Political Wire

SubscribeSign in
  • Front Page
  • Trending
  • Polling
  • Trial Balloon
  • Books
  • Membership
    • Members FAQ
    • Exclusive Analysis
    • My Favorites
  • Sign In
Theme
Text size

Less Party Loyalty, Big Election Swings

November 9, 2026 · 5:31 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s Republicans just found out the hard way what other political parties are seeing across western democracies: Voters are fed up, they have lost trust in political parties and they don’t have much patience when they feel politicians aren’t listening,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The massive shift in the midterm elections is a sign of a new political era taking hold from Paris, Texas, to Paris, France. Voters are becoming less attached to the parties their parents voted for and are more likely to try out new parties or new political pitches, on the left and right.”

“And while they are willing to give insurgent parties or populist figures like Trump a shot, they will also lose patience quickly if they don’t deliver.”

2026 Campaign, Trends

Gen Z Is Broke and Fed Up with Politics

October 24, 2026 · 12:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Politico: “Transunion, a consumer credit reporting agency, found in a 2024 study that 22- to 24-year-olds in Gen Z had higher average credit-card balances, higher average auto-loan balances and higher average personal-loan balances than millennials of the same age a decade earlier, even when adjusted for inflation. Gen Z borrowers also had higher delinquency rates than their millennial counterparts.”

“This gap — between the promise that hard work will bring stability and the costs young adults say they can’t get ahead of — is key to understanding the politics of Gen Z, a voter group that helped President Donald Trump win in 2024, but whose longtime loyalties have yet to be won by either party.”

Economy, Trends

Kristi Noem Poses with New Hunting Dog

October 18, 2026 · 12:21 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem is being ridiculed over an online photo she posted of herself and her new hunting dog — with social-media users urging her not to off him, too,” the New York Post reports.

CNN: Kristi Noem quietly moves to her third job in Trump administration.

Trends

Most Young Oregonians Plan to Leave State

October 12, 2026 · 11:17 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Oregonian poll finds more than half, or 54%, of 18-29 year olds in Oregon said they were considering moving in the next five years.

“The poll results add a new dimension to concerns about Oregon’s stagnant population growth and who, exactly, will backfill its graying labor force amid declining birthrates and persistent worries about eroding affordability.”

Trends

Teens Who Identify as Gay or Bisexual Is in ‘Free Fall’

October 8, 2026 · 4:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Young teenagers are less likely to identify as lesbian, gay or bisexual than they were a few years ago, according to a new analysis of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data,” the Washington Post reports.

Gay Rights, Trends

The Curse of the Incumbent

October 6, 2026 · 8:18 am ET · Leave a Comment

David Graham: “When Donald Trump completed his own presidential comeback in the 2024 U.S. election, one common explanation was that a fundamental change had occurred in American politics, realigning demographics, parties, and policy for the long run.”

“A competing narrative, especially popular among comparative scholars, focused on a wave of anti-incumbent results in elections around the world. In this view, the results were more a rejection of Joe Biden’s administration and his vice president, Kamala Harris, than they were an embrace of Trump—and part of a broad trend of dissatisfaction among voters in many countries.”

“The specific motivations of the global anti-incumbent wave have never been entirely obvious. They include a post-COVID hangover but also deeper running dissatisfaction with democratic systems of government. Whatever the reasons, the trend is an important shift.”

2024 Campaign, Trends

American Populism Is Coming for Corporate America

October 6, 2026 · 6:58 am ET · Leave a Comment

“There’s a political horseshoe forming,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Voters from the left and the right are finding a common, populist ground targeting American corporations. And this anger is going beyond just Big Tech.”

“There is a growing embrace of a bigger government role that could crack down on credit-card companies, healthcare companies, housing and child care.”

Economy, Trends

Fewer Young Americans Are ‘Thriving’

October 5, 2026 · 5:53 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The number of young Americans who say they’re ‘thriving’ is near a low point while the share of middle-age adults who say the same is at a nadir, underscoring the level of relative dissatisfaction among these key demographic groups ahead of the midterms,” Semafor reports.

“Only 44% of adults ages 18 to 29 describe themselves as thriving, according to Gallup, 20 points lower than the high measured in 2010. Forty-five percent of adults 30 to 44 say the same; both figures have declined in the years since the COVID-19 pandemic.”

Polling, Trends

Socialism’s Positive Rating Tops 40% for First Time

September 24, 2026 · 8:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

Gallup: “Forty-three percent of Americans now have a positive view of socialism, marking the first time this figure has exceeded 39% in Gallup’s trend since 2010.”

“Socialism still trails capitalism and free enterprise in public favorability but now ranks ahead of big business. Small business remains the clear leader among the five economic concepts tested, with 95% viewing it positively.”

Polling, Trends

Politicians From the Working Class Are Very Rare

September 23, 2026 · 8:40 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The 2026 elections are shaping up to be another terrible year for working-class representation in Congress,” Bloomberg reports.

“Of the 919 candidates running as major-party nominees for the U.S. House and Senate this November, only seven had a working-class job when they got into politics. That’s less than 1%, despite working-class jobs making up about half of the U.S. labor force.”

