Political Wire

SubscribeSign in
  • Front Page
  • Trending
  • Polling
  • Trial Balloon
  • Books
  • Membership
    • Members FAQ
    • Exclusive Analysis
    • My Favorites
  • Sign In
Theme
Text size

Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 195

Shake Up

A new episode of Trial Balloon just dropped for Political Wire members. Log in or become a member

Trial Balloon · Ep. 195: Shake Up

MAGA Is Forced to Confront a Future Beyond Trump

November 13, 2026 · 10:23 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “MAGA is certainly muddled, as its rank-and-file voters look to leaders outside of the Trump administration, have crossed over to Democrats or disengaged from politics altogether. There is no consensus about who should run in 2028 and plenty of skepticism for Vice President JD Vance, who once seemed the heir apparent. Like Trump or not, everyone agrees his vacuum will be hard to fill.”

“Right-wing influencers increasingly critical of Trump were declaring themselves vindicated by his rebuke in the midterms.”

2028 Campaign, Republicans

Trump Isn’t Bound by Trumpism

November 13, 2026 · 9:52 am ET · Leave a Comment

Adam Kirsch: “Like pornography, we feel that we know Trumpism when we see it, yet after a decade, it’s still remarkably hard to define. That blurriness has been an opportunity for political entrepreneurs who have tried, one after another, to shape Trumpism in the image of their own ideological beliefs…”

“Trump delivered something for each of these groups: tariffs for the economic populists, Ivy League lawsuits for the anti-wokers, a weakened NATO for the America Firsters. But every version of Trumpism has eventually foundered on the rock of its namesake. Just as Karl Marx insisted that he was not a Marxist, so Trump has never been a Trumpist—the former because no one understood his theories of politics as well as he did himself; the latter because he has never had a theory of politics.”

“Trump has a few consistent political instincts—above all, protectionism and hostility toward immigration and immigrants—but he has never felt bound by the principles of Trumpism, however defined. Saying ‘America First’ doesn’t mean he won’t start a war in Iran; saying he is pro-worker doesn’t mean he won’t pump crypto and tech stocks.”

Republicans, White House

How Republicans Are Choosing to Lose Again

November 12, 2026 · 6:52 am ET · Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “It was an ass-kicking for the ages. So if there was ever a time for Republicans to engage in some introspection and change their approach, it would be now.”

“But that’s not what’s happening at all.”

“Based on almost everything they have said and done since the election, Trump and the GOP seem wholly committed to learning nothing and instead doubling down on the exact strategy that led to their losses.”

2026 Campaign, Republicans

Limited-time offer

Try Political Wire Free for 60 days

Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the Polling Dashboard, the Trial Balloon podcast, new site features and no ads.

Start your free trial.


Republicans Struggle to Find One Last Win in Congress

November 11, 2026 · 7:21 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Fresh off of the midterm elections that have Republicans licking their wounds from a massive blowout flipping control of both chambers, lawmakers are attempting to use the lame-duck session to revive hopes of getting a third budget reconciliation bill approved,” the Washington Sun reports.

“However, they are finding the road and the timetable treacherous. Senate Majority Leader John Thune indicated that he still is not sure whether the party has the votes to advance a single-party measure of any kind, despite hopes that they could be unlocked postelection.”

Budget & Taxes, Republicans

‘Draft Marco’ Effort Grows On Capitol Hill

November 11, 2026 · 2:25 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A growing number of Republicans on Capitol Hill want to draft Marco Rubio for a 2028 presidential bid as they grapple with their midterms wipeout — and look beyond Vice President JD Vance,” Politico reports.

“The generational losses are sparking new discussions among Hill Republicans about who should lead the party. Many argue the race to carry the mantle is now wide open — including a faction who view Rubio as a better fit, given that voters may continue to tie Vance to the president’s unpopularity.”

2028 Campaign, Republicans

The Trolls’ Comeuppance

November 10, 2026 · 2:09 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Adam Serwer: “It is now politicians on the right who find their perceptions skewed by what draws approval on social media and their efforts to tailor their personas to appeal to that audience. If you’re looking for an explanation for why conservatives were shocked that Democrats routed Republicans in the midterms, flipping seats and states that haven’t gone blue in generations, this is a good place to start.”

