A new Pine Tree State poll in Maine finds Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) at just 14% favorability and with an unfavorability of 57 percent.
Pro-Trump Group Unleashes Ad Against Massie
A pro-Trump super PAC is out with its first TV ad against Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), the Kentucky Republican targeted for defeat by the president, Axios reports.
Elise Stefanik to Run for New York Governor
Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) is preparing to officially launch her campaign for New York governor, The Hill reports.
Another Poll Shows John Cornyn Getting Trounced
Politico: “It’s getting late early for John Cornyn. Yet another poll shows the four-term incumbent lagging well behind his hard-right challenger, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, in next year’s primary.”
“The poll, conducted on behalf of a Paxton-allied super PAC, shows the Texas attorney general with a commanding 19-point lead over the incumbent — 57% to 38% — in a head-to-head matchup of Texas Republican primary voters.”
Scott Brown to Run for Senate in New Hampshire
“Scott Brown, a Republican who once represented Massachusetts in the U.S. Senate, announced his second bid Wednesday for the New Hampshire Senate seat being vacated by Democrat Jeanne Shaheen next year,” the AP reports.
Mike Johnson Warns About Medicaid Backlash
“Speaker Mike Johnson is warning in private that Senate Republicans could cost House Republicans their majority next year if they try to push through the deep Medicaid cuts in the current Senate version,” Politico reports.
Former Astronaut Launches Texas Senate Run
“Terry Virts, a retired NASA astronaut, is not a household name, even in his home of Houston. But the way he announced his campaign on Monday for Senator John Cornyn’s seat in Texas, taking a swing at both political parties, may be blazing a trail for Democratic candidates in 2026,” the New York Times reports.
“Mr. Virts’ official announcement video was revealing in two ways. It reflected the growing hunger among Democratic outsiders to take on President Trump. And it underscored how such outsiders believe the best way to do that is to also take on the Democratic leaders in Washington.”
J.B. Pritzker to Run for Third Term as Governor
Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D) “will announce Thursday that he will seek a third term next year, answering a question about his immediate political future but leaving unanswered whether he will pursue a longer-term goal of running for president in 2028,” the Chicago Tribune reports.
Nasty Texas Primary Has Republicans in a Panic
Wall Street Journal: “Texans are gearing up for an ugly primary between Cornyn, a two-decade senator arguably associated with the GOP of another era, and Paxton, a MAGA combatant who has prevailed in Texas politics despite repeated accusations of legal and ethical wrongdoing.”
“Their party is gearing up for a headache.”
“Republican leaders fear that nominating Paxton, who has an edge with the farthest-right voters active in primaries, could hand Democrats their best opportunity for a win in Texas in decades. A competitive Texas senate race in the general election, they warn, could cost Republicans upward of $250 million, forcing the party to put resources into a red-leaning state that could go elsewhere and potentially threatening their Senate majority.”
Kamala Harris Leans Towards Governor’s Race
Kamala Harris is leaning toward entering the California gubernatorial race, The Hill reports.
Trump Launches Super PAC to Oust Thomas Massie
“President Trump’s political operation has launched an aggressive effort to unseat Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie, its first such effort to defeat a sitting Republican incumbent,” Axios reports.
“By going after Massie, Trump’s team is looking to put wayward Republicans on notice that they’re ready to play hardball.”
Joni Ernst’s Gaffe Becomes Rallying Cry for Democrats
“A one-sentence gaffe from Iowa’s junior senator has become a line of attack against Republicans nationally, with Democratic fundraising solicitations, political ads, social media and T-shirts now highlighting her words heading into the midterm elections,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Sen. Joni Ernst’s response of ‘we all are going to die’ to a constituent who was complaining about proposed Medicaid cuts in President Trump’s ‘one big, beautiful bill’ has also helped produce a 2026 GOP primary challenger for her and prompted several Iowa Democrats to announce bids for her seat.”
“The incident has shone a fresh spotlight on the Republican Party’s political vulnerabilities as well as Ernst’s uncertain political future, with some Iowa watchers wondering whether she will stand for re-election. She angered Trump’s MAGA allies last year, delayed her trademark summer motorcycle ride until the fall, and now has become the face of what Democrats paint as Republican cruelty toward poor people.”
Trump and Deportations Unpopular with Voters
Americans broadly disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president and favor Democratic U.S. House candidates for the 2026 midterms by 8 points, 45% to 37%, a new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds.
The president is underwater on 10 out of 11 issues.
Joe Walsh Considers Bid Against Lindsey Graham
“Joe Walsh, the former Tea Party congressman, right-wing radio host and current Never Trumper, is eyeing a possible move to South Carolina. He says he’s considering a run as a Democratic Senate candidate against Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham,” Politico reports.
“Walsh, who became a registered Democrat last week, told Politico that Democrats have to take a new, asymmetrical approach to their Republican opponents and have to ‘fucking wake up and begin to do different things.’”
Cardinals Pitcher Recruited to Challenge Ann Wagner
A recent poll in Missouri’s 2nd District tested former St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright in a potential congressional match-up against Rep. Ann Wagner (R-MO), Inside Elections reports.
The suburban district isn’t currently among the races rated as competitive by Inside Elections, but an out-of-the-box Democratic candidate such as Wainwright would have the potential to draw attention and resources to the race.
Ex-Democrat Hopes to Shake Up Michigan Governor’s Race
Former Detroit mayor Mike Duggan, who left the Democratic Party, told the Washington Post he can shake up Michigan’s gubernatorial race next year.
Said Duggan: “My goal is 20 percent from the Democratic side, 20 percent from the Republican side, and win with 40 percent of the vote.”
Is California a Dress Rehearsal for Trump?
David Frum: “If Trump can incite disturbances in blue states before the midterm elections, he can assert emergency powers to impose federal control over the voting process, which is to say his control. Or he might suspend voting until, in his opinion, order has been restored. Either way, blue-state seats could be rendered vacant for some time.”
Trump Says He’ll Punish Musk If He Helps Democrats
President Donald Trump on Saturday said there would be “serious consequences” if tech mogul Elon Musk funds Democratic candidates to run against Republicans who vote in favor of the GOP’s sweeping budget bill, NBC News reports.
Said Trump: “If he does, he’ll have to pay the consequences for that.”
“The president also said he has no desire to repair his relationship with Musk after a feud between the two men erupted into public view earlier this week.”
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