2026 Campaign, Trends

Americans and the Distrust Election

September 22, 2026 · 7:23 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Call it the distrust election,” the New York Times reports.

“For as much as Americans disagree these days, one common denominator runs through American life: a profound distrust of the institutions and industries that make the country run. Whether on data centers, chemicals in food, the Epstein files or the war in Iran, Americans across the political spectrum say they have the feeling that they are being lied to.”

Trends

Democratic Socialists Turn to Social Events for Recruitment

September 6, 2026 · 5:37 am ET · Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “The socialists, it turns out, are highly social.”

“In chapters across the country, they enjoy DSA barbecues, beach days, running clubs, happy hours, karaoke, prom nights, transgender rights and bodily autonomy game nights, reading groups, Marxist study circles and more. The DSA is even moving into affairs of the heart with a recent ‘Socialist Speed Dating’ event in New York’s Lower East Side.”

Democrats, Trends

Older Adults Outnumber the Youngest Children Worldwide

September 3, 2026 · 7:02 am ET · Leave a Comment

“People 65 and older now outnumber children ages 5 and younger worldwide for the first time in recorded history, according to a new report by the U.S. Census,” Axios reports.

“Why it matters: A global plunge in fertility — demographers’ term for the number of children being born — and increased longevity are creating a demographic inversion that’s projected to deepen for decades.”

Science, Trends

70% of Young Americans Not Proud of U.S.

September 2, 2026 · 10:49 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new American University Sine Institute of Policy & Politics poll finds 70 percent of respondents aged 18 to 34 said they weren’t proud of “where America is heading as a nation.”

Polling, Trends

Trump Voters Express Rare Frustration with the President

August 31, 2026 · 10:20 am ET · Leave a Comment

NBC News: “For more than a decade, one of Trump’s greatest strengths has been the devotion of his base — voters who were reluctant to criticize him and quick to defend him in public settings. Many of them have lost or strained friendships with their vehement support and insistence that he is virtually infallible.”

“But in late-August conversations with Trump voters across eight of the nation’s most competitive congressional districts, running along Interstate 80 from central New Jersey to Omaha, Nebraska, there was a new willingness among Trump voters to voice their critiques on issues including inflation, the war with Iran and the White House ballroom construction.”

Trends, White House

Americans Feel They Have Lost Their Agency

August 30, 2026 · 1:51 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Rana Foroohar: “People increasingly blame large corporations for the sense that they have ever less control over their own lives.”

Trends

Quantifying Anger in American Politics

August 30, 2026 · 12:42 pm ET · Leave a Comment

The Economist: “In just the past two months Donald Trump has described unnamed Democratic candidates as ‘jihadists’ and ‘radical lunatics.’ He has mocked opponents’ weight and appearance, said he hated Adam Schiff, a Democratic senator from California, and referred to James Talarico, the Democratic Senate candidate in Texas, as ‘Tal-a-freak-o.’ He has also attacked former Republican allies, calling Tucker Carlson and others ‘losers,’ while describing Marjorie Taylor Greene as ‘neurotic.'”

“The president’s rhetoric is insulting, combative and angry. Of course, he is hardly the first politician to cultivate outrage. Spiro Agnew, Richard Nixon’s vice-president, delighted in attacking the press. Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the House, was a master of ginning up resentment. For decades righteous indignation has been the resting state of Bernie Sanders, an independent senator from Vermont. But new research suggests that American politics is angrier than ever.”

Trends, White House

More Americans Are Smoking Pot

August 24, 2026 · 6:20 am ET · Leave a Comment

Semafor: “Seventeen percent of American adults say they smoke marijuana, tied with the high notched in 2023. That’s a big shift from 2013, the year Gallup started polling the question, when just 7% said they used pot. A record 15% of U.S. adults also say they use edibles.”

Polling, Trends

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • …
  • 40
  • Next Page »
Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

Your Account

Members

For the full experience, sign in.

Become a Member

Read everything on Political Wire. No ads, Talking Points analysis, Trial Balloon podcast, new features and more.

  • Join Political Wire
  • Gift a Membership

Members Only

  • How Much Power Does a White House Chief of Staff Have?
  • Republicans Couldn’t Buy Their Way Out of Defeat
  • Democrats Now Dominate State Governments
  • Why Schumer and Jeffries Aren’t Going Anywhere
  • Trump Digs In
  • Republicans Had Nothing

More members only posts →

Electoral Map Electoral Vote Map

222Democrat 97Toss-up 219Republican
270

Make your own map →

The starting map is built from how each state has voted compared with the country as a whole, not from how a state voted on its own. The last two presidential elections, with 2024 counting more than 2020. Then we…

Updated Nov. 4, 2026

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was →
  • Yea or Nay? →
  • Split Decision →
  • Pollster →
  • Daily Trivia →

Copyright © 2026 · Goddard Media LLC

Political Wire® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC

Also from Goddard Media: Political Dictionary · Political Job Hunt · Electoral Vote Map

Privacy PolicyCorrections PolicyContact