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Supreme Court Again Sides with Republicans on TV Ads

October 14, 2026 · 5:40 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Supreme Court on Wednesday sided with the Trump administration in a monthslong fight over who is entitled to low rates for political ads,” the New York Times reports.

“The emergency order, which was unsigned and did not give a vote count, marked the latest time that the justices have weighed in on an obscure but critical part of the rules surrounding political advertising and whether political parties should be able to take advantage of the same low rates as candidates.”

“The court’s decision was a win for Republicans ahead of the midterm elections. Democrats have typically been thought to benefit from the old rules, which limited access to lower rates for ads to political candidates. That’s because Democratic candidates have tended to raise more money than their party’s committees. The opposite is true for Republicans.”

2026 Campaign, Judiciary, Political Advertising

Newsom Heads to New Hampshire to Stump for Democrats

October 14, 2026 · 5:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“California Gov. Gavin Newsom is headed to New Hampshire this weekend to campaign for Democratic candidates in the November election, a continuation of his reconnaissance tour through swing states in preparation for a possible 2028 presidential run,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

“The trip follows voyages to other early primary voting states, including South Carolina in September and Nevada in July, that could be critical to his campaign if he officially joins the race.”

2026 Campaign, 2028 Campaign

Judge Halts Taxpayer-Funded Ads Through Midterms

October 14, 2026 · 5:12 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump has to keep his administration’s taxpayer-funded political ads off the air through the midterms, a federal judge ruled Wednesday,” the Washington Sun reports.

2026 Campaign

Michael Whatley’s Campaign Is Currently Dark On TV

October 14, 2026 · 4:40 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Michael Whatley’s campaign has temporarily gone dark in North Carolina,” Politico reports.

“The Republican Senate nominee does not currently have future linear TV ad reservations booked in the race, a highly unusual move less than three weeks before Election Day in a state that was once considered a top GOP priority.”

2026 Campaign, Political Advertising

Inflation Anvil Continues to Hang Around GOP’s Necks

October 14, 2026 · 4:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “Inflation continues to crush Republicans, with Election Day less than three weeks away.”

“The Consumer Price Index, a solid gauge of changes in prices for Americans, jumped 3.7% on an annual basis. The spike was driven by a sharp increase in energy prices — the price of gas is up an eye-watering 9.1%. The national average for a gallon of gas is $4.33, while diesel sits at $6.29.”

“The war in Iran has been a major liability for Republicans this election cycle, and Wednesday’s inflation report — showing the largest monthly increase in five months — is salt in the wound ahead of the midterms.”

“The price of gasoline alone accounted for more than half of the monthly spike in inflation.”

CNN: GOP senator said gas prices would decide the midterms. Now they’re threatening his reelection.

2026 Campaign, Economy

Rick Jackson Has Edge in Georgia Governor’s Race

October 14, 2026 · 3:38 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new InsiderAdvantage poll in Georgia finds Rick Jackson (R) leading Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) in the governor’s race, 49% to 47%.

Georgia Governor’s Race
Rick Jackson (R) 49%
 
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 47%
 
InsiderAdvantage poll · likely voters · ±3.46%

2026 Campaign

Ohio Early In-Person Voting Nearly Quadruples

October 14, 2026 · 3:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Ohio’s early in-person voting has drawn nearly four times as many voters as it did at the same point in the 2022 midterm elections, according to data from the Ohio secretary of state’s office,” MS NOW reports.

2026 Campaign, Election Administration

Josh Shapiro Will ‘Be in Court’ if Trump Challenges Ballots

October 14, 2026 · 2:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Gov. Josh Shapiro said his administration is prepared to defend lawfully cast ballots in court if President Donald Trump or other federal officials attempt to throw out votes, particularly in cases that affect the outcomes of close congressional races,” the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

“‘They’re going to try to stop certain votes from being counted,’ Shapiro said Monday in an interview, referring to Trump and his allies. ‘So we’ll be in court immediately to ensure all legal, eligible votes are counted.'”

2026 Campaign, Election Administration, State House

Josh Turek Just Ahead in Iowa Senate Race

October 14, 2026 · 2:31 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new YouGov poll in Iowa finds Josh Turek (D) leading Ashley Hinson (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 46%.

Iowa Senate Race
Josh Turek (D) 47%
 
Ashley Hinson (R) 46%
 
YouGov poll · likely voters · ±3.1%

The same poll in Iowa finds Rob Sand (D) leading Zach Lahn (R) in the governor’s race, 50% to 44%.

