A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot 47% to 42% with 11% undecided. Among people who say they are definitely or very likely to vote, the margin is 50% to 45%.

And this is stunning: Just 28% of U.S. adults say the country is on the right track, while 60% say it’s on the wrong track.

Gallup: “Americans’ satisfaction with the way things are going in the U.S. is at its lowest since President Donald Trump took office in January, with 29% now saying they are satisfied.”

Republican pollster Christine Matthews told Politico she has identified a key group of swing voters that could help decide the 2026 midterms: weighted vest-wearing women.

These fitness-conscious suburbanites are typically under 45, well-educated, and “highly engaged with politics.”

“Longtime Washington congressional Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton garnered her most serious political challenge in 35 years Thursday when Robert White, a third-term D.C. Council member and former aide to Norton, announced he would challenge her in next year’s Democratic primary,” Politico reports.

“President Trump said on Tuesday that Republicans would host a rare midterm convention ahead of the elections next year, the results of which will serve as a referendum on the first two years of his term and determine whether his party maintains control of Congress,” the New York Times reports.

“California is fast becoming the front line in the Democrats’ generational, intraparty war,” Politico reports.

“Long a haven for aging politicians, the state has suddenly become the tip of the spear for national Democrat-on-Democrat hostilities: Fully half of the state’s older House Democrats are set to face same-party challengers next year.”

“It’s an eruption of the frustrations roiling national Democrats as a younger generation seeks to take over an aging party that it argues enabled the return of President Donald Trump. They are haunted by questions about former President Joe Biden’s mental acuity and memories of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Sen. Dianne Feinstein dying in office.”

G. Elliot Morris notes 17 Republican and 11 Democratic U.S. House members have said they won’t run for re-election next year.

“Historically, the number of net retirements for each party is a pretty reliable predictor of which one will pick up seats in the U.S. House during the next midterm. The following rules are not true for every cycle, but are pretty good: (1) Whichever party has more net retirements tends to lose more seats, all else being equal; and (2) More net retirements usually translates to more seats lost.”

The DNC is launching Epstein-related digital ads targeting five House Republicans — Reps. Anna Paulina Luna, Eli Crane, Mike Lawler, David Valadao, and Mariannette Miller-Meeks — while sending a mobile billboard around D.C. today, Politico reports.

The main image features a picture of Trump and Epstein behind the purported quote from Trump in the letter: “We have certain things in common, Jeffrey.”