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Checking In On the True Swing Voters

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First Read: “One of the clues we missed about Trump in 2016 was his overperformance among voters who disliked both Trump and Hillary Clinton. These voters made up 18% of voters in our merged NBC/WSJ polls of 2016, and they disproportionately broke for Trump and the GOP on the generic ballot.”

”So how are these kinds of voters breaking now? Well, our latest NBC/WSJ poll finds that Democrats are overperforming among voters who hold negative views of both parties, 55% to 25% (representing 13 percent of the sample).”

”What’s more in our current poll, these voters disproportionately are down on Trump (68% disapprove of his job, versus 52% of all voters), and they are enthusiastic about the upcoming midterms (63% of them have high interest, versus 55% of all voters who say this).”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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