“When Musk first took over Twitter, I worried that Americans would become trapped in an ‘algorithmic cage’—that right-wing ownership would allow Trump allies to control what Americans saw and heard, and as a result, shape their understanding of reality. I did not anticipate that conservatives would trap themselves in that cage.”

2026 Campaign, Republicans

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

November 10, 2026 · 12:06 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Let the Democrats rule, see how that goes. There will come a time when the far left will terrorize people, and they’re going to push all of them into the arms of the right. Who’s going to fight the far left? Only the far-right. This is why we have to take over the right wing now.”

— White nationalist Nick Fuentes, quoted by Wired.

Political Strategy, Republicans

White Supremacist Linked to College Republican Group

November 10, 2026 · 11:41 am ET · Leave a Comment

“A college Republican coalition claiming 31 affiliated student groups in 14 states that attacked the Trump administration from the right routed its email through the same Microsoft 365 account as a company controlled by white nationalist Nick Fuentes,” The Guardian reports.

Race, Republicans

Cruz Launching GOP HQ for Taking Back Texas

November 10, 2026 · 8:35 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. Ted Cruz is wasting no time on a campaign to win Texas back for Republicans, announcing a new Austin headquarters for his group Saving Texas,” Axios reports.

Republicans, State House

2028 Republicans Split Over Midterm Election Losses

November 10, 2026 · 6:46 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans are still reckoning with a historic midterm wipeout, but the fight to assign blame and inherit President Donald Trump’s political movement is already underway,” CNBC reports.

“Vice President JD Vance faults the war in Iran. Secretary of State Marco Rubio defends it. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis says Republicans fought the wrong battles. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) argues the party lost touch with voters’ economic struggles.”

“The competing visions from potential presidential contenders offer an early glimpse of the Republican infighting ahead of 2028. But all face the same dilemma: How to convince voters the party can change course without alienating Trump or the MAGA base they need to win the nomination.”

“The biggest obstacle may be Trump himself, who has shown little appetite for a political retreat.”

Fox News: Rubio’s defense of Trump’s Iran war draws sharp contrast with Vance’s midterm blame.

2028 Campaign, Republicans

GOP Bucks Trump On Nvidia Scandal

November 10, 2026 · 5:43 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Senior Republican lawmakers are considering investigating Nvidia over CEO Jensen Huang’s affair with an alleged Chinese spy, putting President Donald Trump’s strong defense of the tech titan at odds with mounting scrutiny from members of his own party,” Politico reports.

CNBC: Nvidia’s Trump ties draw scrutiny after reports Huang was targeted by Chinese intelligence.

National Security, Republicans

Republican Infighting Escalates After Election Drubbing

November 9, 2026 · 9:35 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Fresh off what one senator called a ‘good old-fashioned shellacking,’ Republicans are now turning to a more painful phase of their post-election soul-searching: the airing of grievances,” Semafor reports.

“Several senators are unhappy about a rush to reelect the GOP’s Senate leadership team after voters repudiated the party’s reign in Washington. A small but vocal minority is pushing to delay leadership elections beyond Tuesday, giving more time for a potential challenger to emerge against Majority Leader John Thune and his team.”

Republicans, Senate

Republicans Brace for an Especially Lame Lame Duck

November 9, 2026 · 7:58 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans are returning to work this week, facing the prospect of an especially lame lame-duck session after a bruising midterm election that set off a countdown clock on their control of Congress,” Axios reports.

“Democrats have little incentive to help Republicans advance their agenda before January, while departing GOP lawmakers could complicate matters further by skipping votes or defying party leaders.”

“As a result, most of the items on their to-do list could get kicked to the new Congress.”

Governing, Republicans

A New MAGA Group Looks to Push GOP Further Right

November 9, 2026 · 1:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A new Republican group thinks their party is too old, too moderate and too weak. So they’re launching an effort to replace the outgoing generation of politicians with a younger crop of America First-aligned lawmakers,” Politico reports.

