Clinton Landslide Won’t Guarantee Downballot Sweep

Charlie Cook: “Giv­en her own sub­stan­tial neg­at­ives, the odds of a Clin­ton land­slide are pretty re­mote, but even if she scores a massive win, it doesn’t ne­ces­sar­ily mean Demo­crats will fare well down-bal­lot. Over the last 52 years, there have been four pres­id­en­tial land­slides: Lyn­don John­son over Barry Gold­wa­ter in 1964, Richard Nix­on over George McGov­ern in 1972, Ron­ald Re­agan over Jimmy Carter in 1980, and Re­agan again over Wal­ter Mondale in 1984. All won by mar­gins of 10 points or more and car­ried at least 44 states. Only one res­ul­ted in big Sen­ate and House gains for the win­ner’s party—Re­pub­lic­ans pick­ing up 12 Sen­ate and 34 House seats in Re­agan’s 1980 win over Carter.”