Smart Politics: “Several states where the Democrats hope to pick up U.S. Senate seats in 2016 rarely split their vote in presidential elections – good news for the party if it believes it can carry the state at the top of the ticket. North Carolina has done so only once over the last century in 16 cycles (6.3 percent), with Wisconsin splitting in two of 17 cycles (11.8 percent), and Illinois in three of 18 (16.7 percent). Florida (21.1 percent), Ohio (23.5 percent), and Iowa (25.0 percent) have also done so in a quarter of election cycles or less.”
“However, there are two 2016 battleground states that have been more prone to splitting their vote for these two offices: New Hampshire has split its ticket in seven out of 16 cycles over the last century (43.8 percent) while Pennsylvania has done so in seven of 17 cycles (41.2 percent).”
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