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Troy Jackson Pulls Away in the Maine Senate Race

November 1, 2026 · 9:54 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll in Maine finds Troy Jackson (D) leading Susan Collins (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 54% to 45%.

Maine Senate Race
Troy Jackson (D) 54%
 
Susan Collins (R) 45%
 
University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Chris Pappas Holds Wide Lead in New Hampshire

November 1, 2026 · 9:52 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new 7 News/University of New Hampshire poll in New Hampshire finds Chris Pappas (D) leading John E. Sununu (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 54% to 42%, with Edmond Laplante (CONS) at 2%.

New Hampshire Senate Race
Chris Pappas (D) 54%
 
John E. Sununu (R) 42%
 
7 News/University of New Hampshire poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Some House Democrats Want to Push Haley Stevens Out

November 1, 2026 · 9:45 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Several House Democrats say they support removing Haley Stevens from the Democratic caucus after she endorsed Republican Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race,” Politico reports.

“Eight House Democrats privately told Politico they want Stevens removed or for her to be somehow punished by leadership. Stevens was also removed from a series of House Democratic member text chats Sunday.”

2026 Campaign, House of Representatives

Democrats Lead in Every Key Senate Race

November 1, 2026 · 8:23 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new The New York Times/Siena University poll in Michigan finds Abdul El-Sayed (D) leading Mike Rogers (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 53% to 42%.

Michigan Senate Race
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 53%
 
Mike Rogers (R) 42%
 
The New York Times/Siena University poll · likely voters

The same poll in Texas finds James Talarico (D) leading Ken Paxton (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 43%.

Texas Senate Race
James Talarico (D) 50%
 
Ken Paxton (R) 43%
 
The New York Times/Siena University poll · likely voters

The same poll in Maine finds Troy Jackson (D) leading Susan Collins (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 45%.

Maine Senate Race
Troy Jackson (D) 51%
 
Susan Collins (R) 45%
 
The New York Times/Siena University poll · likely voters

The same poll in Ohio finds Sherrod Brown (D) leading Jon Husted (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 44%.

Ohio Senate Race
Sherrod Brown (D) 49%
 
Jon Husted (R) 44%
 
The New York Times/Siena University poll · likely voters

The same poll in Kansas finds Adam Hamilton (D) leading Roger Marshall (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 44%.

Kansas Senate Race
Adam Hamilton (D) 49%
 
Roger Marshall (R) 44%
 
The New York Times/Siena University poll · likely voters

The same poll in Alaska finds Mary Peltola (D) leading Dan Sullivan (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 46%.

Alaska Senate Race
Mary Peltola (D) 48%
 
Dan Sullivan (R) 46%
 
The New York Times/Siena University poll · likely voters

The same poll in Iowa finds Josh Turek (D) leading Ashely Hinson (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 47%.

Iowa Senate Race
Josh Turek (D) 48%
 
Ashely Hinson (R) 47%
 
The New York Times/Siena University poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge

November 1, 2026 · 8:18 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats gained ground right to the end in the final New York Times/Siena University polls of the 2026 midterm campaign. The party is ahead in all seven states likeliest to decide control of the Senate: Michigan, Kansas, Texas, Maine, Ohio and, more narrowly, Alaska and Iowa,” the New York Times reports.

“A substantial Democratic lead in Texas? Kansas? Anything like these results would have been unfathomable just a few months ago.”

“In today’s polarized era, there’s no precedent for a party to fare this well in so many states that are generally safe wins for the other side. The only plausible comparisons are the Democratic victories in 2006 and 2008, but the recent polls outpace even those.”

2026 Campaign, Polling

Abdul El-Sayed Raised $1.2 Million in Four Hours

November 1, 2026 · 7:10 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Senate Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign says it has raised $1.2 million in the four hours and counting after former primary rival Rep. Haley Stevens backed Republican Mike Rogers in the final messy days of the Michigan Senate race,” Politico reports.

“That marks his second-best fundraising day since winning the nomination in August.”

“It’s a sign of Democratic donors’ frustration following Stevens’ shock decision to withdraw her endorsement of El-Sayed and back Rogers, which drew strong condemnation from across the Democratic Party.”

2026 Campaign

Haley Stevens Is No Longer a Michigan Democrat

November 1, 2026 · 5:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Michigan Democratic Party kicked Rep. Haley Stevens out of its ranks Sunday, after she endorsed Michigan’s GOP Senate nominee, Mike Rogers — over Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, who defeated her in the primary,” the Washington Post reports.

Said Michigan Democratic Party chair Curtis Hertel: “Congresswoman Stevens is not a current member of the Michigan Democratic Party, nor will she be in the future.”

2026 Campaign, Democrats

Haley Stevens Pulls Plug On Presser

November 1, 2026 · 4:37 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Haley Stevens, former Democratic hopeful for Senate in Michigan, pulled the plug on a Detroit press conference alongside Mike Rogers on Sunday after a heckler accused her of being a ‘traitor’ for endorsing the Republican over Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed,” The Wrap reports.

