“Americans have paid more for their gasoline and diesel at the pump on average during President Donald Trump’s second term than they did under his Democratic predecessor, Joe Biden, according to the AAA,” Reuters reports.
Islamophobia Is Trump’s Closing Midterm Gambit
David Graham: “They say that patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel, but President Trump and his allies have found a new low: open bigotry against Muslims.”
“The bar for what can shock has been raised steadily over the past decade, but even by Trump-era standards, remarks that the president made yesterday at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, are astonishing: a straightforward assertion that a Muslim candidate for office is a terrorist by virtue of his faith.”
The Midterms Are a Referendum On Elon Musk
Timothy Noah: “If you vote Republican on November 2, you’re voting for the American oligarchy. That may not be news to you and me, but the money makes it more true today than in past elections. Mostly, you’re voting for the oligarchy’s richest member, Musk, who’s in for more than $445 million, which is more than any human ever spent on any American election (excepting the $1 billion Bloomberg blew on his own misguided presidential bid in 2020). Since July, according to Bloomberg’s Bill Allison and Dana Hull, Musk has given, on average, $3.6 million per day.”
“These midterms represent a kind of test for the oligarchs. Congressional Republicans have pretty slavishly supported nearly everything President Donald Trump has done, not necessarily because they agree with it but because they’re terrified of the man. When Trump tells crowds, ‘Please pretend I’m on the ballot,’ that’s good advice. Spending money to elect Republicans to Congress is spending money to maximize Trump’s power.”
The Other Dan Sullivan Is Deep in Debt Amid Legal Battle
“Legal trouble facing the Alaska U.S. Senate candidate Daniel J. Sullivan is getting expensive,” the Washington Sun reports.
“Daniel J. Sullivan — not to be confused with incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan, who’s on the same ballot — is more than $21,000 in debt for ‘compliance and legal fees.'”
James Talarico Ahead in Texas Senate Race
A new N+ Univision/YouGov poll in Texas finds James Talarico (D) leading Ken Paxton (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 45%.
The same poll in Texas finds Greg Abbott (R) leading Gina Hinojosa (D) in the governor’s race, 48% to 46%.
Scott Leads Janoo in Vermont Governor’s Race
A new State Navigate poll in Vermont finds Phil Scott (R) leading Amanda Janoo (D) in the governor’s race, 49% to 46%.
Georgia Democrat Flags Vote Concerns
“Keisha Lance Bottoms, the Democratic candidate for Georgia governor, called for a strong turnout in next week’s election, predicting it would help sweep her to victory in a tight race against Republican Rick Jackson,” Bloomberg reports.
Said Bottoms: “We don’t want to have to fight over 11,000 votes. Our margin has to be ‘too big to rig.’”
The GOP’s Farm Vote Problem
“Farmers are a key voting group for Republicans, but their votes could be on the line, with the Iran war and President Trump’s tariff and trade wars driving up production costs along with diesel and fertilizer prices,” NewsNation reports.
“The Trump administration has been rolling out financial assistance packages and projects for farmers in hopes of shoring up the electorate in next week’s midterm elections. Yet they may be right to be anxious about the voting bloc’s turnout.”
Troy Jackson Releases Final Ad
“Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson launched a seven-figure ad blitz in the final stretch of his race against Republican Sen. Susan Collins, casting the contest as a choice between wealthy interests aligned with President Donald Trump and everyday Americans,” MS NOW reports.
“The closing campaign ad comes as Jackson holds a razor-thin polling lead over Collins in one of the nation’s most competitive Senate races, with control of the chamber at stake.”
Troy Jackson Slightly Ahead in Maine Senate Race
A new Marist poll in Maine finds Troy Jackson (D) leading Susan Collins (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 47%.
The GOP’s Big Small Donor Problem
Politico: “Outside of Donald Trump, Republicans still haven’t figured out how to raise money online.”
“Roughly 1.5 million donors this cycle gave through WinRed, the major GOP online fundraising platform, compared to 2.2 million in 2022. So how big is the gap? Texas Democrat James Talarico alone had about the same number of donors on Democratic platform ActBlue as all Republican candidates and committees combined.”
Why Trump’s Rally Tour Is a Gift to Democrats
Dan Pfeiffer: “Donald Trump also has the lowest approval rating of any president entering a midterm election since Harry Truman.”
“Most presidents this unpopular would try to help their party by staying at the White House and out of the news. That’s what Joe Biden, Barack Obama, and George W. Bush did when their numbers were down and their party was in trouble. It’s the obvious move. The less voters focus on the President with whom they are unhappy, the greater the chance that other members of their party can survive.”
“Not Donald Trump.”
“The deeply unpopular president who started the unpopular war that raised everyone’s costs in an election where prices are the number one issue has decided to be omnipresent on the campaign trail. In October, Trump has held 21 rallies and has at least half a dozen more scheduled before the election.”
Kathy Hochul Already Eyeing a Third Term
Jonathan Martin: “Hochul knows her history and, should she win next week, she told me she intends to seek a full third term as governor in 2030. If she prevails, she’ll match the likes of Rockefeller, Dewey and Cuomo. Mario, that is.”
Trump Returns to South Texas
“President Donald Trump is returning to Texas for the fourth time in recent weeks, with rallies in Lubbock and Corpus Christi on Tuesday — and a major question hanging over the final stretch of the midterm campaign: Can Republicans hold on to Hispanic voters?” NewsNation reports.
“Trump’s visits come one week before Election Day, as Republicans fight to keep a decadeslong winning streak in the Lone Star State.”
Massive Groups of Volunteers Are Ready to Face Down ICE
Abdul El-Sayed Leads in Michigan Senate Race
A new The Detroit News/WDIV-TV (Channel 4)/Glengariff Group poll in Michigan finds Abdul El-Sayed (D) leading Mike Rogers (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 45%.
Incomes Lag in 42 of 46 Swing Districts
Washington Post: “Incomes have not kept up with rising costs in 42 of the 46 most competitive midterm election districts. But the problem is marginally worse in Republican-held districts, according to Post analysis of family budget data between 2019 and 2024.”
”As voters decide which party can best rescue their chance at the American Dream, political experts say prolonged economic hardship is the defining feature influencing voters in the midterms.”
Trump Allies Flood Zone with Election Doubt
“President Donald Trump and his allies have spent the final weeks before the midterms showering his supporters with a relentless stream of doubt about the legitimacy of the election, priming them to question results if Republicans lose,” the Washington Post reports.
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