“With just under a month to go until Election Day, financial decisions made by both parties appear to suggest the question being asked is not if Democrats take control of the House, but how large the majority may be,” NPR reports.

“Currently, Republicans hold a narrow 218-214 seat advantage. In February 2025, the Cook Political Report’s initial ratings for the midterms found a small slice of 39 races listed as competitive, with 18 classified as ‘toss-ups.'”

“That topline number has shifted, with Cook currently listing 43 districts as competitive, including 22 toss-ups. But beyond that, under the hood, Democratic and Republican groups are marshalling hundreds of millions of dollars to influence an electoral landscape that is much larger.”

“House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries said Democrats would move swiftly to reverse Trump-era cuts to healthcare spending and bring down households’ costs, expressing confidence that his party would win a majority during President Trump’s final two years in office,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The New York Democrat, speaking with a group of reporters, laid out some of his key priorities Wednesday should his party win back control of the House in November’s midterm elections, while also nodding toward planned investigations of GOP ‘crooks’ but giving few details.”

“The race for Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District shouldn’t be competitive, just based on history and math,” NPR reports.

”But the Republican Party’s nominee, David Flippo, is facing an unusually tough race despite having President Trump’s endorsement, bogged down by allegations that he exaggerated his military service and lacks real ties to the district.”

“During the summer, GOP Rep. Max Miller’s re-election hopes looked dim following domestic-violence allegations. Fellow Republicans—including the state’s two senators—said he should drop out, and President Trump told him his prospects for winning weren’t good,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“But headed into the final stretch, Republican groups are now throwing millions of dollars behind Miller, as the GOP tries to salvage the seat amid a grim outlook in the midterms. Miller said Trump called last month to praise him after initial doubts, and he said he had a ‘really good’ conversation recently with House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA). He said voters in his red-leaning constituency are aware of the allegations but are sticking with him.”

Said Miller: “The people of our district know who I am. We’re going to be OK.”

“House Majority PAC, Democrats’ chief super PAC focused on congressional races, is going on air with new TV and digital ads in 21 districts,” Punchbowl News reports.

“Many of the ads are running in deep-red territory, including newly drawn seats in Florida and Texas.”

“House Majority Whip Tom Emmer (R-MN) is scaling back expectations and zeroing in on a narrowed battlefield as Republicans’ prospects of keeping their majority look increasingly bleak,” Axios reports.

“Emmer, a former National Republican Congressional Committee chair who helped the GOP unexpectedly gain seats in 2020, argues his party can still defy historical headwinds in November.”

“But with less than a month to go, Emmer acknowledges that some tough decisions are coming about where Republicans spend their money, including walking away from races they don’t think they can salvage.”

Mediaite: House Republicans in “triage mode” over feared blue wave.

“Rep. Juan Ciscomani — an incumbent Republican running in a swing district in Arizona — is out with a new campaign video in which he says he won’t be a ‘rubber stamp’ in Washington while also touting his background as an immigrant,” the Washington Post reports.

“‘As an immigrant, I’m grateful for the opportunity America has given me,’ he says directly to the camera. ‘I’m not a rubber stamp for anyone.'”

“Ciscomani is running in a toss-up race against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, a retired Marine who on the trail has argued that Ciscomani has consistently voted for Republican policies — including the One Big Beautiful Bill — that have made life more expensive for the district’s residents.”

“I’ve never been in a race where I felt less control over the campaign and, like, what issues are going to matter because it’s all coming — you know — from D.C. I don’t control message or what we’re doing.”

— Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), quoted by Politico.

“Democrats pressing to win control of Congress in the midterm elections are also reaching for a major milestone in their ranks: electing at least 100 women to the House, the most ever in a legislative body that is still heavily dominated by older white men,” the New York Times reports.

“With female candidates competing in many key districts that will determine the House majority, and polls showing the party gaining ground in those contests, Democrats are projecting they could have as many as 113 women in their ranks next year.”

“Latino voters, whose dramatic shift toward President Trump helped power his 2024 victory, are moving sharply back toward Democrats ahead of the midterms, two new national polls show,” Axios reports.

“Republicans built pieces of their 2026 strategy, including newly drawn House districts in Texas and Florida, around the assumption that Trump’s historic Latino gains would endure. A reversal is complicating that bet in key races.”