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You are here: Home / Archives for Trends

Americans Revert to Favoring Reduced Government Role

October 14, 2021 at 3:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup: “Americans have shifted back to favoring a more hands-off approach for government in addressing the nation’s problems after a rare endorsement of a more active role last year. Currently, 52% say the government is doing too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses, while 43% want the government to do more to solve the country’s problems.”

“In contrast, a record-high 54% of U.S. adults last year said the government should do more to solve problems.”

Filed Under: Trends

More Women Are Tuning Out Politics

October 13, 2021 at 10:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Karen Tumulty: “A raft of evidence suggests that female voters, whose engagement and activism fueled the gains that Democrats made during Donald Trump’s presidency, are increasingly tuning out politics.”

“In one survey conducted in May by the Democratic super PAC American Bridge 21st Century, nearly half of women in key swing states said they were ‘paying less attention to what happens in Washington’ than they were when Trump was in the White House. This was particularly true among female Biden voters who are independents, under the age of 35, college graduates and city dwellers. Focus groups that American Bridge 21st Century conducted in August with women in Pennsylvania and Arizona found much the same thing.”

Filed Under: Trends

Most Bay Area Residents Anticipate Leaving

October 13, 2021 at 9:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Joint Venture Silicon Valley poll finds that 55% of the residents living in the San Francisco Bay Area say they are considering moving out of the area permanently.

Of those who were likely to leave, 84% cited the cost of living as a major reason and 62% cited the quality of life.

Filed Under: Trends

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Most Americans Haven’t Sent a Letter In Five Years

October 11, 2021 at 11:13 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The majority of Americans polled in a new CBS News survey said they haven’t sent a handwritten letter in the mail in over five years.

Filed Under: Trends

Wisconsin Was the Incubator for Tribal Politics

October 8, 2021 at 6:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dan Balz: “For the past decade the state has been an incubator for the kind of tribal politics and deep divisions that characterize civic life in Washington and much of the rest of the nation. While Wisconsin has been closely divided for a long time — four of the last six presidential elections were decided by less than a percentage point — the widening gulf between the two parties exposed in 2011 foreshadowed the extent to which American politics would come to focus more on the extremes rather than the middle of the political spectrum.”

“This has made Wisconsin not a purple state, as many people suggest, but two states in one — the first comprising a few heavily populated blue enclaves and the second a red sea of rural, small-town and suburban geography that surrounds those blue pockets.”

Filed Under: Trends

Americans Lose Faith In Politicians and Voters

October 7, 2021 at 8:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup poll finds just 44% of U.S. adults say they have a great deal or fair amount of confidence in people who hold or are running for public office, rivaling the record low of 42% from 2016.

Meanwhile, only 55% express a similar level of confidence in the judgments of the American people under the democratic system, the lowest Gallup has measured to date.

Filed Under: Trends

Democrats Lost the Most In Midwestern Factory Towns

October 6, 2021 at 6:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The share of the Democratic presidential vote in the Midwest declined most precipitously between 2012 and 2020 in counties that experienced the steepest losses in manufacturing and union jobs and saw declines in health care, according to a new report to be released this month.”

“The party’s worsening performance in the region’s midsize communities — often overlooked places like Chippewa Falls, Wis., and Bay City, Mich. — poses a dire threat to Democrats, the report warns.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Trends

A Deep Divide Between Trump and Biden Voters

September 30, 2021 at 11:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new University of Virginia Center for Politics survey looks at the persistent divisions between Trump and Biden voters:

  • Majorities — often large majorities — of both Biden and Trump voters express some form of distrust for voters, elected officials, and media sources they associate with the other side.
  • A strong majority of Trump voters see no real difference between Democrats and socialists, and a majority of Biden voters at least somewhat agree that there is no real difference between Republicans and fascists.
  • Significant numbers of both Trump and Biden voters show a willingness to consider violating democratic tendencies and norms if needed to serve their priorities.
  • Roughly 4 in 10 (41%) of Biden and half (52%) of Trump voters at least somewhat agree that it’s time to split the country, favoring blue/red states seceding from the union.

