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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Will Trump Underperform in New Hampshire?

February 9, 2016 · 6:44 am ET · 16 Comments

Nate Cohn: “Donald Trump will win in New Hampshire if the polls are anywhere near right. He’s had a double-digit lead in every poll this year.”

“The number to watch is 31. That’s Mr. Trump’s share of the vote in the last New Hampshire polls. If he finishes well beneath that mark, it will raise some pretty serious questions about just how legitimate his support is nationwide — whether it’s because late deciders keep moving against him or because his mediocre field operation is failing to mobilize infrequent voters.”

NBC News: Why a Trump win in New Hampshire would be big.

2016 Campaign Donald Trump

← PreviousTrump Maintains National Lead as Rubio SurgesNext →New Hampshire Unlikely to Winnow GOP Field

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