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Are Americans Really That Divided?

March 11, 2026 at 8:16 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “Most Americans are too busy for social media, too normal for politics, too rational to tweet. They work, raise kids, coach Little League, go to a house of worship, mow their neighbor’s lawn — and never post a word about any of it.”

“This isn’t a small minority. It’s a monstrous, if silent, majority. Most Americans are patriotic, hardworking, neighbor-helping, America-loving, money-giving people who don’t pop off on social media or plot for power.”

“The hidden truth: Most people agree on most things, most of the time. And the data validates this, time and time again.”

Filed Under: Trends

Big Majority Want to End Time Changes

March 8, 2026 at 10:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new YouGov poll finds 64% of Americans want to stop changing the clocks twice a year, whereas only 16% want to keep the current system.

Filed Under: Trends

Americans Likely To View Fellow Citizens as Morally Bad

March 6, 2026 at 9:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Americans are more likely than people in other countries surveyed in 2025 to question the morality of their fellow countrymen,” Pew Research reports.

“In nearly all countries surveyed, more people say that others in their country have somewhat or very good morals than say their compatriots display somewhat or very bad levels of morality.”

“The United States is the only place we surveyed where more adults (ages 18 and older) describe the morality and ethics of others living in the country as bad (53%) than as good (47%).”

Filed Under: Trends

Government Still Leads as Nation’s Top Problem

March 5, 2026 at 8:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup: “Government and political leadership remained Americans’ top concern in February, when asked to identify the ‘most important problem facing this country today.’ Immigration emerged as the clear second choice, followed by the economy and inflation.”

Filed Under: Trends

Billionaires Flock to Wyoming

March 2, 2026 at 9:54 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The Jackson Hole region has long been a refuge for the rich, but an explosion of new affluence has allowed a growing cadre of extraordinarily wealthy people to dominate both the local economy and Wyoming state politics.”

“Teton County is not merely the richest county in the country, per capita, by far; it is a window into America’s near future, as the country enters a new gilded age, one in which millionaires are turning into billionaires overnight.”

Filed Under: Trends

Americans Are Leaving the U.S. in Record Numbers

February 25, 2026 at 9:16 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In its 250th year, is America, land of immigration, becoming a country of emigration?,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Last year the U.S. experienced something that hasn’t definitively occurred since the Great Depression: More people moved out than moved in. The Trump administration has hailed the exodus—negative net migration—as the fulfillment of its promise to ramp up deportations and restrict new visas. Beneath the stormy optics of that immigration crackdown, however, lies a less-noticed reversal: America’s own citizens are leaving in record numbers, replanting themselves and their families in lands they find more affordable and safe.”

Filed Under: Immigration, Trends

One-Party Dominance in the States

February 24, 2026 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “In 41 of the 50 states, every statewide executive office is held by the same party—a striking indicator of the scope of political polarization today. In another six states, one side has a clear edge.”

“This leaves only three states that have a relatively balanced mix of Republican and Democratic statewide officeholders: Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina.”

Filed Under: Trends

American Optimism Slumps to Record Low

February 10, 2026 at 7:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup: “The percentage of U.S. adults who anticipate high-quality lives in five years declined to 59.2% in 2025, the lowest level since measurement began nearly two decades ago.”

Filed Under: Trends

The Next Crisis of Trust

February 3, 2026 at 1:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Edelman Trust Barometer finds that 70% of respondents across 28 nations now are hesitant or unwilling to trust someone who has different values, information sources, approaches to societal problems, or backgrounds than them.

This majority holds across income levels, gender, age groups, developing and developed markets.

Filed Under: Trends

Scrolling Alone

February 3, 2026 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Andrew Trousdale and Erik Larson: “Americans today accumulate hundreds, even thousands, of Facebook ‘friends’ and Instagram followers. Yet 35% report having less than three close friends and 17% report having none. A quarter of Americans lack social and emotional support. We’re supposedly more connected than ever, but according to the Surgeon General we are facing an epidemic of loneliness and isolation.”

“It’s tempting to believe that smartphones and social media were introduced to an ideal society and ruined everything. But the social problems we face today — while linked to contemporary digital technologies — are deeper and more nuanced than that. They originated from 20th century technological and cultural forces that also brought extraordinary benefits.”

Filed Under: Trends

The Opioid Epidemic Boosted GOP Support

February 3, 2026 at 10:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Carolina Arteaga and Victoria Barone, writing in the Quarterly Journal of Economics:

“In this article, we establish a causal connection between two of the most salient social developments in the United States over the past decades: the opioid epidemic and the political realignment between the Republican and Democratic parties…”

“We estimate that from the mid-2000s to 2022, exposure to the opioid epidemic continuously increased the Republican vote share in House, presidential, and gubernatorial elections. By the 2022 House elections, a one-standard-deviation increase in our measure of exposure led to a 4.5 percentage point increase in the Republican vote share. From 2012 until 2022, this increase in the House vote share translated into Republicans winning additional seats.”

Filed Under: Health Care, Trends

U.S. Is Flirting With First-Ever Population Decline

February 2, 2026 at 7:48 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The U.S. population could decline this year for the first time in American history, Bloomberg reports.

Filed Under: Trends

U.S. Life Expectancy Hits New High

January 30, 2026 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Scientific American: “The average American born in 2024 is now expected to live to age 79. That life expectancy is more than a half-year longer than it was in 2023 and greater than in any prior year going back to 1900.”

“It was still lower than that of most other developed countries, however.”

Filed Under: Trends

Immigration Crackdown Slowed U.S. Growth Rate

January 27, 2026 at 10:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s crackdown on immigration contributed to a year-to-year drop in the nation’s growth rate as the U.S. population reached 341.8 million people in 2025,” the AP reports.

“The 0.5% growth rate for 2025 was a sharp drop from 2024’s almost 1% growth rate, which was the highest since 2001 and was fueled by immigration.”

Filed Under: Trends

Huge Majority Think America Is Spiraling ‘Out of Control’

January 21, 2026 at 10:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new YouGov/Economist survey shows that 71 percent of Americans think the United States is “out of control,” while only 18 percent think the country is “under control.”

Filed Under: Trends

Record Number of Americans Identify as Independents

January 12, 2026 at 7:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup poll finds the share of American adults who identify as political independents hit a record high of 45% last year, Semafor reports.

The increase over the past high of 43%, recorded in 2014, 2023, and 2024, was partially driven by younger Americans increasingly identifying as independent.

Filed Under: Third Parties, Trends

U.S. Population Growth Is Projected to Slow Further

January 7, 2026 at 4:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “The CBO projects the population growing from 349 million this year to 364 million in 2056, and then starting to shrink. A year ago, the CBO projected the U.S. would reach 372 million people in 30 years; in September it cut that forecast to 367 million.”

“The slowdown reflects the aging population, declining fertility and President Trump’s immigration policies. The U.S. has come to rely on immigration as an important source of growth. Deaths are expected to exceed births in 2030; in September the CBO had projected this could start by 2031.”

Filed Under: Trends

Americans End Year in Gloomy Mood

December 23, 2025 at 7:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup Poll finds 24% of Americans satisfied and 74% dissatisfied with the way things are going in the country.

Filed Under: Trends

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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