Massive Turnout Makes the Midterms Unpredictable

First Read notes “there is one unmistakable finding in our poll: Turnout is going to be sky-high this midterm season, surpassing vote totals from previous midterm cycles. And that record turnout means that the eventual outcome in November is likely to be unpredictable.”

“The turnout we’ll see in two weeks will be unprecedented for a midterm. The money we’re seeing — especially from Democratic candidates — is unprecedented. Also unprecedented is the fact that the sitting president is embracing that the midterms are a referendum on him.”

“And it all underscores that this election has no real historical comparison — not 2006, 2010 or 2014. Get ready to be surprised.”