most secure elections.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, 2020 Campaign

Georgia’s Legacy of Voter Suppression Drives Turnout

October 26, 2020 at 8:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Almost every Black Georgia voter queuing up at the polls has a story about 2018,” Politico reports.

“Most waited for hours in lines that wrapped around their voting locations. Some were removed from the voter rolls arbitrarily, forcing them to fill out confusing provisional ballots on Election Day. Others stayed home altogether and — after watching Democrat Stacey Abrams lose the gubernatorial race by fewer than 60,000 votes — regretted that decision.”

“Now, voter enthusiasm among all races is at an all-time high in one of the most consequential battleground states in the country. So is voter anxiety.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, 2020 Campaign

Trump Using Same Playbook That Didn’t Work In 2018

September 8, 2020 at 2:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “President Trump is using a fear-based playbook that is as familiar to him as it is questionable in actually helping Republicans get elected in recent years. Some of the players have changed — instead of MS-13 gang members and migrant caravans, now there are rioters and looters — but the target audience and themes are the same: Suburban communities that he claims Democrats won’t keep safe. The president is even reusing phrases and imagery from 2018, with slogans like ‘jobs not mobs’ and ads showing Democratic politicians and liberal figures kneeling during the national anthem.”

“Democrats can point to the 41 House seats they picked up in 2018 to show that the Republican strategy did not work then, and that voters were more concerned about health care than havoc. Even Republicans say there is no solid evidence in their polling that proves the president’s tactics are helping him today.”

Washington Post: Trump employs images of violence as political fuel for reelection fight.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, 2020 Campaign

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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