Trump Holds Big National Lead

A new CBS News poll finds Donald Trump with a big national lead over the GOP presidential field with 35%, followed by Ted Cruz at 18%, Marco Rubio at 12%, John Kasich at 11%, Ben Carson at 6% and Jeb Bush at 4%.

Key findings: “Trump’s support cuts across nearly every demographic group in the Republican electorate. He holds a double digit lead among Republicans and independents, men and women, white evangelicals, and Americans of all income levels. He leads among Republican voters of all age and education levels, but does particularly well among voters without college degrees.”

A new USA Today/Suffolk poll shows Trump leading with 35%, followed by Cruz at 20% and Rubio at 17%.

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Trump leading with 40%, followed by Cruz at 17%, Rubio at 11%, Carson at 10% and Bush at 8%.

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  • jrforbo

    so much for the outlier poll from yesterday

    • littlejohn

      Yeah, the press was making a big deal out of that (outlier) NBC/WSJ poll. So including Quinnipiac it’s 4 to 1 in favor of Trump.

  • MrBeale

    Beltway last year: “Pay no attention to the polls! Trump will collapse by the time the primaries start!”
    Beltway today: “Pay no attention to the polls! Sanders can’t win a general election!”

    • d v

      I’ve said it before and will say it again: as someone with no horse in this race, I’m really looking forward to a Bernie vs. Donald match-up. Think of the accents! The hand gestures! It will be so New York, I can’t even.

  • Chris Leatherman

    Unless there is some sort of surprise tomorrow night in S.C. I think the window for stopping Trump will close rapidly. He probably wins NV on Tuesday and then sweeps across the South in March.

    • One of the many fascinating aspects of this year’s primary campaign is the divergence between mainstream perceptions, and reality. Trump is poised for a decisive win in SC and all the analysts can talk about is a brokered convention. Cruz is about to come in third — again! — and all the analysts can talk about is how he’s the one poised to topple Trump. Exactly which race are they following?

      • vicupstate

        It remains to be seen if Cruz gets third. He is still just as likely or more to be second.

  • PorridgeGun

    And NBC-WSJ suddenly changed their methodology to produce that “outlier” poll from yesterday. Any pollster who does that without any justification, their credibility is gone. Especially if every other poll is showing the same thing.

    So obvious what the MSM-GOP establishment are up to. I’m actually rooting for Trump to beat them.

    • TheSwede

      Yes, that change in methodology was very, very strange. Also, I read an interview with the pollster responsible, and he had all kinds of caveats about his own poll. For example, that there usually is a lot of noice in the polling right after a debate which makes it more unreliable etc etc. Obviously, he was ashamed having to publish it…

      • d v

        Even reputable pollsters get a bad result sometimes. (See the last Seltzer poll from this year.) It doesn’t shoot their credibility so long as they’re willing to say ‘yes, this is an odd result, here are a bunch of caveats, please take it with a grain of salt.’ I’d rather have that than a pollster who only puts up results they think are in line with the crowd every time.

    • jinx2

      What were the changes? I didn’t look at the details of the poll.

  • OBforObama

    The hollow point option may be all that’s left for the Establishment R’s.

  • nowaRINO

    OMG! The least religious of all the possible nominees is leading. What is God’s Own Party to do? Moderate themselves?


  • Dem2016

    So JEB! trots his out his Mother and his hapless big brother in SC and his polls dip to four percent

    • L2thaL

      Won’t get fooled again

      • politicsjunkie

        “Fool me, you can’t get fooled again!”

  • Alki

    I feel like we already covered this on NBCs poll yesterday

  • Eric Logan

    Bush is gone barring a SC miracle. It’s a four-man race now. Amazing how at every stage Kasich has just by the skin of his teeth reached the level he needs to move on (debates, New Hampshire, national polls now)

  • Crittersmith2

    So there are Independent Republicans?