Political Wire

SubscribeSign in
  • Front Page
  • Trending
  • Polling
  • Trial Balloon
  • Books
  • Membership
    • Members FAQ
    • Exclusive Analysis
    • My Favorites
  • Sign In
Theme
Text size

Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 195

Shake Up

A new episode of Trial Balloon just dropped for Political Wire members. Log in or become a member

Trial Balloon · Ep. 195: Shake Up

Secret Money Tried to Split the Conservative Vote

November 13, 2026 · 6:24 am ET · Leave a Comment

“In the final weeks of the 2026 midterms, Republican candidates across the country began to face an unusual line of attack. In an election widely viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration, suddenly many of them were accused of being insufficiently conservative,” CNN reports.

“A cascade of robocalls and text messages warned that Republicans on the ballot had betrayed conservative principles. Political mailers accused GOP candidates of embracing liberal policies. The messages offered a consistent alternative: little-known Libertarian or third-party candidates who were portrayed as true conservatives.”

“Behind those messages were three obscure political organizations that did not exist until this year, including one formed just last month.”

2026 Campaign, Dirty Tricks, Third Parties

MAGA Castoffs Plot 2028 Spoiler Bid

November 8, 2026 · 6:16 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“An unusual coalition wants to recruit outgoing Rep. Thomas Massie as the Libertarian Party’s 2028 presidential nominee, betting that MAGA fractures can turn a third-party candidacy into a spoiler for the Republican nominee,” Axios reports.

2028 Campaign, Third Parties

Nebraska Senate Race Tightens

October 28, 2026 · 2:31 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The fight for control of the U.S. Senate has expanded to an unexpected place: the deeply conservative farm state of Nebraska, thanks to the rising appeal of an independent candidate who says he wants nothing to do with either party,” Bloomberg reports.

“The Plains state is one of several GOP strongholds in the region, including neighboring Iowa and Kansas, where polls show Republican candidates in surprisingly tight races, as President Donald Trump’s approval rating slides in places he won easily just two years ago.”

“With razor thin party margins, any race could be the one that decides who dictates the agenda in the Senate.”

2026 Campaign, Third Parties

Limited-time offer

Try Political Wire Free for 60 days

Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the Polling Dashboard, the Trial Balloon podcast, new site features and no ads.

Start your free trial.


Musk-Linked Dark Money Network Funded Cornel West

October 26, 2026 · 3:19 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The nonprofit that helped get Cornel West on presidential ballots in 2024 received all of its funding that year through a conservative political network that has been bankrolled by Elon Musk,” Sludge reports.

2024 Campaign, Third Parties

Democrats Hope Independents Can Help Senate Odds

October 25, 2026 · 5:54 am ET · Leave a Comment

NPR: “Osborn is one of four independents running for Senate in states President Trump won handily, including Idaho, South Dakota and Montana. Buoyed by the president’s sinking approval ratings and public frustration over affordability, independent candidates argue they bring a winning case to voters.”

“It is an argument that some Democrats hope will resonate with voters as the party looks to retake control of Congress, betting that these candidates can help topple Republicans in parts of the country where their own brand is hurting.”

2026 Campaign, Third Parties

Buttigieg Endorses Independent in Montana Senate Race

October 23, 2026 · 5:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Pete Buttigieg, the former Transportation Secretary and popular Democratic Party surrogate who has confirmed considering a 2028 presidential bid, is endorsing independent Montana U.S. Senate candidate Seth Bodnar,” ABC News reports.

2026 Campaign, Senate, Third Parties

Third Party Candidates May Cost Republicans the Senate

October 22, 2026 · 1:58 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “Over the years, third-party candidates have been devastating to Democrats and America. In 2000, George W. Bush wouldn’t have become president without Green Party candidate Ralph Nader siphoning votes from Al Gore. Then in 2016, Jill Stein, also of the Green Party, helped put Trump in office. In Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, the three states that decided the election, Stein’s vote total exceeded Trump’s margin of victory.”

“Republicans have tried to re-run this play ever since. In 2020, Republican operatives quietly helped Kanye West get on the ballot (yes, that happened).”

“This year, third-party candidates could play a major role in delivering the Senate to Democrats.”

2026 Campaign, Third Parties

Ro Khanna to Campaign in Nebraska with Dan Osborn

October 20, 2026 · 12:10 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Dan Osborn, an independent who has vowed not to caucus with Republicans or Democrats if elected to serve as Nebraska’s next senator, will hit the campaign trail Saturday with progressive Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna,” CBS News reports.

“Khanna is the first elected official to campaign with Osborn, who is trying to unseat incumbent Sen. Pete Ricketts, a former Nebraska governor. There are no Democrats in the state’s congressional delegation, making it the most heavily Republican state where the California congressman has campaigned for any 2026 candidate.”

2026 Campaign, Third Parties

Another Bonus Quote of the Day

October 19, 2026 · 7:22 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“They’ve been telling us for years that an independent vote is a wasted vote. Well, a great question for our times is, has that unwasted vote been working out for you?”

— Matthew McConaughey, quoted by Fox News.

Celebrities, Third Parties

GOP PAC Spends to Boost Third-Party Socialist in Ohio

October 19, 2026 · 4:34 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A GOP-aligned super PAC has more than tripled its investment in the Ohio Senate race over the last week as it seeks to boost a socialist candidate — an apparent attempt to sink former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown’s chances,” Politico reports.