“The media fiasco came just after Stevens’ Chief of Staff Justin German and much of the rest of Stevens’ team resigned and endorsed El-Sayed for Senate, saying in a statement that they feel ‘shocked and heartbroken by Congresswoman Stevens’ decision to support Mike Rogers.'”

Said the unidentified man: “Haley Stevens is a traitor!”

The Bulwark: Haley Stevens just torched her political career.

2026 Campaign

David Jolly Tests if a ‘Ted Lasso’ Strategy Can Flip Florida

November 1, 2026 · 4:35 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrat David Jolly is trying something that sounds almost quaint in this current era of toxic American politics: presenting himself as the nice guy,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Said Jolly: “In the world of Donald Trump, be Ted Lasso. Byron Donalds is Donald Trump, and I’m trying to be Ted Lasso.”

2026 Campaign

Abdul El-Sayed Calls Haley Stevens a ‘Distraction’

November 1, 2026 · 4:33 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Abdul El-Sayed called Rep. Haley Stevens’ endorsement of his Republican opponent in the Michigan Senate race a ‘distraction’ on Sunday,” the Washington Sun reports.

“Stevens, a Michigan Democrat who El-Sayed defeated in the Senate primary, endorsed Republican Mike Rogers earlier in the day. Her decision to back Rogers drew criticism from other Democrats who said the focus should be on beating him, in a race that could help determine which party controls the Senate.”

2026 Campaign

RNC Chair Warns Republicans Face Turnout Challenge

November 1, 2026 · 4:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Republican National Committee chair Joe Gruters acknowledged that Republicans are facing issues with voter turnout amid heightened pressure for the GOP to maintain control of Congress,” NewsNation reports.

2026 Campaign, Republicans

Trump Plans Closing Pitch at Reflecting Pool

November 1, 2026 · 4:31 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump will deliver remarks Monday at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool,” the Washington Sun reports.

“The president’s remarks are likely to serve as a closing message for his monthslong campaign rally blitz ahead of the midterms. In more than two dozen in-person rallies across the country, Trump has stumped for Republicans facing competitive statewide races, including for Senate nominees Ken Paxton in Texas and Mike Rogers in Michigan.”

2026 Campaign, White House

Flashback Quote of the Day

November 1, 2026 · 2:16 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“I spoke last night to Haley Stevens, and I spoke to Abdul El-Sayed as well, and my wonderful friend Haley Stevens wants me to represent to you and everybody else I talk to that she is voting straight down the line on the Democratic ticket, and she’s going to be celebrating with Democrats across the country when we win on Tuesday night.”

— Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD), quoted by Politico, on Meet the Press earlier this morning.

2026 Campaign

Judge Tosses Attempt to Delay Alaska Senate Results

November 1, 2026 · 1:43 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A federal judge on Sunday rejected the Justice Department’s bid to order Alaska officials to set aside some ballots and hold up the certification of the results in its Senate election in the event of a Republican loss,” the Washington Post reports.

“In her decision, U.S. District Judge Sharon L. Gleason shot down an extraordinary request from the Justice Department last month to block the resolution of the election if Sen. Dan S. Sullivan (R) narrowly loses.”

Rick Hasen: “This means that the next step that the federal government can take is an appeal to the Ninth Circuit. I fully expect the federal government to try that. So this should be at the Ninth Circuit some time soon…”

“What is helping to save election administration in this country is the sheer incompetence of the U.S. Department of Justice. Sad what it’s become.”

2026 Campaign, Election Administration

Talarico Maintains His Lead in Texas Senate Race

November 1, 2026 · 1:38 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new YouGov poll in Texas finds James Talarico (D) leading Ken Paxton (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 47%.

Texas Senate Race
James Talarico (D) 51%
 
Ken Paxton (R) 47%
 
YouGov poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Adam Hamilton Edges Marshall in Kansas

November 1, 2026 · 1:37 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new YouGov poll in Kansas finds Adam Hamilton (D) leading Roger Marshall (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 49%.

Kansas Senate Race
Adam Hamilton (D) 50%
 
Roger Marshall (R) 49%
 
YouGov poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Dead Heat for Senate in Nebraska

November 1, 2026 · 1:36 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new YouGov poll in Nebraska finds Pete Ricketts (R) and Dan Osborn (I) tied in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 49%.

Nebraska Senate Race
Pete Ricketts (R) 49%
 
Dan Osborn (I) 49%
 
YouGov poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

Democrats Maintain Leads in Michigan

November 1, 2026 · 1:31 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new YouGov poll in Michigan finds Abdul El-Sayed (D) leading Mike Rogers (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 47%.

Michigan Senate Race
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51%
 
Mike Rogers (R) 47%
 
YouGov poll · likely voters

The same poll in Michigan finds Jocelyn Benson (D) leading John James (R) in the governor’s race, 52% to 46%.

Michigan Governor’s Race
Jocelyn Benson (D) 52%
 
John James (R) 46%
 
YouGov poll · likely voters

2026 Campaign

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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