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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Senate Democrats Take Out $15M Loan

October 22, 2026 · 7:17 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Senate Democrats have taken out a $15 million loan as they hope to expand their map in the final days before the midterms,” Politico reports.

2026 Campaign, Democrats

2028 Hopefuls Gather in Denver After Midterms

October 20, 2026 · 10:21 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Nine days after next month’s midterm elections, three prominent Democrats who are widely believed to have presidential ambitions will join other potential 2028 party contenders in Denver to discuss the future of the party,” CBS News reports.

“Sens. Cory Booker of New Jersey and Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, as well as Rep. Ro Khanna of California, are among the latest additions who plan to join the ‘What’s Next’ summit.”

2028 Campaign, Democrats

Democratic Socialists Plan to Push Jeffries to the Left

October 18, 2026 · 6:08 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Hakeem Jeffries is closing in on the Speaker’s gavel, but his path to power runs directly through an expanding group of Democratic Socialists who want major policy concessions in exchange for their support,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Emerging from primary victories in heavily Democratic districts, a slate of freshman candidates backed by the Democratic Socialists of America is organizing behind the scenes to extract commitments from party leadership to advance far-left priorities. With Democrats favored to win a thin House majority in November, an organized faction could hold the balance of power.”

2026 Campaign, Democrats, House of Representatives

Democrats Are Embracing Masculinity in the Midterms

October 18, 2026 · 6:07 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Welcome to the 2026 midterms, a months-long contest to prove who is the manliest man. Oh, and to win control of the House and Senate,” the Washington Post reports.

”You’ve seen the highlight reel: Abdul El-Sayed repeatedly calling his opponent a ‘beta.’ James Talarico firing back against GOP attacks that he is ‘too low-T for Texas.’ A sweaty Beau Bayh, running for Indiana secretary of state, pumping weights in a campaign ad — one of many candidates flaunting their physical strength to break through with voters.”

”Democrats are desperate to prove they’ve learned their lesson after men propelled Republicans to victory in 2024. They agree they need to talk to men again. But the chaotic midterm elections show they have very different ideas about how to do it.”

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Alaska Is Becoming a Swing State

October 16, 2026 · 5:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Sun: “After being a firmly Republican state for most of its existence, Alaska has slowly but steadily moved left in recent elections, becoming more supportive of Democratic candidates at every level of elected office. By 2024, the state was more politically similar to right-of-center battlegrounds like Ohio and Iowa, where Democrats are often at least competitive statewide, than to the conservative strongholds like Wyoming and Idaho it used to resemble.”

“And unlike Ohio and Iowa, Alaska is continuing to move left: A Washington Sun analysis of presidential results found that from the 2000 election to 2024 election, Alaska shifted 20 points to the left relative to the national popular vote. That’s the fourth most of any state, trailing only Vermont, Colorado and Utah, according to the analysis.”

2026 Campaign, 2028 Campaign, Democrats

Most Democratic Voters Resist a Leftward Shift

October 15, 2026 · 10:48 am ET · Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Democrats themselves say they are a party of liberals. Some 56% of Democrats in last month’s Wall Street Journal poll called themselves liberal, a substantial increase from 40% in 2010.”

“But ask whether the party should become more liberal, and it isn’t clear that it wants to follow the Democratic socialists’ leftward drift.”

“Only 37% of Democrats say their party should become more liberal, while a majority, some 52%, say the party should either become more moderate or stay the same.”

Democrats, Polling

Kamala Harris to Campaign for Democrats in Three States

October 14, 2026 · 2:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Former Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday said she would be campaigning later this month in Mississippi, New Hampshire and Wisconsin, as part of her tour to support Democratic candidates in the midterms,” the New York Times reports.

Roll Call: National leaders crisscross the country at campaign crunch time.

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Democrats Can’t Just Be Voters’ ‘Rebound Boyfriend’

October 14, 2026 · 6:33 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. Brian Schatz cautioned that if Democrats win big in next month’s elections, it would be because of President Donald Trump — and Democrats will need to work hard to come up with an agenda to keep voters on their side,” the Washington Sun reports.

Said Schatz: “What’s happening out there in the world is not that we unlocked the proper slogan or messaging technique to make sure that people give us a chance, but rather that Donald Trump himself is our best messenger. Trump has sort of driven people into our arms, and if people give us a chance, we should understand that we’re sort of the rebound boyfriend.”

Democrats, Political Strategy

Hillary Clinton Launches ‘High Stakes’ Podcast

October 13, 2026 · 12:20 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Hillary Clinton is launching a new podcast with tech journalist and podcast host Kara Swisher ahead of the midterms, part of an effort to promote Democratic candidates and push her priorities as the election nears its final stretch,” the Washington Sun reports.