Filed Under: Trends

Girls Are Being Socialized to Lose Their Political Ambition

September 24, 2021 at 1:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“New research shows girls are being socialized early in life to believe they don’t belong in politics,” The 19th reports.

“A research article published this month in the scholarly journal American Political Science Review found that young children perceive politics to be a space dominated by men. Girls’ perception of this is enforced as they grow older.”

Filed Under: Trends

All Politics Is National

September 18, 2021 at 1:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Dan Balz: “It may be time to revisit the old axiom from Tip O’Neill, the former Democratic House speaker from Massachusetts, who famously said that all politics are local. These days, as the California recall election showed, most politics are national.”

Filed Under: Trends

Most Southern Republicans Support Seceding

September 16, 2021 at 4:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Christopher Ingraham: “A new YouGov survey conducted on behalf of a democracy watchdog group finds that 66% of Republicans living in the South say they’d support seceding from the United States to join a union with other Southern states.”

“Secession is actually gaining support among Southern Republicans: back in January and February, 50% said they’d support such a proposal.”

Meanwhile, conservative Ben Shapiro floated the idea of a “friendly separation” of certain states away from the union.

Filed Under: Trends

Most Americans Feel Democracy Is Under Attack

September 15, 2021 at 12:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN poll finds 56% of Americans feel democracy is under attack in this country and 51% say it is likely that elected officials will successfully overturn the results of a future election because their party did not win.

In addition, nearly all Americans feel that democracy in the US is at least being tested: 93% total say that democracy is either under attack (56%) or being tested but not under attack (37%). Just 6% say that American democracy is in no danger.

For members: Democrats Must Make Democracy an Issue In 2022

Filed Under: Trends

Educational Differences Have Widened the Political Rift

September 9, 2021 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “As they’ve grown in numbers, college graduates have instilled increasingly liberal cultural norms while gaining the power to nudge the Democratic Party to the left. Partly as a result, large portions of the party’s traditional working-class base have defected to the Republicans.”

“Over the longer run, some Republicans even fantasize that the rise of educational polarization might begin to erode the Democratic advantage among voters of color without a college degree. Perhaps a similar phenomenon may help explain how Donald J. Trump, who mobilized racial animus for political gain, nonetheless fared better among voters of color than previous Republicans did, and fared worse among white voters.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Trends

All Politics Is Now National

September 6, 2021 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “We noticed a trend this summer that’s been building for some time: in the House, politics are increasingly national, and less local than ever. In other words, rank-and-file lawmakers who would be barely recognizable to most Americans on cable television are fashioning themselves as nationwide leaders, spending time on national and global issues instead of developments back home.”

Filed Under: House of Representatives, Trends

Young People Are Still Very Optimistic About the Future

September 2, 2021 at 9:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC News/Generation Lab poll of incoming college students across the country finds 92% of the freshmen — attending either two-year or four-year institutions — say they’re optimistic about their personal lives, including 28% who are “super” optimistic.

Filed Under: Trends

Rally ‘Round the Flag Is Dead

September 1, 2021 at 1:44 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nathan Gonzales: “Within hours of 13 American servicemembers being killed in a terrorist attack outside Kabul airport in Afghanistan on Aug. 26, multiple Republicans called for President Joe Biden to resign. That wasn’t terribly surprising considering former President Donald Trump, his son and others were calling on Biden to resign before the deadly attack.”

“But the broader point remains: The idea of a rally ’round the flag effect is functionally over for the undetermined future.”

Filed Under: Trends

Most Say Abortion Should Be Legal

September 1, 2021 at 11:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new NBC News poll finds 54% of all adults say abortion should be legal in “all or most cases,” while 42% saying it should be illegal.

“One other thing to consider in this debate: Much of the country appears to be in the middle on abortion… It’s just that our present political system — and our political parties — can’t handle the middle anymore, especially on abortion.”

Filed Under: Trends

Most Think U.S. Is on the Wrong Track

September 1, 2021 at 10:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Politico-Morning Consult poll finds that 61% of Americans believe the country is on “the wrong track,” compared to just 39% who say the country is “going in the right direction.”

Filed Under: Trends

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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