Charlie Cook: “As the race stands today, Trump could sweep the entire Toss Up column and still come up two electoral votes short of the 270 needed to win.”
“The reality is that Trump’s challenge is actually tougher than the above paragraph suggests. Using the Realclearpolitics.com averages of polls in individual states, Trump trails in each of the whole states in the Toss Up category, albeit some by fractions of a percentage point. Trump holds minuscule leads in Arizona and Georgia, two states that we are generously putting in the Lean Republican column. Clinton leads in every state carried by President Obama in 2012 plus North Carolina, which went for Obama in 2008.”
First Read: “The states in Hillary Clinton’s column now add up to 288 electoral votes, which exceeds the 270 needed to win the presidency. Donald Trump, meanwhile, is at 174 electoral votes, and an additional 76 are in the Tossup category.”
For members: Can Clinton Win 400+ Electoral Votes?

