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Obama Warns Races Are ‘On the Razor’s Edge’

October 9, 2026 · 8:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“With less than a month until Election Day, former President Barack Obama is sharply increasing his role in the midterm elections, raising money, cutting ads and hitting the campaign trail as Democrats press into territory he says he never expected to compete in,” ABC News reports.

Said Obama: “I don’t want anybody to think this is a sure thing. It’s not. We could end up, all these races that are showing we’ve got a two- or three-point lead or it’s a tossup, we could end up losing all of them by two points.”

2026 Campaign, Obama legacy

Democrats Eye Ambitious Senate Map

October 9, 2026 · 6:25 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“For weeks, top Democrats in Washington have watched with cautious restraint as Republicans dumped millions into red states like Kansas and South Carolina to defend an increasingly shaky Senate map,” CNN reports.

“But Democrats increasingly believe they have a real chance to win seats deep in Trump territory as Republicans face their worst midterm environment in decades and the Senate map abruptly expands.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

Chris Murphy Plans Midterm Travel Blitz

October 9, 2026 · 6:22 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. Chris Murphy wants Democrats to go big for Angie Nixon in Florida’s Senate race — and he’s pushing to raise some ‘serious money’ to help,” Politico reports.

Said Murphy: “I do believe that we’d make a big mistake if we slept on Florida. I know it feels like a longer shot, but I just think this year is looking exceptional.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

Flanagan Holds Narrow Lead Over Tafoya

October 9, 2026 · 4:28 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new The Daily Agenda Poll/Morning Consult poll in Minnesota finds Peggy Flanagan (D) leading Michele Tafoya (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 41%.

Minnesota Senate Race
Peggy Flanagan (D) 45%
 
Michele Tafoya (R) 41%
 
The Daily Agenda Poll/Morning Consult poll · registered voters · ±3.1%

2026 Campaign

Nithya Raman Leads for Los Angeles Mayor

October 9, 2026 · 4:21 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Manhattan Institute poll in California finds Nithya Raman (D) leading Karen Bass (D) in the Los Angeles Mayor, 38% to 32%.

Los Angeles Mayor
Nithya Raman (D) 38%
 
Karen Bass (D) 32%
 
Manhattan Institute poll · likely voters · ±4.6%

2026 Campaign

Why Is Kash Patel Planning to Visit Russia?

October 9, 2026 · 3:49 pm ET · Leave a Comment

The Atlantic: “Russia is a U.S. adversary, with a track record of interfering in U.S. elections. It’s providing support for Iran in its war with the United States even as the U.S. backs Ukraine in its long-running war against Russia. FBI agents work day and night to combat a long list of threats emanating from Russian soil: espionage, cyber intrusions, influence campaigns, and efforts to infiltrate American institutions and critical infrastructure.”

“So when the news emerged this summer that FBI Director Kash Patel would be visiting Moscow just three weeks before the midterm elections, many of his own employees were puzzled—and concerned.”

2026 Campaign, National Security

Kansas Senate Race Is a Surprising New Midterm Fight

October 9, 2026 · 2:51 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932. The Republican domination of the state’s two Senate seats, lasting nearly a century, is one of the longest partisan winning streaks in Senate history,” the New York Times reports.

“But suddenly, a megachurch pastor who became a Democrat this spring appears to have a shot at breaking it.”

“A race that once barely registered nationally has emerged as one of the most unexpected battlegrounds on a midterm map that has rapidly expanded into longtime Republican strongholds. The arrival of the pastor, Adam Hamilton, as a serious Senate contender in Kansas has come so fast, it appears to have caught the incumbent Republican, Senator Roger Marshall, by surprise.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

October 9, 2026 · 2:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Paxton’s gonna lose. We need to teach those Republicans a lesson. It’s going to be hard to learn, but they need to know that their decisions have consequences.”

— Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), quoted by CNN, in a conversation with a friend.

2026 Campaign

House Democratic Campaign Arm Needs $17 Million

October 9, 2026 · 2:39 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is begging for resources, and setting a hard deadline for donors to give $17 million in order to compete in a handful of districts that Republicans carried easily in 2024,” Politico reports.

2026 Campaign, House of Representatives

Why Kansas Might Do the Unthinkable and Vote Blue

October 9, 2026 · 12:55 pm ET · Leave a Comment

New Republic: “A perfect storm could be brewing in Kansas to elect a Democratic senator for the first time since 1932. Methodist pastor Adam Hamilton’s skills as a candidate, experts say, combined with uniquely bad conditions for the state’s farmers, could be the right ingredients for an upset.”