2026 Campaign, Third Parties

Third-Party Candidates Could Play a Pivotal Role in Ohio

October 13, 2026 · 6:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

Columbus Dispatch: “As statewide contests for governor and U.S. Senate appear close, Libertarian and independent candidates could shake up these closely watched campaigns.”

“Third-party candidates have made a big splash in recent races, helping U.S. Rep. Marcy Kaptur, D-Toledo, win reelection in a close race in 2024.”

2026 Campaign, Third Parties

New Hampshire Libertarians Threaten Elected Democrats

September 25, 2026 · 10:47 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The New Hampshire Libertarian Party has again issued a call for political violence,” New Hampshire Public Radio reports.

In a post on X, the party’s account wrote: “We openly support the assassination of basically every elected Democrat in New Hampshire.”

Democracy, Third Parties

Suspicions Swirl Around Third-Party Candidates

September 15, 2026 · 6:49 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Virginia battleground races, independents and Green candidates have popped up as left-wing alternatives to Democrats, even though their social media and voter registration history show them as supporters of President Donald Trump.”

2026 Campaign, Third Parties

Here’s How Republicans Are Running Against Independents

September 2, 2026 · 6:09 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans have a simple strategy for how to campaign against a slate of independent candidates running for Senate seats in red states: Take every opportunity to tie them to Democrats,” NOTUS reports.

“In Nebraska, South Dakota, Idaho and Montana, Republican Senate candidates are running against independents who have held the Democratic Party at arm’s length in order to make competitive runs. These are states where Democratic candidates have flopped in recent years.”

2026 Campaign, Senate, Third Parties

Manchin Pushes for More Independents to Join Congress

August 26, 2026 · 5:18 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Frustrated with his fellow Democrats, Senator Joe Manchin III of West Virginia in 2024 gave up his lifelong membership in the Democratic Party to become an independent as he ended his congressional career,” the New York Times reports.

“Now he is trying to get more people like himself elected to Congress in a bid to break the stranglehold of the rigid two-party system that helped drive him away from Capitol Hill.”

Senate, Third Parties

Warrant Issued for Jill Stein

August 18, 2026 · 10:17 am ET · Leave a Comment

“A Missouri judge has issued an arrest warrant for three-time presidential candidate Jill Stein after she skipped a scheduled Monday court appearance in connection with her alleged assault on a police officer at an April 2024 anti-Israel college protest,” the New York Post reports.

Crime and Punishment, Third Parties

Former GOP Mayor Vies to Create a New Party in Indiana

August 17, 2026 · 8:10 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Greg Ballard, the former two-term Republican mayor of Indianapolis, is running for secretary of state in Indiana this year, hoping to create a new party that he says would increase competition in general elections and moderate growing extremism in the state,” NBC News reports.

“Ballard, 71, gathered more than 37,000 signatures — an endeavor that cost his campaign more than $780,000 — to get his name on the ballot as an independent candidate.”

“Under Indiana state law, if a candidate wins at least 2% of the votes in the secretary of state race, their party secures ballot access for the next four years. Ballard is calling his party ‘the Lincoln Party’ and vows to pave the way for independent candidates to run under the moniker in the future.”

State House, Third Parties

Tucker Carlson Unveils 10-Point Manifesto

August 5, 2026 · 8:49 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Tucker Carlson used a highly promoted livestream Wednesday to unveil a 10-point vision for America — defining the worldview of a breakaway MAGA faction increasingly at odds with President Trump,” Axios reports.

“After vowing last month to ‘help build a third party,’ Carlson fueled further speculation this weekend by hosting MAGA dissidents at his home in Maine, where they urged him to run for president in 2028.”

”The former Fox News host stopped short of a formal launch, instead presenting the manifesto as the foundation for ‘whatever comes next.’”

The Wrap: Tucker Carlson on the 2028 presidential ballot would “doom” the Republican Party.

2028 Campaign, Republicans, Third Parties

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • …
  • 8
  • Next Page »
Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

Your Account

Members

For the full experience, sign in.

Become a Member

Read everything on Political Wire. No ads, Talking Points analysis, Trial Balloon podcast, new features and more.

  • Join Political Wire
  • Gift a Membership

Members Only

  • Weekly News Quiz
  • Schumer Has a Huge Advantage in Leadership Fight
  • The Three Forces Behind the Democratic Landslide
  • Bigger, Bluer Than Expected
  • Trump’s Successor Trap
  • Winning Elections Is Easier Than Governing

More members only posts →

Electoral Map Electoral Vote Map

222Democrat 97Toss-up 219Republican
270

Make your own map →

The starting map is built from how each state has voted compared with the country as a whole, not from how a state voted on its own. The last two presidential elections, with 2024 counting more than 2020. Then we…

Updated Nov. 4, 2026

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was →
  • Yea or Nay? →
  • Split Decision →
  • Pollster →
  • Daily Trivia →

Copyright © 2026 · Goddard Media LLC

Political Wire® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC

Also from Goddard Media: Political Dictionary · Political Job Hunt · Electoral Vote Map

Privacy PolicyCorrections PolicyContact