Iowa Governor’s Race
Rob Sand (D) 50%
 
Zach Lahn (R) 44%
 
YouGov poll · likely voters · ±3.1%
A leaked Marist poll, due out tomorrow, shows Turek up by three points and Sand up by seven points.
Taegan

2026 Campaign

Five Senate Races Are Now Toss Ups

October 14, 2026 · 2:14 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Rating changes this week leave us with five Senate Toss-ups, all in Republican-held seats.”

“Republicans now need four of these five Toss-ups (Kansas, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas), although all of these save the Pine Tree State are naturally red states where it shouldn’t surprise anyone if Republicans hold on.”

Bloomberg: The key states for deciding Senate control.

2026 Campaign, Senate

Ned Lamont Holds Commanding Lead in Connecticut

October 14, 2026 · 2:07 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac University poll in Connecticut finds Ned Lamont (D) leading Ryan Fazio (R) in the governor’s race, 58% to 38%.

Connecticut Governor’s Race
Ned Lamont (D) 58%
 
Ryan Fazio (R) 38%
 
Quinnipiac University poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Kamala Harris to Campaign for Democrats in Three States

October 14, 2026 · 2:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Former Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday said she would be campaigning later this month in Mississippi, New Hampshire and Wisconsin, as part of her tour to support Democratic candidates in the midterms,” the New York Times reports.

Roll Call: National leaders crisscross the country at campaign crunch time.

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

October 14, 2026 · 1:08 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Senator Collins paid for the bullets at Donald Trump’s command. Now she wants credit for not pulling the trigger.”

— Maine U.S. Senate candidate Troy Jackson (D), at a debate with Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME).

2026 Campaign

Ramaswamy Ad Accidentally Featured a Sex Offender

October 14, 2026 · 1:03 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Property taxes are a hot-button issue in Ohio, where Republican Vivek Ramaswamy is trying to run as a change candidate for governor in a state long run by Republicans. And in his latest campaign ad, he tried to press the button hard. The spot featured a woman from Amherst (a Cleveland suburb) named Patricia ‘Patty’ Edwards, who is fretting about losing the family farm,” The Bulwark reports.

“But while the topic may resonate with voters, the featured couple has created complications for Ramaswamy’s camp.”

“That’s because Vernon Edwards—Patty’s husband, who appears a few times in b-roll alongside her in the ad—is a registered sex offender.”

2026 Campaign

Republican Super PAC Gives Up On the House

October 14, 2026 · 12:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The head of a top Republican super political action committee said a batch of key states are the party’s ‘red wall’ heading into next month’s election and that the GOP is focused on bolstering Senate candidates in races including Iowa, Alaska, Maine and Ohio where Democrats are making surprising inroads,” Bloomberg reports.

2026 Campaign

Spending by Outside Groups Crosses $1 Billion

October 14, 2026 · 11:32 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Outside groups have spent more than $1.2 billion on advertising across competitive congressional races… Their spending accounts for more than half of all advertising in more than 70% of competitive congressional races.”

2026 Campaign, Campaign Finance

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

October 14, 2026 · 11:28 am ET · Leave a Comment

“It’s real. People are freaking out. You see it in their faces. There’s serious concern like I’ve never seen before.”

— Former Texas House Speaker Dade Phelan (R), quoted by Texas Monthly, on whether Texas will finally turn blue in this year’s elections.

2026 Campaign

Trump ‘Looking Into’ the Other Dan Sullivan

October 14, 2026 · 11:02 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump says federal authorities are ‘looking into’ Dan Sullivan, an independent challenger who goes by the same name as the Republican incumbent, Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) in the Alaska Senate race,” Fox News reports.

“He suggested the second Sullivan’s presence in the race was a ‘hoax’ by Democrats to siphon voters away from the Republican candidate.”

Said Trump: “We are looking, I can’t say federal, but we are looking into it. It’s a disgrace. We have, I call him the real Dan Sullivan, a great senator from Alaska. And in the race, they put somebody named Dan Sullivan who knows nothing about politics. His name happens to be Dan Sullivan. They even wanted to change his middle initial, which was different. They wanted to make it an S so that it could be exactly correct. I think it’s just terrible that they did it.”

The Guardian: Trump urges Alaskans to vote for the “real” Dan Sullivan in tight midterms battle.

2026 Campaign

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

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