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Medicare for All Is the Big Policy Fight Splitting Democrats

October 13, 2026 · 7:06 am ET · Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Medicare for All has become a defining policy fight within the Democratic Party—and a measuring stick of how far to the left the party wants to move. As a presidential candidate in 2020, Joe Biden said he would veto any Medicare for All bill as too costly and disruptive, while then-candidate Kamala Harris, an early supporter, soon softened her position.”

“This year, Democratic socialists and others on the party’s left flank are calling for Medicare for All. But in many of the competitive states and districts now represented by Republicans, the Democrats trying to flip those seats are taking a more centrist position, akin to Biden’s.”

2026 Campaign, Democrats, Health Care

Montana Democratic Party Chair Steps Down

October 12, 2026 · 8:04 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The chair of the Montana Democratic Party resigned the position Monday and became the latest Democrat to endorse an independent candidate over the party’s Senate nominee, Alani Bankhead,” the Washington Post reports.

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Quote of the Day

October 11, 2026 · 6:25 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats should not misinterpret the results of midterm and say, ‘Well, great, we won some seats. That means everyone loves the Democrats again.’ The Democrats owe a positive, affirmative agenda to the public, and a midterm tends to be kind of a protest vote against the leader in power.”

— Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), quoted by the Washington Post.

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

October 9, 2026 · 9:53 am ET · Leave a Comment

“I think Democrats make a huge mistake when we cede all this ground, when we cede all the terrain around faith and values to Republicans. Why would we do that? Especially given the fact that on matters of morality, in my view, they’ve got so much of it wrong.”

— Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA), quoted by the Washington Sun.

Democrats

Democrats Unite Around Hegseth Impeachment Push

October 9, 2026 · 8:25 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Congressional Democrats aren’t eager to impeach Donald Trump. Pete Hegseth is a different story,” Semafor reports.

“House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and his leadership circle remain reluctant to lean too far into talking about impeaching the president if they regain power next month, a move that would revive the bruising battles of Trump’s first term. But as the Iran war squeezes Republicans ahead of the midterms, Democrats are aligning to call for the defense secretary’s ouster or resignation.”

The Guardian: Democratic senator says Hegseth trying to hide costs of Iran war from U.S. public.

2026 Campaign, Democrats, National Security

Pentagon Contractors Face Scrutiny from Democrats

October 8, 2026 · 1:28 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats are zeroing in on the Pentagon and defense contractors as they prepare to scrutinize potential conflicts of interest in the Trump administration should they win control of Congress,” Bloomberg reports.

“Companies that have contracts with the Pentagon under Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth are particularly vulnerable… That’s partly because Congress expects the administration will continue to ignore or slow-walk their requests for information — as it has even when Republicans were in control.”

Democrats, National Security, Trump Legacy

Democrats Hope Their Cash Can Keep Up

October 8, 2026 · 7:50 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats’ eyes may be bigger than their wallets,” Politico reports.

“Democrats across a slate of deep-red states are clamoring for more cash to fight for Senate seats that suddenly seem within reach, with polling showing them competitive across a swath of normally impregnable territory from Kansas to Florida and South Carolina to Mississippi prompting a sudden bump in late-stage spending from outside groups. The party’s main campaign groups have already begun spending in Texas, another state they once downplayed that’s come seriously into play.”

“But those same groups say they don’t have enough cash to protect the core battleground and also make significant investments beyond it — setting up Democrats for a series of difficult choices in the closing weeks of the midterms.”

While Democratic candidates have done a good job raising money, this would be why a healthier DNC is still important.
Taegan

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

October 6, 2026 · 9:11 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The establishment Democratic Party is a failed enterprise… It is so hard to lose two general elections to Donald Trump. In political terms, to imagine a worse failure than losing two national elections to Donald Trump.”

— Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO), quoted by The Lever.

Democrats

Democratic 2028 Contenders Set to Discuss Party’s Future

October 6, 2026 · 6:54 am ET · Leave a Comment

“A group of potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates is heading to Denver days after the midterms to discuss the party’s future, in one of the party’s first major gatherings following the election,” CNN reports.

“Attendees will include former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and former U.S. Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel, as well as Sens. Ruben Gallego of Arizona, Chris Murphy of Connecticut, Raphael Warnock of Georgia and Elissa Slotkin of Michigan… The group of speakers also includes Govs. Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey and Abigail Spanberger of Virginia, plus several additional members of Congress.”

2028 Campaign, Democrats

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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