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You are here: Home / 2016 Campaign / A Perfect Demographic Mix for Clinton?

A Perfect Demographic Mix for Clinton?

November 30, 2015 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 49 Comments

Ron Brownstein notes the “two demo­graph­ic trends that may most af­fect the polit­ic­al land­scape in the 11 states that both parties now treat as de­cis­ive swing con­tests. As the charts show, all of these states are sim­ul­tan­eously grow­ing more ra­cially di­verse and older. But these twin trans­form­a­tions are op­er­at­ing at very dif­fer­ent rates in the states likely to de­cide the next pres­id­en­tial elec­tion. While di­versity is the key dy­nam­ic in the swing states across the Sun Belt, aging is the de­fin­ing char­ac­ter­ist­ic of the Rust Belt battle­grounds.”

“The dy­nam­ics of these 11 swing states could be com­plex in 2016. In Hil­lary Clin­ton, a white wo­man who will be 69 years old by next Novem­ber, the Demo­crats could pick a can­did­ate who is well po­si­tioned to min­im­ize their dis­ad­vant­ages in the aging Rust Belt states, but chal­lenged to fully turn out the minor­ity and youth co­ali­tion the party re­lies upon upon in the grow­ing Sun Belt states.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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