“American Ascent launches Monday with an eye toward building a bench of young conservatives that could flip some of the dozens of congressional seats that will be held by aging lawmakers in 2028.”

2028 Campaign, Republicans

Turning Point USA Bet On the Midterms and Lost

November 8, 2026 · 7:11 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “In the days since Republicans’ blowout loss, Turning Point leaders have been left to sift through the rubble of the ‘red wall’ they had pledged to build in Arizona, Nevada and New Hampshire, states they view as critical battlegrounds. Despite the group’s significant investment, the only high-profile candidate in those three states who won with its backing was Kelly Ayotte, the incumbent governor of New Hampshire.”

“Turning Point and its allies have defended the group’s strategy, blaming Republican losses on a brutal national political environment stemming from President Trump’s deeply unpopular war with Iran. And they note that many other Republican candidates who ran without Turning Point’s backing lost by similar margins.”

2026 Campaign, Republicans

Trump Does Not Appear to Be Listening

November 8, 2026 · 6:10 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The rush to point fingers comes as the Republican Party is plunging into perhaps its most uncertain moment in years. For a decade, Mr. Trump has controlled the GOP with an iron grip, remaking Republicanism in his MAGA image with little tolerance for dissenting views. Now, as they worry about what could amount to generational losses for their party, some Republicans are embarking on the earliest of efforts to transform the midterm wipeout into a new path forward.”

“These fledgling conversations about the future are taking shape against the backdrop of a quietly bubbling 2028 presidential campaign. Mr. Vance, Mr. Cruz and Mr. DeSantis injected themselves into the debate with their early and extensive assessments in no small part because they are considered potential presidential contenders.”

“They may not be totally in charge of charting their own destinies — or their party’s. Mr. Trump, not even halfway through his four-year term, remains in the White House. He has shown little inclination to change course.”

2028 Campaign, Republicans

Trump’s Grip On the Republican Party in Question

November 7, 2026 · 5:58 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “As has been the case for the past decade, the central question is the role Trump will play in shaping the party’s future. His insistence on loyalty reached a zenith this year as he intervened in GOP primaries and pressed voters to make the elections a referendum on his second term. He held dozens of rallies in the final weeks of the campaign for candidates, most of whom lost their races.”

“Since Tuesday’s election, he’s refused to acknowledge any responsibility, placing blame on the candidates.”

2026 Campaign, Republicans

Republicans Find Moving On From Trump Is Hard

November 6, 2026 · 5:56 am ET · Leave a Comment

“As Republicans reckon with a historic rout in Tuesday’s midterm elections, calls to extirpate Trump from the right’s politics are resounding more forcefully than at any point since the first of his three presidential bids,” the Washington Post reports.

”But in a party that has, over the intervening decade, remade itself to a once-unimaginable extent in the president’s image, GOP leaders and activists are finding that creating a ‘post-Trump’ party is easier said than done.”

2026 Campaign, Republicans

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • …
  • 190
  • Next Page »
Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

Your Account

Members

For the full experience, sign in.

Become a Member

Read everything on Political Wire. No ads, Talking Points analysis, Trial Balloon podcast, new features and more.

  • Join Political Wire
  • Gift a Membership

Members Only

  • Weekly News Quiz
  • Schumer Has a Huge Advantage in Leadership Fight
  • The Three Forces Behind the Democratic Landslide
  • Bigger, Bluer Than Expected
  • Trump’s Successor Trap
  • Winning Elections Is Easier Than Governing

More members only posts →

Electoral Map Electoral Vote Map

222Democrat 97Toss-up 219Republican
270

Make your own map →

The starting map is built from how each state has voted compared with the country as a whole, not from how a state voted on its own. The last two presidential elections, with 2024 counting more than 2020. Then we…

Updated Nov. 4, 2026

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was →
  • Yea or Nay? →
  • Split Decision →
  • Pollster →
  • Daily Trivia →

Copyright © 2026 · Goddard Media LLC

Political Wire® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC

Also from Goddard Media: Political Dictionary · Political Job Hunt · Electoral Vote Map

Privacy PolicyCorrections PolicyContact