Political Wire

SubscribeSign in
  • Front Page
  • Trending
  • Polling
  • Trial Balloon
  • Books
  • Membership
    • Members FAQ
    • Exclusive Analysis
    • My Favorites
  • Sign In
Theme
Text size

Democratic Hopes of Winning Senate Fade

September 25, 2016 · 6:15 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Democrats are now facing a tougher road to capturing the Senate majority as the presidential race tightens and Donald Trump is not proving to be the dramatic drag on down-ballot candidates that Republicans once feared,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump’s resilience and faltering Democratic campaigns in battleground states means the fight for the Senate has settled into a knuckle-to-knuckle brawl likely to result in a chamber will be closely divided or potentially even tied.”

“Democrats can still manage to win the four or five seats they need to claim the Senate majority, but the battle has shifted from purple states that Barack Obama twice carried — Ohio and Florida — to Indiana, Missouri and North Carolina, where Obama lost in 2012.”

Interestingly, FiveThirtyEight gives Democrats a 55% chance to win the Senate while The Upshot gives Republicans a 62% chance.

2016 Campaign

From our partner:

Here's a News Tool Worth Trying

I spend a lot of time following political news, but even I can't read everything. That's why I appreciate what Ground News does.

It shows how the same story is covered across the political spectrum — and highlights important stories that one side may be ignoring entirely.

Take a look for yourself. Political Wire readers get 40% off Ground News Vantage at ground.news/politicalwire.

 

← PreviousClinton Has Focused on Trump’s PersonalityNext →Clinton Holds Small Lead Nationally

Keep reading

Front page →

Political Wire is reader-supported. Join for ad-free reading, member posts and new features →

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was
    Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
    Play →
  • Yea or Nay?
    Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
    Play →
  • Split Decision
    Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
    Play →
  • Pollster
    Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
    Play →
  • Daily Trivia
    Four questions a day.
    Play →

A new game every day.

Your Account

Members

For the full experience, sign in.

Become a Member

Read everything on Political Wire. No ads, Talking Points analysis, Trial Balloon podcast, new features and more.

  • Join Political Wire
  • Gift a Membership

Members Only

  • Here’s the Path for Democrats to Win the Senate
  • One Week to Go
  • The Rules Behind the Elections
  • Trump Makes Himself the Closing Argument
  • How Republicans Made Safe Seats Competitive
  • Could Mississippi Deliver a November Surprise?

More members only posts →

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was →
  • Yea or Nay? →
  • Split Decision →
  • Pollster →
  • Daily Trivia →

Copyright © 2026 · Goddard Media LLC

Political Wire® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC

Also from Goddard Media: Political Dictionary · Political Job Hunt · Electoral Vote Map

Privacy PolicyCorrections PolicyContact