“The problem is numbers: Registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats in the state almost two to one.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

GOP Attack Ad Misidentifies Its Democratic Target

October 9, 2026 · 12:49 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A Republican group linked to President Donald Trump began airing an attack ad on Friday targeting Jonathan Nez, the former president of the Navajo Nation and Democrat running against Rep. Eli Crane (R-AZ),” the Washington Post reports.

“The one problem with the ad? It misidentified Nez twice, using a photo of Myron Lizer, Nez’s vice president of the Navajo Nation and a prominent Republican surrogate.”

2026 Campaign, Political Advertising

Top Democratic Group Pumps Millions Into Kansas

October 9, 2026 · 12:23 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The top super PAC for Senate Democrats is reserving $5 million in advertisements in Kansas’ newly competitive Senate race, signaling that the party sees a serious chance of winning a red state that once seemed out of reach,” the New York Times reports.

“The group, Senate Majority PAC, will spend the money on television spots and digital ads through Election Day, an investment to help narrow the gap between Republican and Democratic spending in the state.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

The Many Ways AI Could Disrupt the Midterms

October 9, 2026 · 8:42 am ET · Leave a Comment

Toluse Olorunnipa: “Around the same time that the world learned that swarms of autonomous AI agents were escaping their testing environments and carrying out sophisticated hacking attacks this past summer, researchers who focus on election security were running tests of their own. They wanted to see whether the safeguards that top AI companies had enacted to prevent their technology from disrupting the upcoming midterms would work in the real world. The results were ominous.”

“In response to sample prompts designed to create misinformation, several chatbots produced realistic photos of a man stuffing ballots into a mailbox, a man holding a foreign passport while trying to vote, and FBI agents investigating a voter-registration organization. The chatbots also created fraudulent government documents and deepfake videos of government officials purporting to substantiate election-conspiracy theories.”

2026 Campaign, Democracy, Technology

Democrats Unite Around Hegseth Impeachment Push

October 9, 2026 · 8:25 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Congressional Democrats aren’t eager to impeach Donald Trump. Pete Hegseth is a different story,” Semafor reports.

“House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and his leadership circle remain reluctant to lean too far into talking about impeaching the president if they regain power next month, a move that would revive the bruising battles of Trump’s first term. But as the Iran war squeezes Republicans ahead of the midterms, Democrats are aligning to call for the defense secretary’s ouster or resignation.”

The Guardian: Democratic senator says Hegseth trying to hide costs of Iran war from U.S. public.

2026 Campaign, Democrats, National Security

Even Trump Voters See Him as Drag On GOP Ticket

October 9, 2026 · 8:10 am ET · Leave a Comment

“One in four Trump voters say GOP candidates should break with the president to win in November,” according to the latest Politico Poll.

“The findings underscore the degree to which even loyal Republicans understand President Donald Trump is a drag on the ticket. Persistent inflation, $4 gas prices, 7% mortgage rates, a quagmire in the Middle East and a trade war with Canada have given Republican candidates no shortage of opportunities to take the president to task.”

2026 Campaign, Polling

Bondage Photos Weren’t Part of the Campaign Plan

October 9, 2026 · 8:05 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Chris Gallant, a Black Hawk pilot and Democrat who is running to represent Long Island in Congress, is making the most of life post-tabloid reveal.”

2026 Campaign

Jon Ossoff Says Mike Collins ‘Hired Half the Third Reich’

October 9, 2026 · 7:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. Jon Ossoff hammered Rep. Mike Collins, his opponent in the Georgia Senate race, over his connections to staff and family members who have propagated white supremacist views,” the Washington Sun reports.

“He called Collins a ‘bigot’ and at one point in the hour-long debate on Thursday said he had ‘hired half the Third Reich to staff his congressional office.'”

Said Ossoff: “Imagine running for the U.S. Senate while neo-Nazi propaganda is disseminated to an audience of millions from your home. That’s Mike Collins.”

Washington Post: Takeaways from Georgia Senate debate between Jon Ossoff, Mike Collins.

2026 Campaign, Senate

How Many Senate Seats Are in Reach for Democrats?

October 9, 2026 · 7:37 am ET · Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “The Senate battleground has stretched to include some of the reddest states from Kansas to Alaska. Trump is even heading to the Last Frontier next week to help incumbent GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan, who faces a tough challenge from former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola.”

“But here’s a crazy thought: What if Democrats win nearly all of these races? What if they end up with 52 seats heading into the 120th Congress, making Minority Leader Chuck Schumer the Senate majority leader once again?”

“Some Democrats are privately speculating this could happen. They’re getting closed-door briefings from DSCC Chair Kirsten Gillibrand and other party strategists that are leaving them somewhat giddy over the possibilities.”

2026 Campaign, Senate

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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